Page 43 - BANKING FINANCE February 2024
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ARTICLE

          Unsecured  Retail  Credit  Market  in RBI Apprehension

          India:-                                             RBI has observed that, in the last 2 years, unsecured retail
                                                              credit has been an outlier segment as far as its growth rate
          The retail credit industry has been growing at a phenomenal
                                                              is concerned. This category of loan has spiked 23 per cent
          pace. As per estimates by CIBIL, in the last 5 years, the industry
                                                              against an overall credit growth of 12-14 per cent only.
          has grown from Rs 51.33 Trillion in FY 2018-19 to Rs 88.01
                                                              Unsecured loans, though small in size, can pose systemic
          Trillion in FY 2022-23 at a CAGR of above 14%.  Given below is
                                                              risk if their growth remains unchecked. Hence, RBI has
          the snapshot of the Retail lending portfolio as on 31/03/2023.
                                                              termed its  regulatory  intervention as "a  pre-emptive
                                                              measure to bring certain prudence and to bring an end to
                                                              any sort of exuberance that may be exhibited by certain
                                                              lenders". In this regard, RBI Governor has underscored 4
                                                              key concern areas related to credit growth:
                                                              a) Sustainability of Growth - The RBI governor stressed
                                                                 on the need for Banks and NBFCs to be mindful that
                                                                 credit growth at the overall, sectoral and sub-sectoral
                                                                 levels remains sustainable. To that end, banks and NBFCs
                                                                 to ensure that the expansion of credit portfolio and
                                                                 pricing should be appropriate to the risk involved, and
                                                                 they should strive to further strengthen their asset
                                                                 liability management.

                                                              b) Unsurious Pricing of loans by NBFC-MFIs - The RBI
                                                                 Governor has pointed out to the fact that certain
                                                                 NBFCs-MFIs appears to be enjoying "relatively high
          Source: Trans Union CIBIL.
                                                                 interest margins". As these financial entities often cater
          Secured  Retail  loans  (other  than  the  business  loans)  to the marginalized clientele, they are expected to
          comprises of the Housing loans, loans against FD, loans  ensure that interest rates are transparent and not
          against shares & bonds, vehicle loan, Loan against Property  usurious. Affordability and repayment capacity of their
          (LAP) and gold loans. The remaining portfolio of Personal  borrowers to be kept in mind while fixation of interest
          Loans, Consumer Durables Loans and Credit Card Receivables  rates. This, in turn, will ensure that the assets do not
          comprises of the unsecured retail credit market. Unsecured  get stressed later.
          Retail Credit segment has been growing the fastest in recent  c)  Over reliance on Analytics - While praising the digital
          times as exhibited below:                              technologies and resultant innovative business models
          YoY Growth in Outstanding Balance (June 2023)          introduced by the collaboration between banks/NBFCs
                                                                 and fintech, the governor cautioned regarding the over
           Product                             Value             reliance on "model-based lending through analytics".
           Home Loan                            15%              Banks and NBFCs need to be careful in depending only
                                                                 on "pre-set algorithms as assumptions based on which
           LAP                                  20%
                                                                 the models are operated".  He stressed on the need
           Auto Loan                            23%
                                                                 for periodic testing of the models and recalibrating the
           Two-Wheeler Loan                     31%              models from time to time based on "changing contours
           Personal Loan                        27%              of the financial ecosystem and fresh information". He
           Credit Card                          31%              advised the Banks and NBFCs to be more watchful of
                                                                 any information gaps in these models, which may cause
           Consumer Durable Loan                24%
                                                                 dilution of underwriting standards.
          Source: Trans Union CIBIL   CMI report October 2023  d) Bank -NBFC linkages - Commenting on the increase in

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