Page 55 - Banking Finance December 2024
P. 55

ARTICLE




          India's Fiscal



          Discipline: A Path to



          Economic Stability


          and Growth                                                                     Brijesh Kumar Shukla

                                                                                            Chief Manager (Faculty)
                                                                                              Union Bank Of India
                                                                                          Union Learning Academy -
                                                                                                       Hyderabad



           In a significant economic development, the fiscal deficit for the financial year 2023-2024 (FY24)
           has been recorded at 5.6% of GDP, falling below the government's revised estimate. This unexpected
           positive outcome highlights effective fiscal management and a recovering economy, offering a ray
           of optimism amidst global economic uncertainties.



         I    n a significant economic development, the fiscal deficit  On the expenditure side, the government managed to
                                                              contain spending without compromising on critical sectors
              for the financial year 2023-2024 (FY24) has been
              recorded  at  5.6%  of  GDP,  falling  below  the
         government's revised estimate. This unexpected positive  such as health, education, and infrastructure. Notably, there
                                                              was efficient allocation and utilization of funds, ensuring that
         outcome highlights effective fiscal management and a  priority areas received adequate support while avoiding
         recovering economy, offering a ray of optimism amidst global  unnecessary expenditures.
         economic uncertainties.
                                                              Potential for Further Deficit Reduction
         It is a welcome surprise as the government's revised
         estimate had  projected the fiscal deficit  at a higher  A significant factor that could further improve India's fiscal
         percentage, reflecting concerns over various economic  position is the substantial dividend received from the
         challenges, including global inflationary pressures, rising  Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The government is currently
         interest rates, and geopolitical tensions. However, the final  sitting on a Rs 2.1 trillion dividend from the RBI, which
         figure of 5.6% signals better-than-expected  revenue  provides additional fiscal space. This windfall potentially
         collections and disciplined expenditure management.  allows the government to further reduce the fiscal deficit,
                                                              possibly even below the already optimistic target of 5.1%
         Revenue and Expenditure Dynamics                     for the coming fiscal year.
         Revenue collection played a pivotal role in narrowing the
         fiscal deficit. The GST, which had previously been a concern  The availability of these funds could be strategically utilized
         due to fluctuating monthly collections, showed consistent  to support critical infrastructure projects, bolster social
         improvement. Direct taxes also saw a notable increase,  welfare programs, or reduce public debt. Such flexibility is
         driven by higher corporate earnings and better individual  invaluable in managing the economy amidst external
         tax compliance.                                      uncertainties and ensuring continued growth and stability.

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