Page 57 - Banking Finance July 2024
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FEATURES





          Banks must ensure adequate resources



                                               for lending







         T         he Monetary Policy Committee, by keeping the  a twin balance-sheet advantage. Banks are now on a strong
                   repo rate unchanged at 6.5 per cent by a 4:2
                                                              footing with remarkable improvement in asset quality,
                   majority this time round, has indicated that the
                                                              robust capital adequacy ratio, improved profitability, and
                   present elevated interest rate may be on its last
         legs. Opinions might be drifting towards easing of the  high provision-coverage ratio.
                                                              But the growing deposit resource crunch could derail credit
         interest rate cycle. With ECB (European Central Bank)  deployment. Banks have already increased interest rates on
         cutting interest rates to 3.75 per cent from 4 per cent, the  deposits. It is evident that against the rise of the repo rate
         downward shift in interest rates is gathering pace. Though
                                                              by 250 basis points (bps), the interest rate on new term
         the RBI is focused on maintaining the right balance between  deposit  rates  has  gone  up  by 244  bps  ensuring  full
         domestic growth and inflation, synchronised action with  transmission of interest rates to the deposit segment. For
         major global central banks will be imminent.
                                                              loans, the weighted average lending rate on fresh loans
         Asset-liability management (ALM) of banks could be a  increased by 204 bps. Strong banks with weak lending
         challenge going forward. Banks are meeting the gaps in  capacity due to insufficient incremental deposit growth
         frictional liquidity using the liquidity windows of the RBI.  could pose greater risks.
         Eventually, banks will have to avoid a deficit in durable  Growth, inflation, and interest rate trajectory may correct
         liquidity. Credit growth reached 15.8 per cent year-on-year  itself in times to come. However, it will be interesting to
         as of May 17, whereas the deposit growth was trailing, at
                                                              see how banks attract deposits under rising competition
         12.7 per cent. Such imbalance has continued since the  from non-banks including insurance companies. The RBI has
         acceleration of credit growth in FY23. However, the data  called upon banks to work out different strategies and set
         on sectoral deployment of credit indicates that the excessive  appropriate business plans. Some of the proposed regulatory
         credit exposure to unsecured retail loans and over-reliance
                                                              changes in the current monetary policy review could help
         of NBFCs on bank funding is moderating. This will reduce the
                                                              banks. The definition of bulk deposit has changed from Rs.
         credit risk of banks.
                                                              2 crore and above to Rs. 3 crore. The RBI had already
         In the context of durable liquidity, the marked shift of  assured suitable reforms to the framework of liquidity
         household savings towards physical savings could exacerbate  coverage ratio (LCR) for banks to align with risks.
         durable liquidity risks. Also, while a young India — with a  Allowing an auto-replenishment facility under e-mandate for
         median age of 28 years in 2021 — would be beneficial to  recurring payments for FASTag, National Common Mobility
         the economy, for banks it could pose certain risks. The young  Card (NCMC), etc., will shift some float funds from these
         generation of tech-savvy customers, with good financial
                                                              entities to banks. Similarly, the auto replenishment of the UPI
         literacy, can further shift savings to alternative sources apart  Lite wallet will also ensure the placement of funds just in time.
         from opting for physical savings. Thus, balancing structural
         liquidity in banks will be daunting unless new customers are  Product innovation, better customer service, and quick
         targeted with product innovation and aggressive marketing.  grievance redress systems will be able to improve the
                                                              deposit inflows. The onus is now on banks to work out
         Strength of Banks                                    business strategies to attract and retain large-scale deposits
         The twin balance-sheet malaise of the past has turned into  to meet the growing credit needs of entrepreneurs. (Mint)


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