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400 case study 5 • delta synthetic Fibres (dsF)
               exhibit 1  current market volumes by product and region, 2004 (millions of kg)

               Market sectors               UK          Continental Europe     USA         Far East
               Clothing – industrial       8.04               3.74             1.69          1.84
               Clothing – domestic         1.22               0.09             N.A.          N.A.
               Clothing – general          0.52               1.02             1.10          0.73
               Thermal insulation          0.41               0.39             1.01          N.A.
               Electrical insulation       0.18               0.64             1.10          0.98
               Total                       10.37              5.88             4.90          3.55



               exhibit 2  Forecasts for britlene and britlon ranges
                                                             Potential sales
                                  Britlene (all products) millions of kg p.a.  Britlon (all products) millions of kg p.a.
               2004 (actual)                   24.7
               2005                            22
               2006                            20
               2007                            17                          3 (assuming availability)
               2008                            13                                  16
               2009                            11                                  27
               2010                            10                                  29
                                                      Average price forecast (p. per kg)
                                      Britlene (across all products)      Britlon (across all products)
               2005                             98                                  –
               2006                             98                                  –
               2007                             95                                 125
               2008                             90                                 120
               2009                             85                                 120
               2010                             85                                 120



               exhibit 3  estimated britlon capital costs
               The table below gives estimated costs and stage payments required by Alpen for Britlon  polymer
               line and extrusion unit construction.
               Type of order                         Cost (£ million)  Timing
               Whole new ‘Britlon’ line including        4.8         Begin          6 months from order
               polymer and extrusion units                           Onstream       2 years from order
               Conversion of ‘Britlene’ line             3.0         Begin          6 months from order
               to ‘Britlon’ line                                     Onstream       2 years from order
               The cost of a new plant is payable in three six-month instalments – £1,000,000 being due one year after ordering, £1,000,000 due
               six months later and the balance on completion.
                 The cost of a conversion is payable in three six-month instalments of £1,000,000 at one year, at 18 months and on completion.








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