Page 14 - April 2022 Issue.indd
P. 14

DOLLARS AND SENSE                                           by Tolbert Rowe



                        Inflation is here...consumers will need to adjust spending



            On February 24, Vladimir Putin made   for decades and provided billions of   But this boost in inflation is diff erent.
            good on his threat to takeover Ukraine   dollars in future revenue to the Russian   For the last three months, consumer
            and unleashed what has become the   economy.                         prices have been increasing at greater
            largest military assault on a sovereign                              than a 7% rate, topping out in February
                                               The impact of this invasion has driven

            country by another country since World                               at 7.9% March numbers will be out by
                                               the price of gasoline to levels we have

            War II. The impact has opened a fl ood                               the time many of you read this and it is
                                               never seen. $4 per gallon gas, and
            of refugees seeking safety the likes                                 my guess that the rate will not be any
                                               possibly higher could be our future for
            we have never seen, over 3.5 million   the rest of this year. The United States   less than 7.9%.

            mostly woman and children as of the
                                               imports only about 6% of the oil we   You are free to blame inflation on
            middle of March. By the time you read
                                               use from Russia, but other European   whomever, or whatever you choose. You
            this the number certainly will be much
            higher.                            countries rely on much more. Total   are completely entitled to your opinion
                                               value of all Russian exports was nearly   and your guess on how to make things
            This barbaric Russian action is made   $500 billion last year. Eliminating that   better. What makes this situation more

            so much more heinous by the fact that   much in raw materials and finished   distressing is that our very existence
            families are being separated. Women   goods from the global economy   is being impacted by a lunatic who
            and children are being allowed to fl ee   will make things we consume more   did not get the kind of reaction to a
            to safety while sons, husbands, and   expensive. Remember the impact on   military buildup that he expected. Th e
            fathers between the ages of 18 to 60 are   real estate prices that a lack of supply of   Ukrainians did not back down, and the
            prohibited from leaving the country.   homes has had? Déjà vu all over again!  world has come to their aid.
            Although they are required to stay and
                                               The Covid pandemic conditioned us   The world had not seen a military
            fight, they are doing so willingly to   to accept higher priced goods because   action against a sovereign nation of
            protect their country.
                                               businesses could not produce their   this magnitude since World War II. Th e
            Economic sanctions have had the eff ect   product due to delays in being able   world condemned the action swiftly
            of turning Russia into a third world   to acquire parts and components in   and decisively through economic
            country and businesses from all over the   a timely fashion. We quickly got an   sanctions and military assistance.
            world have ceased trading with them.   education in the global economy as it   Russia has been isolated and cannot
            Many oil companies have abandoned   became next to impossible to purchase   economically sustain a long-drawn-
            billions of dollars in investments in   a new vehicle or any other product that   out invasion and occupation without
            Russian oil and gas entities. Germany   required a computer chip. Businesses   foreign trade. There may be only one

            has stopped construction of a natural   were, and to an extent many still are,   out for Putin and that is China. But will
            gas pipeline with Russia that would have   challenged with having to operate with   China take on the role of big brother

            provided 30% of German energy needs   less than full staffs and readily available   and risk global condemnation by
                                               parts and components.             making Russia dependent upon them,
                                                                                 and will Putin accept being dependent
                                                                                 on China for his legitimacy to rule?
              “Your Mortgage Consultant Since 1985”                              They did sign an agreement of mutual

                                                                                 support at the opening of the Olympics
             Purchase or Refinance                                               in Beijing. I do not think Chairman Xi
                                                                                 realized that Vladimir Putin was about
                                                                                 to amass 200,000 troops on the Ukraine
                                                                                 border two weeks later and force 3.5
                                                                                 million, and counting, refugees out into
                                                                                 the world.
             115 E Dover St. Ste 3 - Easton, MD
                                                                                 The Russian invasion of Ukraine means

             tolbert@baycapitalmortgage.com                 C. Tolbert Rowe,     that we will need to tolerate infl ation for
             www.baycapitalmortgage.com        NMLS         Vice President/Lending
                                               182844                            the foreseeable future. Th e foundation
                                                                                 for higher prices was laid very solidly
               410-819-3005  /  cell 410-310-3520                                last year with the government stimulus
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