Page 10 - Ninnau Jan-Feb 2021
P. 10

Where Will They Go?


               Are these Welsh Villagers to become the first Climate Change Refugees?


          By Ivor Hughes

            Growing up in Fairbourne,
          Wales, the sea helped define my
          childhood: Long summer days at
          the beach, swimming, running
          up and down sand dunes, the
          wind swirling the smell of salt
          across our village.
            But now the sea has turned
          friend to enemy as scientists say
          climate change is causing sea
          levels to rise—and forcing vil-
          lagers to possibly start retreating
          in just three years. Within 30
          years, the whole village will be                                                       Looking across the Mawddach Estury towards the village of
          abandoned. And between now          The village of Fairbourne on Cardigan Bay.             Fairbourne from Panorama Walk above Barmouth.
          and then, villagers face an                                                              The village is protected from the sea by shingle banks,
          uncertain future for their homes   My grandparents lived in one   became a draw for retirees,        sea walls and earthen levees
          and businesses that sit only sev-  of those large three-story   many from the Midlands, who
          eral feet above sea level.   Victorian terrace houses, and   had a long family history of   Experts predict the sea level to   about relocating the entire vil-
             “Defending Fairbourne is a   that is where I spent my early   summer vacationing there when   rise at least 1.6 feet in the com-  lage—a challenge because it is
          constant challenge—we work   childhood. When World War II   they were kids. I revisited the   ing decades, worsening the   within the protected natural area
          against nature to try to reduce   started and the bombs started   village in the 1990s and was sur-  flooding risk.   of Snowdonia National Park.
          the risks at a time when the cli-  dropping on my hometown of   prised at how much it had   The year of 2013 went out in   Homeowners have also been
          mate is changing and sea levels   Liverpool, my mother, with me   changed. Where once there used   a fury of major Atlantic storms   informed that they would be
          are rising,” Sian Williams, the   tucked under her arm, high-  to be fields of sheep grazing   that hit Britain and persisted into   unlikely to receive any compen-
          Head of Operations for Natural   tailed it out of the city for the   there were now fields of houses   January of 2014. These storms   sation from the Government for
          Resources Wales said in a 2019   safety of the countryside and the   and the population had swelled   rolled in with gale force winds,   their abandoned homes and thus
          report. “We fully appreciate the   refuge of my grandparents. We   to some 800 people and 460 res-  heavy rainfall, high tides, storm   would end up with no assets.
          community’s concern for its   stayed until the end of the war   idences. However, it seemed to   surges and high waves. There   While there is a possibility they
          future and will continue to work   and my Dad’s returned from the   be thriving, with a number of   was substantial flooding   might receive help in resettle-
          closely with local people and   Navy. Then as a youth I spent   shops, restaurants, and a golf   throughout the U.K. The floods   ment, their plight is somewhat
          key organizations to protect the   most of my summers there.   course, although it had certainly   continued to be in the news   uncertain and most likely they
          village in the short and medium   To me it was an idyllic place   become more Anglicized. The   throughout the New Year and in   will end up scattered in other
          term.”                      of fond memories; it had all a   narrow-gauge railway had mor-  February 2014 the BBC Wales   towns and villages, meaning the
            Historically Fairbourne start-  youth could wish for—what a   phed from the original construc-  investigative program “Week in   village of Fairbourne will
          ed out as a slate quarry and   pleasant seaside village with an   tion tramway to now taking visi-  Week Out” aired on TV. That   become nothing but a memory.
          farming area in the 1800s and   expansive beach, the sea, moun-  tors on an enjoyable ride out   program revealed that the   Understandably there is a feel-
          comprises a wide expanse of salt   tains, waterfalls, woods, lakes,   along the shore and sand dunes.   Gwynedd Council, whose juris-  ing by residents that the action
          marsh and natural flood plain   cliffs—what more could a boy   Its terminus was at the end of   diction included Fairbourne, had   by the various agencies that
          bordering the Mawddach      wish for to explore and get into   the peninsula that jutted out into   published a report called “The   adopted the earlier plans did so
          Estuary. Behind the village, the   trouble.              the estuary where they could   Shoreline Management Plan   without thinking through the
          mountains rise up, dominated by   Everyone knew each other   catch a ferry launch across the   (SM2, Jan 2013)” that had   ramifications.
          Cader Idris. The town of    and looked out for each other,   River Mawddach to Barmouth.   called  for  abandoning   So what lies ahead for its 800
          Barmouth sits accross the estu-  Welsh was widely spoken, and it   But that access to the river   Fairbourne to the sea.   or so residents and 460 homes?
          ary. It is one of the most pic-  is where I learned to speak it.   and sea may also be   Overnight, home prices     There is obviously some skep-
          turesque coastal areas on   Many times, my grandmother   Fairbourne’s downfall. Today,   plunged, and residents felt gut-  ticism in the village as to the
          Cardigan Bay in North Wales   would scold, “hogyn drwg mae   ground levels in Fairbourne are   ted after watching the program.   timing; while believing in cli-
          and originally was in the old   Ivor,” after I once again returned   only between 5 to 8 feet above   Fairbourne’s residents thought   mate change some feel that the
          county of Meirionnydd. Now it   from some frowned upon   sea level, and the average high   the program over sensational-  predictions are too dire as the
          is encompassed into the County   escapade. At that time, I would   tide level experienced 24 times a   ized the danger; the report itself   village has not experienced any
          of Gwynedd and Snowdonia    estimate the population to be at   year is 8.5 feet. That means the   made clear what experts   significant flooding as far back
          National Park.              about 200, which swelled con-  ocean’s tides are higher than the   believed would happen even   as many of the current residents
            The arrival of the railway in   siderably in the summertime   village twice a month. During   though Fairbourne had not expe-  can remember.
          the mid-1800s opened up the   with visitors drawn to the beauty   big storms with their corre-  rienced any major flooding in   The village is a major tourist
          coast to a wider range of travel-  of the area. It was a village   sponding storm surge and higher   these storms. Residents felt the   draw with its expansive pristine
          ers, among them speculators and   where the milk was delivered   waves the sea level can rise to   problem had been dropped in   beach and mountains for hiking.
          wealthy industrialists with   daily, ladled out from the big   more than 5 feet above the vil-  their lap and many meetings and   There are shops, hotel and
          visions of creating a seaside   milk churn, and bread was still   lage level, according to a 2019   ideas were batted around in the   restaurants to serve the locals as
          community of homes, shops,   warm from the bakery. The   study.                       intervening years.          well as the tourists. The narrow-
          church, hotel and esplanade. A   butcher opened two days at the   A combination of  shingle   In 2019, “Fairbourne: a   gauge railway has always been a
          seawall and promenade were   end of the week when the meat   banks, sand dunes, sea walls and   Framework for the Future,” a   big attraction, as it was when I
          built, along with some blocks of   was delivered—no walk-in cool-  earthen levees protect the village   collaborative document of state   was a kid, leading some in the
          three-story Victorian-style ter-  ers then.              today. But authorities say rising   agencies and village organiza-  community to want to keep this
          race houses. A small tramway   From the 1960s onward the   sea levels will make it increas-  tions brought the consequences   vibrancy going.
          was built to move building   village grew significantly as   ingly hard to protect the village   home even more starkly. The   Many residents though, of
          materials to the various sites.    more homes were built and it   and the people who live there.   current plan is to phase out the   whom 62% are over 55, feel
                                                                                                upkeep of the sea defenses by   abandoned and anxious, espe-
                                                                                                implementing a “phased retreat”   cially those who retired here
              DROS YR IAITH                                                                     peninsula that juts out into the   but now are living under a dark
                                                                                                                            hoping for a carefree retirement
                                                                                                starting in 2025 first with the
                                                                                                Mawddach Estuary. The rest of
                                                                                                                            cloud. Eighty percent of the resi-
                                                                                                the village will be protected
                                                                                                                            dents own their property out-
                   FOR THE LANGUAGE                                                             become increasingly difficult to   move as the bottom has dropped
                                                                                                until 2054. After this it would
                                                                                                                            right but point out they can’t
                                                                                                protect the village. Maintaining
                                                                                                                            out of the property market, leav-
                                                                                                and increasing the flood defens-
                                                                                                                            ing them little equity to buy
                                                                                                                            elsewhere; besides, prospective
                                                                                                es would not only be costly but
                                                                                                also lead to risk of life with sea
                                                                                                                            buyers can’t obtain a mortgage.
                                                                                                                              On top of this the Corona
                                                                                                surge leading to a breach in the
                                                                                                sea defenses.
                                                                                                                            on tourism and consequently the
                                                            HELP Dyfodol lobby for long-term    level rise plus waves and storm   virus has taken its toll this year
                           HELPWCH Dyfodol i lobïo dros                                           These target dates were   county and village economy.
                                                            language planning and a Welsh
                           Awdurdod Iaith â phwerau llawn                                       arrived at by trading off the   There is also a feeling that the
                                                            Language Authority                  value of property vs. cost of   Council is already starting to
                                                                                                maintaining sea defenses based   draw back. Some of the facilities
                            Cyfrannwch NAWR i’n cyfri banc    Contribute NOW to our bank account   on the predicted sea level rise.   such as public toilets and the
                                                    IBAN – GB94LOYD30988526699860               The plan is to start to move   needed repairs to the promenade
                                                                    BIC – LOYDGB21505           everyone out and then remove   have been abandoned by the
                                           Cyswllt/ Contact: meinir@dyfodol.net                 the houses and infrastructure to   council and the privileged blue
                                                                                                                            flag classification of the beach
                                                                                                allow it to return to a salt marsh
                                                                                                over time. However, should the   has been withdrawn.
                         www.dyfodol.net                                                        sea wall be breached and the vil-  This is uncharted territory for
                                                                                                lage inundated sooner, then the   the Welsh Council and the vil-
                                                                                                plan will have to be moved up.   lagers and for that matter will be
                                                                                                  Residents worry the current   so in the future for other vulner-
                                                                                                plan fails to adequately protect   able communities and govern-
                                                                                                their property rights and the   ments. While Fairbourne is first,
                                                                                                money tied up in their homes   it is laying the groundwork for
                                                                                                and land. Some have asked   “how to” or “how not to” deal
                                                                                                whether it would be possible to   with a very difficult situation
                                                                                                move the village back from the   that involves people’s wellbe-
                                                                                                shoreline, which would be diffi-  ing, livelihoods and their lives.
                                                                                                cult because it is hemmed-in by
                                                                                                the mountains. Others wondered
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          Page 10       NINNAU - The North American Welsh Newspaper    January-February 2021
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