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Q9 2025?       373
            Figure 9-29
            Elements of a BI System
                                                                           Metadata

                                           BI Application


                                                                                     Push
                               BI Data            BI            BI         BI Server          “Any”
                               Source         Application   Application                      Device
                                                              Result                 Pull
                                                                                                           BI users

                           • Operational data  • RFM                                     • Computer
                           • Data warehouse  • OLAP                                      • Mobile devices
                           • Data mart      • Other reports                              • Office and other applications
                           • Content material  • Market basket                           • Cloud services to anything...
                           • Human interviews  • Decision tree
                                            • Other data mining
                                            • Content indexing
                                            • RSS feed
                                            • Expert system
                                                                   BI System



                                           How will this change by 2025? We know that data storage is free, that CPU processors are
                                       becoming nearly so, that the world is generating and storing exponentially more information
                                       about customers, and that data mining techniques are only going to get better. I think it likely
                                       that by 2025 some companies will know more about your purchasing psyche than you, your
                                       mother, or your analyst.
                                           In fact, it may be important to ask the question: How unsupervised do we want unsuper-
                                       vised data mining to be? Today, a data miner extracts a data set and inputs it into an unsuper-
                                       vised data mining application for analysis. The application finds patterns, trends, and other
                                       business intelligence and reports the results to the human analyst. The BI analyst examines the
                                       results and possibly iterates by finding more data and running more analyses.
                                           But what happens when BI applications become sophisticated enough to replace the BI
                                       analyst? What happens when the unsupervised data mining application has features and func-
                                       tions to find its own data sets and to evaluate those data sets based on the results of a prior BI
                                       analysis? And then decides which BI analysis to perform next?
                                           Machines work faster than humans, and they work 24/7. At some point, will machines know
                                       so much about us that we are incapable of understanding the results? What happens when, be-
                                       cause of complexity, such BI machines can only communicate with other BI machines?
                                           Ray Kurzweil developed a concept he calls the Singularity, which is the point at which com-
                                       puter systems become sophisticated enough that they can adapt and create their own software
                                       and hence adapt their behavior without human assistance. Apply this idea to unsupervised data
                                             17
                                        mining.  What happens when machines can direct their own data mining activities? There will be
                                       an accelerating positive feedback loop among the BI machines. Then what will they know about us?
                                       Is it important that at that date we will lack the capacity to know what the machines will know?
                                           This line of thinking exposes a future flaw that runs through this text. We’ve defined information
                                       as something possessed only by humans. If it’s on a piece of paper or on a screen, it’s data. If it’s in
                                       the mind of a human, it is (or can be) information. When we’re talking about simple reporting opera-
                                       tions such as grouping and filtering, and so on, that’s legitimate. But, in the day when unsupervised
                                       data mining truly is unsupervised, machines will possess and create information for themselves.
                                           Do you know what your data mining application is doing tonight?


                                       17 “The Singularity Is Near,” accessed June 3, 2014, www.Singularity.com.
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