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568     PART 6  Managing Business Operations, Management Information Systems, and the Digital Enterprise


        EXHIBIT 16.4                    In simple terms, capacity is the capability of the production system measured
                                     in units of input or output per unit time. When the product line is relatively homo-
        Basic Strategies for Capacity
        Increases                    geneous, units of output per unit time are used to express capacity. For example,
                                                          DaimlerChrysler could measure the capacity of one of its
                     First Strategy: Lead Demand          plants by the number of vehicles that can be assembled in
                                                          a week, and Sony could measure the capacity of one of its
                                                          manufacturing shops by the number of televisions that can
                                                          be produced in a day. When the product line is diverse,
                                                          units of input are preferred. For example, the capacity of a
          Volume       Capacity                           hospital can be measured by the number of beds, the
                                                          capacity of a restaurant by the number of tables, and the
                                         Demand           capacity of a hotel by the number of rooms.
                                                             Capacity can be added in response to demand in-
                                                          creases and decreases according to three basic strategies:
                                                          lead demand, match demand, and  lag demand. Exhibit
                                                          16.4 illustrates the three basic strategies when demand is
                              Time
                                                          increasing at a steady pace.
                    Second Strategy: Match Demand
                                                          Lead demand strategy. The company uses capacity to keep
                                                          its market share, as a weapon to prevent expansion from
                                                          competitors, or to steal customers from capacity-
                                                          constrained competitors. This is an aggressive but risky
                                                          strategy.
          Volume        Capacity              Demand      Match demand strategy. The firm settles for a balance
                                                          between risk and return. Capacity is only increased to
                                                          keep up with demand.
                                                          Lag demand strategy. The company uses a conservative
                                                          wait-and-see approach. It is only when the increases in
                                                          demand have materialized that capacity is added. While
                              Time                        this is a low-risk strategy, it could also lead to reductions
                                                          in market share.
                      Third Strategy: Lag Demand
                                                             A widely used tool in capacity decisions is a decision tree.
                                                          To illustrate the use of the decision tree, consider a company
                                                          that is planning to launch a new product, but is unsure of
                                                          the market response.  The demand for the new product
                                                          could be high, medium, or low. A marketing study indicates
          Volume    Demand                                that the probability of high demand is .3, the probability of
                                                          medium demand is .5, and the probability of low demand
                                                          is .2.  The company can design the production system to
                                       Capacity
                                                          have enough capacity to satisfy the high demand level, the
                                                          medium demand level, or the low demand level. We will
                                                          respectively refer to these designs as the  high-capacity,
                              Time                        medium-capacity, and  low-capacity designs. A financial
                                     study has been conducted to evaluate the profitability of the different demand-
                                     capacity combinations. The results of the study are presented in Exhibit 16.5.
                                        With the high-capacity design and high-demand scenario, the company would
                                     get a profit of $250,000. With the high-capacity design and low-demand scenario,
        capacity The capability of the  the company would experience a loss of $35,000. Should the company design the
        production system measured in units of  production system for high, medium, or low capacity? This capacity design deci-
        input or output per unit time
                                     sion can be represented as the decision tree in Exhibit 16.6.
        lead demand strategy A strategy where
        capacity is increased before demand  Each capacity design option is represented by a tree branch; the square repre-
        increases                    sents the decision point; and the nodes represent the randomness in the demand


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