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286    CHAPTER 9                Race and Ethnicity


                 Cultural Diversity in the United States


         Glimpsing the Future: The Shifting
         U.S. Racial–Ethnic Mix

         During the next twenty-five years, the population of the
         United States is expected to grow by about 22 percent. To
         see what the U.S. population will look like at that time, can we
         simply add 22 percent to our current racial–ethnic mix? The
         answer is a resounding no. As you can see from Figure 9.10,
         some groups will grow much more than others, giving us a
         different-looking United States. Some of the changes in the
         U.S. racial–ethnic mix will be dramatic. In twenty-five years,
         one of every nineteen Americans is expected to have an   Use the conflict perspective to identify the groups that are
         Asian background, and, in the most dramatic change, about   likely to be threatened by this change. Over what resources
         one of four is expected to be of Latino ancestry.     are struggles likely to develop? What impact do you think
           The basic causes of this fundamental shift are the racial–  this changing mix might have on European Americans? On
         ethnic groups’ different rates of immigration and birth. Both   Latinos? On African Americans? On Asian Americans? On Na-
         will change the groups’ proportions of the U.S. population,   tive Americans? What changes in immigration laws (or their
         but immigration is by far the more important. From    enforcement) can you anticipate?
         Figure 9.10, you can see that the proportion of non-Hispanic   To apply the symbolic interactionist perspective, con-
         whites is expected to shrink, that of African Americans and   sider how groups might perceive one another differently
         Native Americans to remain about the same, and that of   as their proportions of the population change. How do you
         Latinos to increase sharply.                          think that these changed perceptions will affect people’s
                                                               behavior?
                                                                  To apply the functionalist perspective, try to determine
         For Your Consideration                                how each racial–ethnic group will benefit from this changing
           This shifting racial–ethnic mix is one of the most significant   mix. How will other parts of society (such as businesses) ben-
          ↑
         events occurring in the United States. To better understand its   efit? What functions and dysfunctions can you anticipate for
         implications, apply the three theoretical perspectives.  politics, economics, education, or religion?

            FIGURE 9.10        Projections of the Racial–Ethnic Makeup of the U.S. Population

                     Year 2000                 Year 2025                  Year 2050
                     281 million               357 million               439 million            European descent
                                                                                                Latinos
                                 3.7%
                          12.1%                     12.4%   5.1%              12.2%    5.9%     African Americans
                    12.5%          0.7%       20.2%                                             Asian Americans
                                   1.6%                      0.8%      27.8%            0.8%
                                                              2.1%                              Native Americans
                                                                                        3.2%
                                                                                                Claim membership in
                                                                                                two or more groups
                       69.4%                     59.3%                     49.9%


         Source: By the author. Based on U.S. Census Bureau 2009; Statistical Abstract of the United States 2013:Tables 5, 12. I modified the projections based on
         the new census category of membership in two or more groups and trends in interethnic marriage.





                                       constitution. This amendment made it illegal to give preference to minorities and
                                       women in hiring, promotion, and college admissions. Despite appeals by a coalition of
                                       civil rights groups, the U.S. Supreme Court upheld this California law.
                                          A second significant ruling was made by the U.S. Supreme Court in 2003. White stu-
                                       dents who had been denied admission to the University of Michigan claimed that they
                                       had been discriminated against because less qualified applicants had been admitted on
                                       the basis of their race. Again, the Court’s ruling was ambiguous. The Court ruled that
                                       universities can give minorities an edge in admissions, but they cannot use a point system
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