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Gender in Sociological Research  31


                TABLE 1.5          Cause, Effect, and Spurious Correlations


                 Causation means that a change in one variable is caused by                      Spouse Abuse
                 another variable. Three conditions are necessary for       Male Culture
                 causation: correlation, temporal priority, and no spurious                      Alcohol Abuse
                 correlation. Let’s apply each of these conditions to spouse
                 abuse and alcohol abuse.                                  But since only some men beat their wives, while all males
                                                                           are exposed to male culture, other variables must also be
                   1    The first necessary condition is correlation       involved. Perhaps specific subcultures that promote
                                                                           violence and denigrate women lead to both spouse abuse
                     If two variables exist together, they are said to     and alcohol abuse.
                     be correlated. If batterers get drunk, battering                               Spouse Abuse
                     and alcohol abuse are correlated.
                                                                           Male Subculture
                     Spouse Abuse + Alcohol Abuse                                                   Alcohol Abuse
                     People sometimes assume that correlation is causation.  If so, this does not mean that it is the only causal
                     In this instance, they conclude that alcohol abuse causes   variable, for spouse abuse probably has many causes.
                     spouse abuse.                                         Unlike the movement of amoebas or the action of heat
                     Alcohol Abuse              Spouse Abuse               on some object, human behavior is infinitely complicated.
                                                                           Especially important are people’s definitions of the
                     But correlation never proves causation. Either variable  situation, including their views of right and wrong. To
                     could be the cause of the other. Perhaps battering    explain spouse abuse, then, we need to add such variables
                     upsets men and they then get drunk.                   as the ways that men view violence and their ideas about
                                                                           the relative rights of women and men. It is precisely to
                     Spouse Abuse               Alcohol Abuse
                                                                           help unravel such complicating factors in human behavior
                                                                           that we need the experiment method.
                   2    The second necessary condition is temporal priority.
                                                                         MORE ON CORRELATIONS
                     Temporal priority means that one thing happens
                     before something else does. For a variable to be a    Correlation simply means that two or more variables
                     cause (the independent variable), it must precede that  are present together. The more often that these
                     which is changed (the dependent variable).            variables are found together, the stronger their
                                                                           relationship. To indicate their strength, sociologists
                                     precedes
                     Alcohol Abuse              Spouse Abuse               use a number called a correlation coefficient. If two
                                                                           variables are always related, that is, they are always
                     If the men had not drunk alcohol until after they beat  present together, they have what is called a perfect
                     their wives, obviously alcohol abuse could not be the  positive correlation. The number 1.0 represents this
                     cause of the spouse abuse. Although the necessity of  correlation coefficient. Nature has some 1.0’s such as
                     temporal priority is obvious, in many studies this is not  the lack of water and the death of trees. 1.0’s also
                     easy to determine.                                    apply to the human physical state, such as the absence
                                                                           of nutrients and the absence of life. But social life is
                   3    The third necessary condition is no spurious correlation.  much more complicated than physical conditions, and
                                                                           there are no 1.0’s in human behavior.
                     This is the necessary condition that really makes things  Two variables can also have a perfect negative
                     difficult. Even if we identify the correlation of getting  correlation. This means that when one variable is
                     drunk and spouse abuse and can determine temporal     present, the other is always absent. The number –1.0
                     priority, we still don’t know that alcohol abuse is the  represents this correlation coefficient.
                     cause. We could have a spurious correlation; that is, the  Positive correlations of 0.1, 0.2, and 0.3 mean that
                     cause may be some underlying third variable. These are  one variable is associated with another only 1 time
                     usually not easy to identify. Some sociologists think that  out of 10, 2 times out of 10, and 3 times out of 10.
                     male culture is that underlying third variable.       In other words, in most instances the first variable
                     Male Culture               Spouse Abuse               is not associated with the second, indicating a
                                                                           weak relationship. A strong relationship may
                     Socialized into dominance, some men learn to view     indicate causation, but not necessarily. Testing the
                     women as objects on which to take out their frustration.  relationship between variables is the goal of some
                     In fact, this underlying third variable could be a cause  sociological research.
                     of both spouse abuse and alcohol abuse.

              Source: By the author.
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