Page 19 - August-2020-Issue
P. 19

ARTICLE


              Challenges & Opportunities


              for Steel Industry under



              COVID-19 Pandemic




                                                                                           Sushim Banerjee
                                                                                             DG, INSDAG






              Prologue                        industrial and service sectors  Industry Impact
              Writing on the growth and pros-  would be captured adequately in   Table-1 takes a look at the indus-
              pects  of  any  commodity  specifi-  the national Accounts data for Q1   try indicators in March’20 and in
              cally that of steel under the cur-  and Q2 in FY21.             FY20  to  highlight  the  impact  of
              rent unprecedented crisis that has                              COVID-19 on steel consumption.
              engulfed nearly all the regions of
              the globe and all sectors  of the   Table-1: IIP movement in March’ 20 and FY 20 (% rate of growth)
              economy,  becomes  most  chal-
              lenging,  more so as steel gets   Parameters   Growth in  Growth           Remarks
              its sinews  from  the growth of                March’ 20  in FY20
              major  economic  and industrial   Mining           -       1.7   Mining sector reforms would lead
              indicators of the economy. Till                                  to more growth
              February’20 it was observed that   Manufacturing  (-) 20.6  (-) 1.3  Weak link. Make in India to be
              during  FY20  the  behaviour  of                                 given special thrust
              Indian economy was progressing   Mfg. of base    (-) 18.6  10.8  Good indication for steel
              at a rate below the average trend   Metals                       production
              rate that the economy had posi-  Mfg. of         (-) 31.7  (-) 12.2  Weak demand for capital goods
              tioned itself in the earlier 5 years,   Machinery and            – more investment in infra to
              the emergence of the pandemic   Equipment                        recover demand
              and the resultant lockdown since   Mfg. of electrical   (-) 31.0  (-) 4.2  Electrical equipment sector
              the second fortnight of March’20   equipment                     growing with rise in electricity
              had indeed provided a high                                       generation
              downsize  risk on all the param-  Mfg. of vehicles,   (-) 49.6  (-) 18.5  Auto sector to reverse downward
              eters of the economy.           trailers                         risks in Fy21
              Thus  the latest release on GDP   Mfg. of furniture  (-) 22.8  (-) 6.8  Per capita income growth to drive
                                                                               demand
              growth  in  FY20  (4.2  per  cent
              against  6.1  per  cent  in  FY20)  by   Electricity  (-) 6.8  1.1
              CSO did generate a pleasant sur-  Total Industry  (-) 16.7  (-) 0.7
              prise as the economy showed re-  Capital Goods   (-) 35.6  (-) 13.7  Replacement of import of
              silience in achieving this level of                              engineering goods to lead to
              growth under the current scenar-                                 growth in capital goods
              io. It is possible that the estimates   Infra/   (-) 18.5  8.8   Infra investment (both public and
              may be revised when the full data   Construction                 private) to grow
              is  made  available  later.  Further,   Consumer   (-) 33.1  (-) 8.4  Per capita income growth likely in
              it is believed that full impact of   Durables                    H2 Fy21
              the pandemic hampering both     Source: CSO



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