Page 185 - Microsoft Word - 00 CIMA F1 Prelims STUDENT 2018.docx
P. 185

Forecasting




               3.4  Limitations of linear regression analysis

                               Assumes a linear relationship between the variables.

                               Only measures the relationship between two variables. In reality the
                                dependent variable is affected by many independent variables.

                               Only interpolated forecasts tend to be reliable. The equation should
                                not be used for extrapolation.

                               Regression assumes that the historical behaviour of the data
                                continues into the foreseeable future.

                               Interpolated predictions are only reliable if there is a significant
                                correlation between the data.
























































                                                                                                      181
   180   181   182   183   184   185   186   187   188   189   190