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Why has Africa become

                                                                                    A NET FOOD IMPORTER?








                     That  Africa  has  become  a  net  importer  of   The weak growth in food production arises   But for cash-strapped countries (e.g. Burun-
                     food and of agricultural products, despite its   from various constraints including those   di, Central African Republic, Eritrea),
                     vast agricultural potential, is puzzling. Using   linked directly to agricultural productivity.   persistent food import becomes a problem
                     data mainly for the period 1960-2007, this   Data and evidence from literature highlight   when the high and rising food import bills
                     report  seeks  to  explain  Africa’s  food-trade   that technical, infrastructural and institu-  take money away from other important
                     de cit since the mid-1970s. The core  nding   tional constraints share the blame. Likewise,   development agendas without resolving
                     is that population growth, low and stagnat-  distortions arising from both internal and   food insecurity. The problem is even bigger
                     ing agricultural productivity, policy distor-  external economic and agricultural policies   for countries where exports rely mainly on
                     tions,weak institutions and poor infrastruc-  (especially the protection and subsidies   agriculture but the revenues from tradition-
                     ture are the main reasons.           from developed countries and taxation on   al exports such as cocoa, co ee and spices
                     A typology of  African countries based  on   food production within Africa) have a ect-  are less certain and at the mercy of volatile
                     data between 2000 and 2005 reveals that   ed food productivity, production and trade   international market prices. FAO data show
                     the state of food import dependency is   in Africa. However, the examples of a few   that in 2007, only about one-third (19 out of
                     di erent across the ontinent and varies   successful practices in African agriculture   53) of African countries had enough agricul-
                     according  to  countries’  levels  of  income.   and the fact that the domestic food produc-  tural export revenue to pay for their food
                     Although the few and relatively rich   tion has managed to keep up with popula-  import bills, andthe rest had to draw money
                     countries in Africa had the highest net food   tion growth inspire optimism that the future   from other resources or wait for food
                     imports per capita (USD 185 per year in real   is not all dark.  There is a lot of roomfor   donations to ensure a stable food supply. In
                     terms), they had ample means to pay for   improvement for agricultural productivity in   countries like Burundi, Cap Verde, Comoros,
                     their food import bills using revenue from   these low-income countries to the point at   Djibouti, Eritrea, Gambia, Sao  Tome and
                     non-agricultural sources. Conversely, the   which production growth outpaces the   Principe and Somalia, the total export
                     majority of the Africa’s low-income   growth  of  population  and  per  capita   revenues of total merchandise (agriculture
                     countries (mostly in Sub-Saharan Africa),   consumption.                  and  non-agriculture) were far short of
                     where twothird of its population lives, had                               agricultural (including food) import bills.
                     been net food importers; they imported far   Despite its vast agricultural potential, Africa   Detailed investigation of the issue of food
                     less food per capita (USD 17 per year) but   as a continent has remained a net importer   insecurity in Africa has already been the
                     had di culty covering their food imports   of agricultural products in the last three   object of other FAO reports and is not the
                     bills, as their export revenues were limited.   decades. In 1980, Africa had an almost   focus of the present.1 However, the speci c
                     Overall, between 1980 and 2007, Africa’s   balanced agricultural trade when both   concern over the ability of some African
                     total net food imports in real term grew at   agricultural exports and imports were at   countries to a ord increasingly costly food
                     3.4 percent per year, but this growth was   about USD 14 billion, but by 2007 its agricul-  imports to improve food security has
                     mostly fuelled by population growth (2.6   tural imports exceeded agricultural exports   motivated the search for answers on why
                     percent per year); the increase in per capita   by about USD 22 billion (FAOSTAT, 2011). For   Africa has become a net food importer.
                     food import was only about 0.8 percent per   food trade in particular, Africa food trade
                     year. Food consumption on per capita basis   de cit had started at an earlier time   POPULATION SIZE, STRUCTURE & GROWTH
                     grew only at about 1 percent per year, while   (mid-1970’s) and ever since it has grown fast   In the last  ve decades, Africa has always
                     food production grew at an even smaller   & exceeded USD 13 billion in 2005 .      been the continent with the highest popu-
                     rate of less than 0.1 percent per year.                                   lation  growth  rate,  which suggests  that
                     The slow growth of food consumption and   The increase in food imports since the   Africa’s growing population is one of the
                     imports per capita is consistent with the   mid-1970s has been particularly striking for   drivers of its food import increase. In 2007,
                     weak economic growth and unchanged   basic foodstu s such as dairy products,   Africa’s population growth rate was at 2.34
                     dietary pattern in the continent. Food   edible oils and fats, meat and meat   percent, which was nearly the double of the
                     import share, regardless of income levels, is   products, sugar and especially cereals,   worlds’ population growth rate  The popula-
                     relatively small and represents less than 5   implying that food import has been increas-  tion structure in Figure 9 shows that about
                     percent of per capita income (GDP per   ingly important in ensuring food security  40 percent of the African population is
                     capita). Because the share of food expense                                under the age of 15. Africa’s young and
                     in  household  income  isgenerally  high  in   Food import dependency is viewed di er-  growing population poses a serious
                     Africa, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa, that   ently depending on each individual   challenge to food security, implying that in
                     the share of food imports over GDP is small   country’s ability to pay its food import bill.   areas where local production is low, food
                     implies that domestic production has   For some oil or mineralrich countries (e.g.   will have to be imported to satisfy demand.
                     largely contributed to feeding Africa’s popu-  Botswana, Libya) or for some of the relative-  The growing number of food outlets includ-
                     lation.                              ly more industrialized countries (e.g. Mauri-  ing the so-called ‘supermarket revolution’ in
                     Still, domestic food production has   tius), importing some types of food   some African cities has considerably
                     remained relatively low and increased only   products (like fruits and vegetables) seems   increased African urban consumers’ access
                     by 2.7 percent per year, just barely above   more bene cial than producing these   to food. Growing tourism in many countries
                     population growth rate.  This implies that   products at home, especially since they   (e.g. Kenya, Mauritius, and  Tanzania) may
                     any increase in per capita consumption had   have enough foreign currency reserves to  have had signi cant impacts on the food
                     to be met by an increase in imports.   pay for the food import bills.     related sectors.
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