Page 7 - Fortune-November 01, 2018
P. 7

McKinsey & Co., thinks business travelers
                                                                      will be the first to clamor for self-driving
                                                                      rental cars, which will enable them to work
                                                                      instead of drive and still get to their destina-
                                                                      tion. “The value of freed-up time is simply
                                                                      more relevant for them,” says Kaas. Such
                FIVE REASONS YOUR RENTAL-CAR                          travelers account for 40% of Avis Budget’s
                                                                      customers: If they want robo-rentals, Avis
                        COMPANY WILL LOOK                             will need to deliver.
                 VERY DIFFERENT IN FIVE YEARS
                                                                     N        young man, who lives in Chicago,
             Ride-sharing and self-driving cars have forced the industry      OT LONG AGO Larry De Shon’s son
                                                                              called him with some news: The
             to reinvent itself. Here’s how the big players are adapting.
                                                                              was selling his car because he
                                                                              didn’t need one. The news “broke
           1.                are trying to get in  1% of revenues in the  my heart, because it was his graduation gift,”
           CONNECTED CARS    at the ground level  “mobility” sector, but
                             with the AV-makers.  the industry leaders  De Shon recalls. “I ask, ‘How can you sell your
           The rental-car com-  Key partnerships:  all dabble in the field.  car?’ The kid answers, ‘I can take a Zipcar, I
           panies are gradu-  Avis and Waymo;  This is helping them   can take an Uber.’” The upside: The kid also
           ally connecting their  Hertz and Aptiv; En-  prepare for a future
           millions of vehicles  terprise and Voyage.  with more counter-  rented cars from Avis four times in the ensu-
           to the Internet. The                free locations for     ing months, for longer weekend trips.
           aim: to cut mainte-  3.             their rental fleets.      All signs indicate that car-ownership rates
           nance costs, make  FLEET            Key brands: Zipcar
           sure cars spend   MANAGEMENT        (Avis), EnterpriseCar  will continue to drop as younger generations
           more time on the                    Share, and Hertz       opt out. As De Shon’s story suggests, that’s a
           road, and generate  Rental rates have  24/7.               potential opportunity for rental-car compa-
           new sources of rev-  stalled, so Avis                      nies. The trend may well create a much bigger
           enue from selling ads  and others want to  5.
           and services. Avis  diversify their rev-  RESALE RETAIL    customer base. But the rise of Lyft, Uber,
           Budget has com-   enue sources. With                       and the robo-taxi crowd creates much more
           mitted to getting all  sprawling networks  Rental-car compa-  competition.
           600,000 of its cars  of garages and exper-  nies resell their cars
           connected by 2020.  tise in maintaining,  after a few years, and  Avis’s Lyft partnership, announced in Au-
                             fixing, and cleaning  the biggest drag on  gust, is the latest example of how Avis hopes to
           2.                cars, these compa-  industry profits has  use technology to hedge multiple bets. Under
           AUTONOMOUS        nies see opportunity  been a weak second-  the agreement, the Avis brand will provide
           VEHICLES          in selling fleet man-  hand auto market. To
                             agement services  better control the     thousands of cars to Lyft’s Express Drive pro-
           Autonomous vehi-  to other companies,  timing and location  gram, which mobilizes prospective drivers who
           cles (AVs) are coming,  including AV-makers.  of those resales,  don’t own cars. The deal gives Avis an in with
           and analysts expect                 the Big Three are
           them to be especially  4.           building their own     a future big user of AVs, and more experience
           attractive to the  CAR SHARING      physical used-car      working with the ride-sharing business model.
           lucrative business-                 sales lots. Avis now   It also helps it get more revenue-generating
           traveler market. The  Car sharing ac-  has seven stores and  days out of its regular fleet cars.
           rental companies  counts for less than  plans to add more.
                                                                        Avis’s core business, meanwhile, is far from
                                                                      extinct. Its typical rental today is a four-day
                                                                      contract involving some 450 miles. A family of
                                                                      four landing in Salt Lake City en route to visit
           hotly contested field: Hertz and Enterprise                 the national parks in Utah is not about to use
           also have strong fleet-management business-                 Uber or Lyft. Hertz CEO Kathryn Marinello
           es.) For Avis, deals like its Waymo partnership            estimates there is only currently a 10% over-
           offer the chance to earn extra revenue without             lap between the traditional rental-car market
           the heavy fixed cost that comes from owning                 and the mostly urban short-haul market
           those cars. Waymo and other tech companies,                where the ride-sharing services dominate.
           in turn, avoid the expense of managing main-                 Still, the change that has swept through that
           tenance. As De Shon puts it, “Why go out and               10% in recent years has shown Avis Budget
           develop something that’s already built?”                   that it can’t afford to sit still. The tech partner-
             Getting a foot in the door with the AV-                  ships, says Orduña, the innovation officer, are
           makers also sets the stage for Avis to some-               finally beginning to change “the perception
           day radically overhaul its own fleet. Hans-                 of us as a dinosaur sitting there, waiting for a
           Werner Kaas, senior partner at consultancy                 comet to hit.”




                                                                                                      125
           FEEDBACK LETTERS@FORTUNE.COM                                                   FO R T U N E. CO M //  N O V. 1 . 1 8
   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12