Page 121 - Time Magazine-November 05, 2018
P. 121

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                                        THE RISK REPORT
                                        Saudis try to go back to business as
                SHORT
                READS                   usual, as Khashoggi storm rages
               ▶ Highlights             By Ian Bremmer
              from stories on
              time.com/ideas
                                                       The SaudiS may      and JPMorgan—each of which has in-
            A better form                              have finally admitted  vestments and jobs riding on the king-
           of nationalism                              to the “accidental”  dom’s success—chose to dispatch junior
                                                       killing of journalist  rather than senior representatives to
               “A biblically                           Jamal Khashoggi, but  signal unease with the Khashoggi story
              rooted American                          they still don’t have  while acknowledging that business must
            nationalism—one that                       a coherent explana-  continue.
            recognizes the nation
            as a diversity of tribes    tion that exonerates Crown Prince (and  There are good reasons for both
            bound together by a         King in waiting) Mohammed bin Salman,  politicians and businesses to distance
            common heritage and         known widely as MBS. Few believe   themselves from or censure Riyadh in
             mutual loyalty—is          Khashoggi could have been killed with-  response to Khashoggi’s killing. If govern-
             sorely lacking from        out his order.                     ments don’t impose a significant price on
              American public
             debate,” writes The          The response from political leaders  cold-blooded political murder, they’re
            Virtue of Nationalism       is stiffening. Turkey’s President Recep  showing MBS, and other autocrats, that
            author Yoram Hazony.        Tayyip Erdogan has been                     it’s open season for the kill-
           He laments how racists       noisily picking holes in the                ing of critics, even on foreign
           have adopted the term.                                  The mooted
                                        Saudi accounts of the killing.  transform-  soil. And shareholders are
                                        German Chancellor Angela      ation of      best served when company
                                        Merkel has halted arms trade                decisionmakers keep their
            Ending polio                with the Saudis, while Canada  Saudi        distance from autocrats who
                                        is also considering a freeze.  Arabia from  fail to respect international
              While new wild                                        petrostate
            poliovirus cases have       While U.S. President Donald                 rules in ways that dominate
            dropped from 1,000          Trump appears to be looking  to cutting-    global headlines.
              a day in 1988 to          for a way to condemn the kill-  edge modern    This is not to say for-
             20 so far this year,       ing without blaming MBS or   economy        eign investors won’t con-
              “one child is too         jeopardizing U.S. arms sales                tinue doing business with
            many,” writes Rotary                                   by 2030 has
           International president      to the kingdom, lawmakers of  lost critical  the kingdom—they certainly
           Barry Rassin and World       both parties have demanded  momentum        will. A lot of companies in the
             Health Organization        Saudi answers and a tough                   U.S. and elsewhere have al-
              director-general          U.S. response.                              ready reaped benefits from
              Tedros Adhanom              Companies and investors, however,  Saudi Arabia; dollars from the country’s
             Ghebreyesus. They
             warn that slowing          have been more cautious and nuanced in  $250 billion Public Investment Fund
            elimination now could       how they respond. Especially interesting  have helped grow tech startups like Uber,
            lead to a resurgence.       has been their approach to MBS’s Future  WeWork and Slack. But the reputational
                                        Investment Initiative, a high-profile gath-  risks that had been temporarily swept
                                        ering in Riyadh for those hoping to estab-  under the rug with the political rise of
            Accepting the               lish a commercial foothold in the modern-  a “reformer” like MBS are now back to
           tired, the poor              izing Saudi kingdom. Khashoggi’s killing  the forefront. And the mooted trans-
                                        cast a chill over the summit and sent  formation of Saudi Arabia from petro-
            U.S. Representative         reputation-conscious executives scram-  state to cutting-edge modern economy
              Joe Kennedy III           bling for cover. Media companies were  by 2030—always a long shot, even in
             argues that fearing        among the first to desert the event, per-  the best circumstances—has lost critical
             immigrants, while
              common in U.S.            haps fearful of being seen to cozy up to a  momentum.
            history, is misguided.      regime that had silenced one of their own.  The attendance list at this year’s inves-
           “Immigration has been          But by the time the summit began on  tor summit will surely say a lot about how
            an affirmation of our       Oct. 23, executives and investors were  Saudi Arabia is weathering the Khashoggi
            success, not a threat       taking a more pragmatic approach. The  storm. But far more important for Mo-
            to it,” he writes in an
            adapted introduction        head of Russia’s sovereign wealth fund  hammed bin Salman, and his country’s
           to his great-uncle JFK’s     led a sizable contingent to the event to  sizable ambitions, will be the success of
            1964 book, Nation of        ensure that losses for those sniffy about  the summit next year, and the year after
               Immigrants.              human rights would be Moscow’s gain.  that. Time will tell if business in Saudi
                                        Financial institutions like Citigroup  Arabia can return to usual.  
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