Page 40 - Money - November 2018
P. 40

THE
          THE
          ULTIMATETIMATE
          UL
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          RETIREMENTTIREMENT
          GUIDE
          GUIDE
          201
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          SOLO FUTURE  OF
          THE                                                        chance one member will live to be 92,
          SENIORSTIREMENT
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                                                                     according to the Society of Actuaries.
                                                                       You can chalk up much of this longevity to
                                                                     the fact that fewer Americans are smoking
                                                                     and dying of tobacco-related diseases. In
                                                                     fact, the cancer death rate has plunged at
                                                                     least 26% from its peak in 1991, according to
                                                                     the American Cancer Society. Medical
                                                                     breakthroughs that extend people’s lives are
                                                                     happening all the time, and it’s hard to say
                                                                     which cure is on the brink of discovery.
         Orville Rogers is 100 years old and                           That means more and more people will be
                                                                     living the Orville Rogers life in the not-so-
         routinely breaks records at track meets                     distant future. It also means a hefty retire-
         around the country. Sure, the World                         ment plan is in order. Think about it: Retire
         War II veteran doesn’t have much                            at 60, and you could be living the dream for
                                                                     40 years. Retire at 80, and you still have two
         competition in his age bracket, but that’s                  decades to hone your own marathon skills.
         beside the point.                                             Meanwhile, the average savings of
                                                                     workers ages 60 to 64 with a 401(k) is
             The point is that Rogers is in his                      $195,200, according to Fidelity. Is that
         fourth decade of retirement and still                       enough to take most retirees across the
         running in all the ways you want to be                      finish line? Hardly. And experts are losing
                                                                     sleep over the looming shortfall. “We’re
         when you hit triple digits: a model of                      basically in worse shape than we’ve ever

         physical, emotional, and financial health.                   been,” says Tony James, executive vice
                                                                     chairman of private equity firm Blackstone
         Rogers trained pilots in World War II,                      and coauthor of Rescuing Retirement.
         then went on to a successful career as                        Rogers retired just before his 60th
                                                                     birthday in November 1977. He didn’t want to
         a commercial pilot. His experience can                      stop working then, but the airlines had set
         help train us all for the future. Today’s                   the mandatory retirement age at 60. As a
         retirement is a marathon, not a sprint,                     pilot, he always knew his career wasn’t fully
                                                                     under his control. He was subject to regular
         and Rogers is crushing it.                                  flight tests and medical checkups, and failing
                                                                     any one of them could have put an even
                                “Some people think I run because I can,  earlier end to his career. “I realized I was
                             but that’s backward,” says Rogers from his  responsible for my own retirement,” he says.
                             home in Dallas. “I can because I do.”   Rogers began socking away savings in a
                                If America could just bottle Rogers’s  Merrill Lynch account in his mid-thirties,
                             can-do spirit—and his undoubtedly terrific  decades before the creation of the 401(k).
                             genes—the country might fare a bit better in  Financial advisors used to employ 30
                             the decades to come. The world’s centenar-  years as their conservative benchmark for
                             ian population is expected to grow eightfold  retirement planning purposes. They’d tell
                             by 2050, according to a Pew Research Center  you to make sure your money would last
                             report of United Nations estimates, with  until age 95, assuming retirement at the
                             America leading the pack in the sheer   traditional age of 65. Now firms have started
                             number of citizens age 100 and up. For a  stretching their timelines.
                             couple who are both 65 today, there’s a 50%  “We’re definitely suggesting that people



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