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150   CHAPTER 8:  E c o n omic Evaluation and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis




                                may serve as a comparison tool. In a recent economic evaluation study involv-
                                ing elderly atrial fibrillation patients undergoing warfarin treatment, it was
                                shown that not only did 97% of elderly Croatian patients with atrial fibrilla-
                                tion belonging to the pharmacogenomics-guided group not have any major
                                complications, compared with 89% in the control group, but, most impor-
                                tantly, the ICER of the pharmacogenomics-guided versus the control groups
                                was calculated to be just €31,225/QALY (Mitropoulou et al., 2015). These data
                                suggest pharmacogenomics-guided warfarin treatment represents a cost-effec-
                                tive therapy option for the management of elderly patients with atrial fibril-
                                lation  in Croatia,  which  may  very  well be  the case  for the same  and  other
                                anticoagulation treatment modalities in neighboring countries.
                                A review on the global differences among healthcare systems and costs regard-
                                ing CYP2C9 and VKORC1 genotyping-guided coumarin derivatives treatment
                                took a closer look at anticoagulant care management and its cost in the United
                                Kingdom, Sweden, the Netherlands, Greece, Germany, and Austria. As it was
                                reported, variations between countries were found in the setting of the inter-
                                national normalized ratio (INR) monitoring and coumarin dosing, the fre-
                                quency of INR monitoring, and in the prevalence of coumarin use. Differences
                                were also found in the quality of anticoagulation, in terms of the percentage
                                of time spent in the target INR range and the rate of complications. Efficacy
                                and cost-effectiveness of genotyping prior to treatment can be influenced by
                                the management and quality of anticoagulant care. In countries where anti-
                                coagulant care is less well organized, there is the highest probability for phar-
                                macogenomics to be cost-effective. Nevertheless, genotyping might still be a
                                cost-effective strategy in countries where anticoagulant care is well organized,
                                as less INR measurements would be required when patients reach a stable dose
                                early on with genotyping. Genotyping costs and effects should be taken into
                                full consideration on the basis of data impact, as reported by Meckley et al.
                                (2010),  whose  policy  model  suggested  a  small  clinical  benefit  for  warfarin
                                pharmacogenomics testing, yet with significant uncertainty in economic value
                                (Meckley et al., 2010). Because of significant uncertainties regarding important
                                assumptions in their Markov decision analytic model, Verhoef et al. (2013)
                                stated that it was too early to conclude whether or not Dutch patients with
                                atrial fibrillation starting phenprocoumon should be genotyped, even though
                                pharmacogenetic-guided  dosing of phenprocoumon  had the potential  to
                                increase health slightly in a cost-effective way. The main factors for this uncer-
                                tainty were the effectiveness of a pharmacogenetic-guided dosing regimen as
                                well as the costs of the genetic test. A couple of years later, Verhoef et al. (2015)
                                investigated the cost-effectiveness of a pharmacogenetic dosing algorithm ver-
                                sus a clinical dosing algorithm for phenprocoumon and acenocoumarol versus
                                clinical dosing in the Netherlands. Pharmacogenetic dosing was reported to
                                increase costs by €33 and QALYs by 0.001, and, as such, improve health only
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