Page 499 - Arabia the Gulf and the West
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                                                                                  Arabia, the Gulf and the West


                                              economic combine, in my judgement, is not military threat, embargo or political
                                              manipulation. Rather, it is to be found in conservation at home, diversification of
                                              sources and the development of substitutes.

                                               Senator Charles H. Percy was another who was horrified by Kissinger’s veiled
                                               allusion to a resort to arms, which had been voiced when Percy also was on his

                                               travels in the Middle East, necessitating some rapid invention on his part to
                                               explain it away to his various interlocutors. He was as opposed as Mansfield

                                               and McGovern to military action. ‘Is it practical?’ he asked his fellow senators
                                               rhetorically, at a sitting of McGovern’s sub-committee in June 1976. ‘Set aside

                                               the moral aspect, which I don’t think I can. Is it really a feasible, practical thing
                                               for us to use force or imply that force will be used in an oil-producing country?’

                                                   There were certainly a number of interested parties in Washington in 1975
                                               and 1976 who were concerned to prove that a military seizure of any of the
                                               Middle-Eastern oilfields was a Herculean enterprise, doomed by its very

                                               nature to produce a Pyrrhic victory. A fair summary of the principal tenets of
                                               this school of thought is provided by a study entitled ‘Oil Fields as Military

                                               Objectives’, which was prepared by the Congressional Research Service of the
                                               Library of Congress in August 1975 for the House Committee on International
                                               Relations. The study runs to over a hundred pages and is decked out with all

                                               manner of impressive devices to lend it authority: some 200 footnotes; statisu-
                                               cal tables of oil production, distribution and consumption; maps, appendices
                                               and comparisons of military strength; glossaries of oil industry and military

                                               terminology; and extracts from the United States Constitution, treaues wit
                                               foreign powers and assorted United Nations charters and resolutions. e
                                               authors range far and wide in their search for apposite historica , ega

                                                military precedents, delving into the arcana of international law, consutut
                                                restraints and public opinion (‘public opinion once again could be expecte

                                                provide key input to any “go-no go” decision’), invoking sue
                                                parallels as the invasion of Normandy in 1944, the Arab Revolt 0 *9  -ca|
                                                                                                                                             *
                                                the War of 1812, and illustrating their discourse with signi cant is

                                                quotations (e.g. ‘How many divisions has the Pope?’). rs select
                                                   As a case study to test the feasibility of a military operation t e aut o
                                                what they call the ‘Saudi core’, i.e. that area of Hasa whichicon
                                                                                                                                   *
                                                Abqaiq, Ghawar, Dammam, Qatif and Berri (off-shore) e s. $
                                                the climate, vegetation and terrain (‘the stony soil around a ran w^at

                                                cushion, but would suit seasoned [paratroopers’), and then raw up^
                                                consider to be the essential components of an invasion force. 0 ^^ghts

                                                discerned through the fog of jargon in which they clo e t -ons on
                                                (‘deliberations in the clutch would be conditioned by strong wouid be
                                                both sides. Money elements in the decisionmaking matrix • $.tuatjonSj
                                                magnified’; ‘nevertheless, U.S. posture, tailored to fit spf^ould require,

                                                would display peculiarities’), the occupation of the Sau core
                                                in their view:
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