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of [a student’s] social circle, and we can analyze
                                                                                   changes in these networks to see if their social
                                                                                   circle is shrinking or growing, and if the strength
                                                                                   of their connections is increasing or decreasing
                                                                                   over time,” she says.
                                                                                      Ram additionally used the CatCard data to
                                                                                   look at the regularity of students’ routines and
                                                                                   whether they had fairly established patterns
                                                                                   of activity during the school week. She and her
                                                                                   collaborators developed a machine learning
           Sudha Ram / Chris Richards photo                                        algorithm to determine ways to quantify these
                                                                                   patterns.
                                          USING ID CARDS TO TRACK                     Considered together with demographic
                                          SOCIAL INTERACTIONS                      information and other predictive measures of
                                                                                   freshman retention, an analysis of students’
                                                                                   social interactions and routines was able
                                            tudents at the UA are issued CatCard student   to accurately predict 85 to 90 percent of the
        Ram’s work comes at a             SIDs when they enroll. They use the cards at   freshmen who would not return for a second year
                                          locations including residence halls, the Student   at the UA, with those having less-established
        time when universities            Recreation Center, various campus labs, the   routines and fewer social interactions most at
                                          library and the Think Tank academic support   risk for leaving.
          nationwide, including           center, to name a few.                      “Of all the students who drop out at the end
                                             Many students also load cash onto the card for   of the first year, with our social integration
       the UA, are committing             use in vending machines and to pay for food and   measures, we’re able to do a prediction at the end
                                                                                   of the first 12 weeks of the semester with 85 to 90
                                          services at the Student Union Memorial Center.
                                          The total number of campus locations that accept   percent recall,” Ram says. “That means that out
             more resources to            CatCards is near 700.                    of the 2,000 students who drop out, we’re able to
                                             “It’s kind of like a sensor that can be used for   identify 1,800 of them.”
                harnessing data           tracking them,” Ram says of the card. “It’s really   Ram found that social integration and routine
                                          not designed to track their social interactions,   were stronger predictors than end-of-term
               analytics in ways          but you can, because you have a timestamp and   grades, one of the traditionally used predictors of
                                          location information.”                   freshman retention in higher education.
           that support student              For example, if Student A on multiple    The problem with relying solely on grades
                                          occasions uses her CatCard at the same location   for making predictions is that national literature
                         success.         and at roughly the same time that Student B uses   suggests freshmen who ultimately leave the
                                          her card, the pattern suggests a social interaction   university make the decision to do so in the first
                                          between the two.                         12 weeks of the 16-week semester, and often as
                                             Working in partnership with UA Information   early as the first four weeks — long before final
                                          Technology, Ram gathered and analyzed data on   grades are posted, Ram says.
                                          freshman CatCard usage over a three-year period.   “A public university like ours is very large, and
                                          She then used that data to create large networks   students can get lost,” Ram says. “There are social
                                          mapping which students interacted with one   science theories that indicate that when these
                                          another and how often. She also looked at how   students come in, they need to establish a regular
                                          students’ interactions changed over time by   routine, learn how to manage their time, and they
                                          constructing networks representing two weeks of   need to get socially integrated. Those are some of
                                          data at a time over a 12-week period.    the reasons they tend to drop out — they’re not
                                             “There are several quantitative measures you   socially integrated and they haven’t established a
                                          can extract from these networks, like the size   regularity of routine on campus.”



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