Page 6 - Module 4 - Lesson 4 - Guidelines to the iEvents that effect the USD
P. 6

how does the                                                                                                                                                     INFLUENCES



         government regulate


         exchange rates









              The  government  regulates  exchange                The     Treasury     Department        is   a
              rates  only  indirectly.  That’s  because           government agency that also indirectly
              most exchange rates are set on the open             affects the exchange rate. It prints more
              foreign  exchange  market.  In  countries           money,  which  increases  the  supply,
              like  China,  where  the  rate  is  fixed,  the     weakening the dollar.
              government directly  changes the rate.
              To find out exactly how this is done, see           It  can  also  borrow  more  money  from
              How Does China Affect the U.S. Dollar?              other  countries.  That’s  done  by  selling
                                                                  Treasury notes. That not only increases
              The U.S. government has various tools to            the  supply  of  money,  it  also  increases
              influence the U.S. dollar exchange rate             the debt. Both will  send the dollar’s
              against foreign currencies.                         value down.

              An independent arm of the government                The third government tool is expansionary
              is the nation’s central bank, the Federal           fiscal policies. They weaken the dollar by
              Reserve. It indirectly changes exchanges            increasing the money supply.
              rates  when  it  raises  or  lowers  the  fed
              funds rate.                                         But  these  policies  can  also  improve
                                                                  economic  growth.  That  often  makes
              For  example,  if  it  lowers  the  rate,  that     investors demand more dollars as a safe
              drives  down interest rates  throughout             haven.  It’s  like  a  vote  of  confidence  in
              the U.S. banking system. It also reduces            the economy.
              the supply of money.
                                                                  Sometimes this demand is so high that
              Both of those make the dollar stronger              investors overlook the low interest rate
              relative  to  other  currencies.  That’s            they  are  getting  by  investing  in  dollars
              because U.S. dollar-denominated credit              or  U.S.  Treasurys.  The  demand  is  even
              has become more expensive.                          greater than the expansion in supply of
                                                                  dollars. For more, see 3 Ways to Measure
              At  the  same  time,  dollar-denominated            the Value of the Dollar.
              assets generate a higher return.  Both
              create more demand for the dollar, while            Although the government is powerful in
              taking it out of circulation.                       influencing exchange rates, it is still forex
                                                                  trading that actually changes them.
              The laws of demand and supply tell you
              that less supply and more demand drives
              up the price. When that happens to the
              dollar,  it  can  purchase  more  foreign
              currency on forex markets.







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