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         the monsoon season, daily rainfall turns hilly footpaths                       quit their jobs because of overt intimidation by funda-
         into waterslides and lifts trash and human waste from                          mentalists, according to aid workers. Some described
         open drains to float in stagnant pools. Were one of the                        masked men coming to their homes and threatening
         cyclones that threaten the coastal province every year                         their families. An internal U.N. memo seen by TIME
         to score a direct hit on this improvised encampment,                           says Rohingya women engaged in volunteer work in-
         humanitarian workers predict “large-scale loss of life.”                       creasingly “faced individualized threats, as well as
            Life here is a fragile thing in any case. A recent re-                      community threats via announcements made by reli-
         port by the International Crisis Group, which researches                       gious leaders following prayers.”
         conflict, said murders and other forms of violence occur                          At the same time, a nascent civil society has been
         almost nightly inside the camps and are rarely if ever in-                     trying to find its voice in Cox’s Bazar. Unlike in heav-
         vestigated. Cox’s Bazar is on the path                                                           ily controlled Rakhine state, the Ro-
         of a trafficking route for methamphet-                                                           hingya can now openly congregate
         amine smuggled out of Myanmar. And                                                               for Islamic study, prayer and politi-
         so an internal struggle is under way for        FORCIBLY             BANGLADESH                  cal discourse. But community lead-
         political, economic and social control         DISPLACED            Dhaka                        ers in the camps have been targeted,
         of the population.                               The number of                  MYANMAR          harassed and worse by the camp’s less
            Refugees say the daylight hours, the         Rohingya living in                               moderate factions. Last year, one camp
                                                          refugee camps                       RAKHINE
         only time foreigners and aid workers                                                 STATE       leader was murdered in a manner as-
                                                           exceeds the
         are allowed to visit, are deceptively             population of           Indian                 sociated with ARSA: warnings circu-
         calm. Many are afraid to leave their             San Francisco            Ocean                  lated on WhatsApp followed by a fatal
         shelters after dark, more than half a                                                            slash across the man’s throat in front
         dozen refugees said, when what they                                                              of several witnesses. Analysts warn
         describe as shady, violent criminals                                                             that other moderate leaders are likely
         domineer the alleys in the absence of                                                            to be threatened with assassination
         overnight security. “There are infor-                                  Kutupalong                in the years ahead. “Whether we like
         mants on every block,” one refugee                C                    camp                      it or not, eventually the government
         tells TIME, asking not to be named for             O                                             will have to become heavy-handed to
                                                             X
         fear of reprisals. “We know who they                 ’                                           control the threats and prevent radi-
                                                               S
         are, but we’re afraid to say anything                                                            calization,” says Shahab Enam Khan,
                                                                 B
         against them. They patrol the streets                    A                                       research director at the Bangladesh
                                                                    Z
         at night. No one wants to go outside.”                      A                                    Enterprise Institute, a think tank
                                                                      R
                                                                                                          based in Dhaka. “It’s not a matter of
         There is no Consensus on exactly                                                                 if or when, it’s a matter of how heavy
         who controls the camps at night. Ref-                                                            the hand will be.”
         ugees share a widespread belief that                                                                But Dhaka’s policies have already
         the men are members of the Arakan                                                                inflamed the situation. Cutting the
         Rohingya Salvation Army, or ARSA,                                                                 Rohingya off from the economy leaves
         the militant group that attacked                 REFUGEE                                         them with few options but to pursue
         Myanmar security personnel and set              POPULATION                                       illicit forms of income. Denying them
         off the violence in 2017. Security an-            600,000                                        formal education has also created a
         alysts and U.N. officials say, however,                                                          network of poorly supported, unregu-
         that most are likely members of crim-             100,000                                        lated madrasahs, or Islamic schools, in
         inal gangs who traffic drugs and hu-                                                             the camps. The potential for exploita-
                                                            10,000
         mans and bandy the name of the mili-                                             2 MI./3.2 KM    tion is clear; while there’s no evidence
         tants to gain authority. Their activity                                                          transnational extremist groups like
         has simultaneously prompted urgent                                                               ISIS or al-Qaeda operate here, analysts
         calls for more security and generated concern about the                        believe a domestic Bangladeshi hard-line group called
         “optics” of a heavily securitized encampment that refu-                        Hefazat-e-Islam, which has called for jihad against the
         gees are not allowed to leave.                                                 Myanmar government, holds heavy influence over the
            Amid the lawlessness, an assortment of archconser-                          camps’ mosques and madrasahs.
         vative ideologues, militants and criminal gangs have                              The mullahs who run the madrasahs say they sim-
         designated themselves as enforcers of a strict Shari‘a                         ply want to give the camp’s children the chance of
         code. As was the case with Afghan refugees in Pakistan,                        something resembling a future, in the form of basic ed-
         displacement and foreign intervention led to a grow-                           ucation. But the madrasahs are categorically excluded
         ing conservatism. Women suffer disproportionately;                             from Western funding channels and receive little guid-
         NGOs aiming to empower women with skills training                              ance or oversight from Bangladeshi religious authori-
         and paid volunteer work have faced an alarming back-                           ties. Staffed by volunteers and crammed with children
         lash. Since January, more than a hundred women have                            desperate for education, many subsist on faith alone.

         50   Time June 3–10, 2019
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