Page 11 - GLNG Week 06 2021
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GLNG                                              ASIA                                                GLNG


       Inpex looks ahead to 2021




       after “tough” 2020




        PERFORMANCE      JAPANESE developer Inpex is pinning its hopes  posting a JPY100bn ($954.6mn) net profit as well
                         on a sustained oil price rally this year after post-  as a 14.5% jump in revenue in 2021 to JPY883bn
                         ing its first net loss in more than a decade last  ($8.43bn) based on its oil price projection. Oil
                         year.                                sales volumes, meanwhile, are projected to
                           The company, which is the East Asian  shrink 4.7% this year, with gas sales predicted to
                         country’s largest upstream player, recorded a  rise by 3%.
       The company recorded   JPY111.7bn ($1.07bn) loss in 2020 on the back of   The developer is radically rethinking its
       a JPY129bn (1.23bn)   a 34% year-on-year drop in revenue to JPY771bn  upstream positioning, following Japanese Prime
       write-down on its stake   ($7.36bn). It was the company’s first loss since it  Minister Yoshihide Suga’s pledge to make the
       in the Prelude FLNG   was founded through the 2008 merger of Inpex,  country carbon-neutral by 2050. The company
       project.          Teikoku Oil and Inpex Holdings.      has announced its own net-zero goal by 2050,
                           Managing executive officer Daisuke Yamada  with an increased focus on renewable and hydro-
                         blamed last year’s oil price crash for 90% of the  gen energy to make this possible.
                         company’s lost revenue, noting that the Brent   As such, Inpex has ditched plans to bolster its
                         benchmark average had slumped 33% y/y to  oil and gas production from 580,000 barrels of
                         $43.21 per barrel. He added: “It was a very tough  oil equivalent per day to 1mn boepd, with Inpex
                         year.”                               President Takayuki Ueda describing the target as
                           Indeed, the company recorded a JPY189.9bn  no longer being valid.
                         ($1.81bn) impairment loss on its oil and gas   “As for LNG, we still believe demand will
                         assets, including a JPY129bn (1.23bn) write-  rise in the mid and long term, mainly in Asia,
                         down on its stake in the Prelude floating LNG  and we will keep investing in new projects,”
                         (FLNG) project offshore Western Australia.  Ueda told reporters in late January. “As for
                           Inpex, however, expects Brent to rebound  oil, we would expand assets only near existing
                         this year to $53 per barrel, paving the way for a  projects … instead of starting new projects
                         return to profitability. The company anticipates  from scratch.”™

                                                    AUSTRAL ASIA

       PNG, Total sign LNG agreement





        POLICY           THE Papua New Guinea (PNG) government has  the developers had aimed to save $2-3bn in
                         signed a fiscal stability agreement with French  construction costs thanks to the sharing of
                         major Total for the Papua LNG project.  infrastructure.
                           PNG Prime Minister James Marape said on   This week’s agreement, however, will see the
                         February 9 that the agreement adhered to project  Total-led consortium proceed with the develop-
                         terms agreed by Total with the country’s previ-  ment of Papua LNG’s Elk-Antelope gas discov-
                         ous administration in April 2019.    ery alone.
                           Marape entered office in May 2019, follow-  Marape said: “It [the agreement] demon-
                         ing the resignation of then prime minister Peter  strates Papua New Guinea’s commitment to
                         O’Neill, promising a broad spectrum review of  the Papua LNG Project and gives comfort and
                         the country’s oil and gas agreements.  encouragement to the developers to progress the
                           While Total’s agreement was eventually  project.”
                         approved in September of that year, talks with   Total CEO Patrick Pouyanne, meanwhile,
                         Papua LNG partners ExxonMobil and Oil  described the project as a “priority for the group”,
                         Search over the development of the separate  noting he hoped to reach a final investment deci-
                         P’nyang project eventually broke down.  sion (FID) in 2022.
                           The three companies had initially intended   Credit Suisse analyst Saul Kavonic raised
                         to double the country’s LNG exports to 16mn  some concerns about this timeline, however,
                         tonnes per year (tpy) through a two-part initi-  telling Reuters that while the fiscal stability
                         ative involving a three-train expansion of the  agreement would lower the risk of tenure over
                         ExxonMobil-led PNG LNG terminal at Caution  gas field licences that had been due to expire this
                         Bay near Port Moresby.               year, there was “still a long way to go”.
                           P’nyang, located in the Western High-  He pointed out that “tough commercial nego-
                         lands, was supposed to underpin one of the  tiations” lay ahead for Total and ExxonMobil as
                         trains, while the other two were to use gas  the respective operators of the upstream and
                         from Papua LNG. By linking the two projects,  downstream components.™

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