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LatAmOil                                      COMMENTARY                                            LatAmOil














































       Ecuador’s financing conundrum








       Three Western banks have opted to quit financing Ecuadorean oil exports,
       and their decision may set a troubling precedent that benefits China most




                         WHEN Ecuador decided to leave OPEC in late   the fastest path towards higher revenues in 2021.
                         2019, it did so because it wanted the freedom to   This path is hardly free of hazards, though.
       WHAT:             set its own oil production targets. Its govern-  Ecuador is now facing a new roadblock in the
       ING, Credit Suisse and   ment did not want to be bound by the group’s   form of several major foreign banks’ recent
       BNP Paribas have   quota system, as it had decided to try increas-  announcements about their willingness (or lack
       announced plans to stop   ing output in order to generate more income to   of) to finance transactions involving the pro-
       supporting Ecuadorean   cover budget expenses and pay off debts.  duction and sale of Ecuadorean crude.
       oil export deals.   Unfortunately, however, its plans to raise
                         yields above the 500,000-550,000 barrel per day   Cutting off funds
       WHY:              (bpd) mark soon ran up against major obsta-  This new obstacle emerged in late January, when
       The decision follows the   cles – namely, declines in world energy demand   CNP Paribas (France), Credit Suisse (Switzer-
       publication of a report
       from groups concerned   and oil prices. Even worse, these developments   land) and ING (Netherlands) declared their
       with environmental and   stemmed from the coronavirus (COVID-19)   intent to exit or scale back involvement in Ecua-
       indigenous rights issues.  pandemic, which hit the country very hard.  dor’s oil sector.
                           Under these circumstances, it was hardly a   More specifically, ING said that it would sus-
       WHAT NEXT:        surprise when Ecuadorean Energy Minister   pend “new contracts for the financing of oil and
       Without access to West-  Rene Ortiz said last November that he expected   gas trade flows from the Ecuadorean Amazon,”
       ern capital markets, oil   the country’s oil output to average 480,000 bpd   pending further review. Similarly, Credit Suisse
       producers may have few   in 2020, well below the 2019 figure of 531,000   announced that it would not continue to finance
       options beyond Chinese   bpd. Nevertheless, officials in Quito remained   additional oil exports from the Amazon areas of
       loans.            determined to push production levels back up,   Ecuador or Peru after it met its commitments
                         on the grounds that increased crude sales offer   under existing contracts.



       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                       Week 05   04•February•2021
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