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3.8 Real economy - North Macedonia



                               3.8.1 Retail


                               North Macedonia’s retail sales fell by a real 4.6% year on year in
                               October, deepening from a 0.7% y/y decrease a month before,
                               according to statistics office data. In nominal terms retail sales (except
                               motor vehicles and motorcycles) increased by 12.6% y/y in October
                               amid annual inflation of 19.8%.

                               Retail trade in food, beverages and tobacco fell by a real 11% y/y in
                               October, but rose by a nominal 10.9%.

                               Retail trade of fuel soared 45.3% y/y in nominal terms, and was up
                               16.7% in real terms in October.


                               German discount supermarket chain Lidl is close to opening its first
                               store in the capital Skopje, after it advertised its first jobs in September
                               2022. The North Macedonia unit will be run by managers from Lidl's
                               Bulgarian subsidiary. Lidl already identified a potential location of
                               200,000 sqm for its logistics centre in Kumanovo, an investment of
                               €80mn.

                               After a slowdown in value growth in 2020 when major retailers,
                               particularly those operating within large shopping malls, were
                               disrupted, growth accelerated in 2021 to record double-digit value
                               growth. With COVID-19 having less impact on the country, economic
                               conditions improved, leading to greater purchasing power for
                               consumers.

                               According to Euromonitor International, retail is expected to continue
                               growing. The country’s recent Nato accession and its EU membership
                               prospects will also help to boost the country’s ability to achieve its
                               economic goals, although unemployment and poverty rates remain
                               high.

                               In December 2021, North Macedonia introduced a new law on
                               Packaging and Packaging Waste Management which bans
                               free-of-charge plastic bags from being distributed in stores for carrying
                               disposable goods. Instead, retailers must only offer biodegradable bags
                               that are produced in line with certain standards.

                               The Swedish clothing retail chain H&M opened its first store in North
                               Macedonia in August 2022, as part of its expansion plans.


                               The store is located in East Gate Mall, developed by Albania's Balfin
                               Group, which was officially opened in October, 2021.


                               FortonMKA said that Macedonian industrial market accelerated in 2022
                               in spite of the standstill and uncertainty caused by the ongoing tensions
                               in Europe. The private sector and the authorities work together to ease
                               the processes for doing business of FDI countrywide, with a significant








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