Page 10 - NorthAmOil Week 22
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NorthAmOil                                    COMMENTARY                                          NorthAmOil


                                                                                                  Asphaltene found in
                                                                                                  bitumen can also be
                                                                                                  used for making carbon
                                                                                                  fibre.



































                         the energy industry to provide innovative tech-  subsequent decades, benefiting all Canadians,”
                         nologies and processing expertise to help scale  they wrote.
                         renewable production”.                 Such initiatives could prove attractive to the
                           They added that such partnerships, combin-  Canadian government, which has sought to bal-
                         ing the expertise of different sectors, would lead  ance economic development – including energy
                         to breakthroughs that would help Canada to suc-  production – with meeting the country’s envi-
                         ceed on the world stage.             ronmental goals under the Paris Agreement.
                           Little and Kilcrease added that there were   And new revenue streams could be wel-
                         also areas beyond biofuels that presented signif-  comed by an industry that has been hit hard by
                         icant opportunities. These include carbon fibre,  low oil prices and a negative public image that is
                         which is increasingly used in lighter vehicles and  proving difficult to shake. There is some uncer-
                         building materials that store – rather than emit  tainty over how COVID-19 will affect the pace
                         – carbon in their fabrication. The feedstock for  of the energy transition, but before the disease
                         making carbon fibre is asphaltene, which makes  was declared a pandemic, a growing number of
                         up 15-20% of bitumen – representing a potential  oil producers were committing to decarbonisa-
                         source of revenue for oil sands producers.  tion like never before. Among them was another   New revenue
                           “If we can figure out how to do this afforda-  leading oil sands producer, Cenovus Energy,
                         bly at scale, it has the potential to quadruple the  which announced in January that it was aiming   streams could be
                         revenue from Alberta’s current bitumen output,”  to achieve “net zero” greenhouse gas (GHG)   welcomed by an
                         Little and Kilcrease wrote. According to esti-  emissions by 2050.
                         mates provided by Alberta Innovates, the added   Assuming COVID-19 does not slow the   industry that has
                         economic potential of carbon fibre, activated  energy transition – or even reverse it – more oil
                         carbon and asphalt binder alone could be up to  and oil sands producers will be adjusting their  been hit hard by
                         CAD84bn ($62bn) per year.            strategies to factor in the energy transition in the
                                                              coming months and years. Moving into com-  low oil prices and
                         What next?                           plementary industries could prove an attractive   a negative public
                         Little and Kilcrease are now calling for federal  option at this point.
                         investment to support industry diversification   Conversely, for some companies the sole   image.
                         into areas such as hydrogen, renewable jet fuel  focus right now is their own survival. How soon
                         and carbon fibre.                    the survivors of the downturn could start shift-
                           “Now is the time for the federal govern-  ing their attention to other priorities depends
                         ment to support disruptive innovation in the  in part on how COVID-19 and the behaviour
                         same spirit as the Alberta Oil Sands Technol-  of leading oil producers affect oil demand and
                         ogy and Research Authority (AOSTRA), which  prices in the short and medium term. For now,
                         was launched in 1974 and made technological  much remains unknown, but some major pro-
                         breakthroughs that unlocked hundreds of bil-  ducers, including Suncor, are already exploring
                         lions of dollars of value from the oil sands in  the potential ways forward.™



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