Page 10 - MEOG Week 08 2023
P. 10

MEOG                                      POLICY & SECURITY                                            MEOG


       OPEC+ to stick with




       current deal through 2023




        OPEC             OPEC+ will stick with the deal agreed in Octo-  forecast following China’s relaxation of COVID-
                         ber until the end of the year, according to the  19 restrictions.
                         group’s de-facto head, Saudi Arabian Energy   Prince Abdulaziz said: “No matter what
                         Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman Al-Saud.  trends you are looking at, if you follow the
                           In an interview with Energy Aspects, he  cautious approach, not only would you see the
                         said that he remained cautious about Chinese  beginning of a positive trend to emerge but you
                         demand forecasts and the producer group would  need to make sure that these positive signals of
                         not raise output based solely on initial signals.  this market can be sustained.”
                                                                                          Targets (mbpd)
                           “The agreement that we struck in October is   He added: “The Chinese economy’s unlock-
                                                                                 Unchanged since October 2022
                         here to stay for the rest of the year, period,” he  ing and because of that you will have demand   November 2022  Increase (mbpd)
                         said.                                and what have you, but we all went through
                                                              OPEC
                           The October deal saw OPEC reduce its allo-  cycles of openings and lockdowns and therefore
                                                              Algeria
                         cated production level from 26.7mn barrels per  what assurances (would we have) and the world   1.055  1.007           -0.048
                                                              Angola
                         day by a ‘voluntary adjustment’ of 1.27mn bpd  have that none of what we went through, all of us,   1.525  1.455        -0.07
                         to 25.4mn bpd, while its non-OPEC partners  every country, will not be repeated?”  0.325             0.31              -0.015
                                                              Congo (Brazzaville)
                         cut production by just over 700,000 bpd. Saudi   Meanwhile, he said that the US’ decision to
                                                              Equatorial Guinea
                         Arabia and Russia each made a voluntary cut of  release oil from its strategic petroleum reserves   0.127  0.121       -0.006
                                                              Gabon
                         526,000 bpd, though in reality, Russian produc-  (SPR) last year was the fault of the Paris-based   0.186  0.177       -0.009
                         tion had already been hampered by a shrinking  International Energy Agency (IEA), which fore-  Exempt  Exempt
                                                              Iran
                         market for its crude following Western restric-  cast that Russian oil production would drop
                                                              Iraq
                         tions on purchases.                  by 3mn bpd. “The IEA was responsible for it   4.651            4.431               -0.22
                                                              Kuwait
                           While Russia announced last week that it  because of the screaming and scaring that they   2.811  2.676              -0.135
                         would reduce oil production by 500,000 bpd,  had done on how much Russia will lose in terms   Exempt  Exempt
                                                              Libya
                         OPEC this week increased its global demand  of its production,” he said.™
                                                              Nigeria                                       1.826            1.742              -0.084
                                                              Saudi Arabia                                 11.004           10.478              -0.526
                                                              UAE                                           3.179            3.019               -0.16
                                                              Venezuela                                   Exempt           Exempt
                                     Targets (mbpd)           Total                                        26.689           25.416              -1.273
                            Unchanged since October 2022     November 2022    Increase (mbpd)
          OPEC                                                Non-OPEC
          Algeria                                      1.055 Azerbaijan 1.007              -0.048           0.717            0.684              -0.033
          Angola                                       1.525 Bahrain    1.455               -0.07           0.205            0.196              -0.009
          Congo (Brazzaville)                          0.325 Brunei      0.31              -0.015           0.102            0.097              -0.005
          Equatorial Guinea                            0.127 Kazakhstan 0.121              -0.006           1.706            1.628              -0.078
          Gabon                                        0.186 Malaysia   0.177              -0.009           0.594            0.567              -0.027
          Iran                                       Exempt Mexico    Exempt                                1.753            1.753                  0
          Iraq                                         4.651 Oman       4.431               -0.22           0.881            0.841               -0.04
          Kuwait                                       2.811 Russia     2.676              -0.135          11.004           10.478              -0.526
          Libya                                      Exempt Sudan     Exempt                                0.075            0.072              -0.003
                                                                        1.742
          Nigeria                                      1.826 South Sudan                   -0.084            0.13            0.124              -0.006
          Saudi Arabia                                11.004  Total    10.478              -0.526          17.167            16.44              -0.727
          UAE                                          3.179 OPEC+      3.019               -0.16          43.856           41.856               -2.00
          Venezuela                                  Exempt           Exempt
          Total                                       26.689           25.416              -1.273

          Non-OPEC
          Azerbaijan                                   0.717            0.684              -0.033
          Bahrain                                      0.205            0.196              -0.009
          Brunei                                       0.102            0.097              -0.005
          Kazakhstan                                   1.706            1.628              -0.078
          Malaysia                                     0.594            0.567              -0.027
                                                                                               0
                                                       1.753
       P10 Mexico                               www. NEWSBASE .com 1.753                 Week 08   22•February•2023
          Oman                                         0.881            0.841               -0.04
          Russia                                      11.004           10.478              -0.526
          Sudan                                        0.075            0.072              -0.003
          South Sudan                                   0.13            0.124              -0.006
          Total                                       17.167            16.44              -0.727
          OPEC+                                       43.856           41.856               -2.00
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