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EurOil                                        COMMENTARY                                               EurOil




       Competition between pipeline





       gas, LNG in Europe rises as





       regasification capacity grows







       LNG imports are increasingly competing with pipeline gas in Europe, with

       further regasification capacity under development



        PERFORMANCE      LNG imports into Europe are on the rise, and
                         grew in the first half of this year despite the
       WHAT:             impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pan-
       LNG is increasingly   demic on global demand. European gas import-
       competing with pipeline   ers stand to benefit from rising competition
       gas imports into Europe.  between LNG and pipeline gas, resulting in
                         lower prices and diversified sources of supply.
       WHY:              And while Asia is set to dominate regasification
       Regasification capacity   capacity additions in the coming years, Europe is
       is growing and various   expected to be the second-largest region for new
       European countries are   import capacity.
       diversifying their gas   These trends have been highlighted by vari-
       supply mix.       ous sources in recent days, with the Gas Export-
                         ing Countries Forum (GECF) commenting on
       WHAT NEXT:        the intensifying competition between pipeline
       A number of European   gas and LNG imports to Europe, while Global
       countries are set to   Energy Monitor recently released an update on
       become LNG importers in   upcoming regasification capacity additions.
       the coming years.   The picture that has been painted by these
                         reports bodes well for European diversity and
                         security of supply. For a continent that has
                         struggled with a dependence on Russian gas and   Global Energy Monitor described Europe
                         disruptions to that supply in the not-too-distant  as the second growth market for LNG after
                         past, this comes as a welcome development.  China, accounting for 19% of present-day
                                                              import capacity and 23% of the capacity under
                         On the rise                          construction and in pre-construction devel-
                         According to Global Energy Monitor’s ‘Gas bub-  opment. And as the continent’s regasification
                         ble: Tracking global LNG infrastructure’ report,  capacity grows, new countries are set to join
                         there was 155.3mn tonnes per year of LNG  the ranks of LNG importers. In Europe, Croatia
                         import capacity in Europe as of May 2020 – or  and Cyprus are among the first in line to become
                         178.5mn tpy if Turkey is included. The organisa-  new importers of the fuel, with projects already
                         tion estimates that a further 6.8mn tpy of regasi-  under construction. Beyond this, Estonia, Ger-
                         fication capacity is currently under construction  many, Latvia, Romania and Ireland could also
                         on the continent, and 67.9mn tpy more has been  begin importing LNG if their proposed regasifi-
                         proposed across Europe – or 73.3mn tpy includ-  cation projects go ahead – though public oppo-
                         ing Turkey.                          sition in Ireland could prove to be a significant
                           If all of this proposed capacity is ultimately  obstacle.
                         built – which it will not, as some projects will   According to Global Energy Monitor, there
                         likely be cancelled – total European regasi-  are 24 LNG import terminals currently under
                         fication capacity could rise to 230mn tpy, or  construction or proposed in European Union
                         258.6mn tpy including Turkey, by 2030. This  member states. In addition, new regasification
                         would amount to almost a 45% increase from  capacity has been proposed for the UK – no
                         today.                               longer an EU member – and Turkey.



       P8                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                         Week 33   20•August•2020
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