Page 13 - AsianOil Week 44 2020
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                           Demand and prices for oil and fuels has  the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, as well
                         recovered in recent months following the eas-  as weak market conditions.
                         ing of COVID-19 lockdowns over the summer   The government expects that the Zaburunye
                         and continued supply cuts by OPEC+. Gas  and Sarayshky blocks to attract the strongest
                         prices have taken longer to bottom out and then  interest, and their market value has been esti-
                         rebound, however, partly because of oil indexa-  mated at $63mn and $57mn respectively.
                         tion in some contracts. But an end to the market
                         turmoil is still not in sight.       If you’d like to read more about the key events shaping
                           The world is now in the grip of a second wave   the former Soviet Union’s oil and gas sector then please
                         of COVID-19, with Europe, the US and many   click here for NewsBase’s FSU Monitor.
                         other nations again seeing record daily infection
                         rates. Some major oil consumers such as Italy,  GLNG: Asia’s ups and downs
                         Germany and France are again going into lock-  Certain Asian LNG projects have suffered set-
                         down mode. It is telling that OPEC+, which is  backs over the past week, while good news has
                         among the most bullish forecasters, reportedly  been reported elsewhere. In late October, it was
                         now sees a risk of an oil supply surplus re-emerg-  reported that ExxonMobil had decided not to
                         ing in 2021.                         proceed with plans to participate in an LNG
                           After months of low prices, though,  import terminal in Pakistan, and had exited the
                         Europe’s majors have largely exhausted their  Energas Terminal consortium.
                         financial defences, having already made   This comes as the super-major seeks to
                         drastic cuts to operational and capital spend-  reduce spending amid this year’s industry down-
                         ing. This gives them little room to manoeu-  turn, despite only entering into the consortium
                         vre if there is another full-blown slump in  last year.
                         fuel demand, and puts them at the mercy of   “ExxonMobil is evaluating all appropriate
                         OPEC+ decision-makers.               steps to significantly reduce capital and operat-
                           At the same time, Europe’s oil leaders are also  ing expenses in the near term as a result of mar-
                         pursuing aggressive strategies to move away  ket conditions and commodity price decreases,”
                         from fossil fuels and expand in cleaner energies.  an ExxonMobil spokesperson told Pakistani
                         But implementing these plans will not be cheap.  financial daily Business Recorder.
                                                                The company continues to pursue LNG
                         If you’d like to read more about the key events shaping   import plans elsewhere in Asia, having
                         Europe’s oil and gas sector then please click here for   signed a memorandum of understanding
                         NewsBase’s EurOil Monitor.           (MoU) last week to develop an integrated
                                                              LNG-to-power project in the Vietnamese
                         FSU: Novatek bullish on LNG          city of Hai Phong.
                         Russia’s biggest independent gas producer   According to a joint press release with Japan’s
                         Novatek remains bullish on long-term prospects  JERA, ExxonMobil has submitted a master
                         for gas, despite prices falling to unprecedented  plan application with a project concept for
                         lows this year in the wake of the pandemic.
                           Speaking to investors on October 29, Novatek
                         CFO Mark Gyetvay said the LNG exporter
                         “remains absolutely committed to its portfolio
                         strategy to deliver up to 70mn tonnes of LNG” per
                         year (tpy) by 2030. Novatek expects global LNG
                         consumption to reach 365mn tonnes in 2020, up
                         2% year on year, and sees it doubling to over 700mn
                         tonnes by 2040. This growth will be driven by gains
                         in the Asia-Pacific region, where economies are
                         expanding fast and governments are looking to
                         improve air quality by phasing out coal.
                           In the shorter term, the CFO said that while
                         gas prices were still lower than the pre-corona-
                         virus level, the recovery is underway. A rise in
                         forward curve prices for the upcoming winter
                         reflects expectations of colder weather ahead,
                         Gyetvay said.
                           Over in Kazakhstan, the government has
                         put up for auction 10 oil and gas blocks in the
                         Atyrau region, marking the country’s first ever
                         online contest for acreage. Authorities are look-
                         ing to attract interest from foreign investors
                         despite restrictions put in place in response to



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