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AsiaElec                                      COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec




       Global green power





       progress is too slow






       Wind and solar drive a record fall in coal generation in 2020, but the pace of
       change must be faster if climate targets are to be met, writes Richard Lockhart




        GLOBAL           GLOBAL power generation dipped by 346 TWh,   “The finding that newly added renewable
                         or 0.1%, in 2020 as the coronavirus (COVID-19)  generation failed to meet the additional power
       WHAT:             pandemic reduced demand for electricity.  demand highlights an additional challenge in
       Global power generation   Energy think-tank Ember found in its Global  countries like China that are experiencing high
       decreased by 0.1% in   Electricity Review, published this week, that  electricity demand growth. More aggressive
       2020              despite falling global output, China was the only  renewable development plans and energy effi-
                         G20 country to see a large increase in coal gen-  ciency policy are required. Rather than building
       WHY:              eration in 2020.                     new coal capacity, existing coal capacity should
       The global pandemic held   The report warned that the fall in generation  also be better utilised to facilitate large-scale
       back demand growth, but   would be temporary, and the underlying trend,  renewable uptake before its phase-out in the
       this was only temporary,   noticeable since 2015, was for growth in elec-  coming years,” said Xunpeng Shi, president of
       as demand recovered at   tricity demand and emissions to outpace growth  the International Society for Energy Transition
       the end of the year  in clean electricity.             Studies and joint author of the report.
                           “As electricity demand resumes and increases,   On the other hand, coal’s growth cannot hide
                         the world will need to do a lot more to ensure  China’s considerable renewables growth, which
       WHAT NEXT:        coal keeps falling,” said Dave Jones, Ember’s  stood at 821 TWh in 2020.
       Replacing fossil fuels,   global lead.                   Wind and solar now supply almost a tenth of
       especially coal, with   “With coal use already rising in 2021 across  China’s electricity, in line with the world average.
       renewables must happen   China, India and the US, it’s clear the big step-up   Compared to other G20 countries, China has
       faster if the Paris targets   is yet to happen.”       made consistent progress on transitioning to a
       and net zero are to be   The report warned that the 0.1% fall in  low-carbon electricity future since 2015, with
       met.              demand was the first since 2009, when the  wind and solar gaining a 6% market share from
                         global financial crisis hit. Even within 2020,  coal.
                         global demand in December had recovered and   However, because of the rapid growth in
                         was greater than in December 2019.   electricity demand, although coal’s share fell rel-
                                                              atively in China, absolute coal generation con-
                         China                                tinued to increase. Coal was responsible for 39%
                         China was singled out in the report as a global  of China’s electricity demand growth (734 TWh
                         outlier, as it was the only country to expand its  out of 1,884 TWh).
                         use of coal as a generating fuel.      “Despite some progress, China is still strug-
                           The report acknowledged that China had  gling to curb its coal generation growth. Fast-ris-
                         been successful in increasing access to electric-  ing demand for electricity is driving up coal
                         ity. Indeed, per capita demand is now above the  power and emissions. More sustainable demand
                         United Kingdom and Italy, and total Chinese  growth will enable China to phase out its large
                         demand grew by 33%, or 1,880 TWh, between  coal fleet, especially the least efficient sub-critical
                         2015 and 2020.                       coal units, and provide greater opportunity for
                           While over half of the increase in demand  the country to attain its climate aspirations,” said
                         since 2015 has been met by clean sources, 39%  Ember senior analyst Muyi Yang.
                         was provided by coal.
                           This 1.7% expansion in coal power contrasts  Solar, wind and coal
                         with the world’s next largest coal power con-  In terms of generating fuels across the globe,
                         sumers, which all saw reductions in coal’s share  wind and solar proved to be most resilient to the
                         of generation. This list includes India (-5%), the  pandemic, with a 15% (314 TWh) rise in output
                         United States (-20%), Japan (-1%) and South  in 2020.
                         Korea (-13%). Worldwide, coal power fell by a   Wind and solar now accounts almost a tenth
                         record 4% (346 TWh).                 of global electricity, with many G20 countries
                           Indeed, China was responsible for more than  close to this average, including India (9%),
                         half (53%) of the world’s coal-fired electricity in  China (9.5%), Japan (10%), Brazil (11%), the
                         2020, up from 44% in 2015.           US (12%) and Turkey (12%).



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