Page 5 - LatAmOil Week 30
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LatAmOil                                     COMMENTARY                                            LatAmOil


                         The deal led Reuters to describe Block 58 as a   In March, though, the coronavirus (COVID-
                         “long-shot” prospect in late December. The   19) pandemic struck. Bouterse’s government,
                         news agency also recalled analysts’ pessimism   like so many others around the world, attempted
                         about Maka Central-1, saying that Apache’s   to curb the spread of the virus by introducing
                         primary motivation for teaming up with Total   restrictions on movement and travel. These
                         might have been to secure enough cash to con-  public health measures hurt Suriname’s vital
                         tinue its exploration campaign elsewhere.  tourist sector, but they also had unintended
                                                              consequences. The country’s economy is cash-
                         Breakthrough                         based, so many consumers reacted to the
                         But in early January, Apache and Total offered   lockdown by withdrawing as much money as
                         some good news to the public, reporting that   possible from the banks to ensure their ability to
                         they had found substantial reserves of oil in the   buy necessary supplies.
                         first exploration well. John Christmann, the   The president then responded by impos-
                         former company’s CEO and president, said the   ing currency controls. This move drew sharp
                         discoveries vindicated Apache’s conclusion that   criticism from the business sector, which was
                         the field held “oil and condensate in shallower   already suspicious of Bouterse’s administration
                         zones and oil in deeper zones.”      because of its unilateral decision in January to
                           Christmann did not reveal the size of the   seize around $250mn worth of hard currency
                         reserves. But the Wood Mackenzie energy   from local banks in order to cover imports of
                         consultancy said several days later that Maka   basic goods.
                         appeared to contain 300mn barrels of crude oil,   As such, by the time the president stood for
                         150mn barrels of gas condensate and 1.4 trillion   re-election on May 25, Suriname was in turmoil.
                         cubic feet (39.65bn cubic metres) of natural gas.   Most voters blamed him for the upheaval and
                         Then in March, an analyst for GlobalData, a data   threw their support behind his rival Chan San-
                         and analytics consultancy, said it was “reason-  tokhi, a former justice minister who headed the
                         able to assume a potential of 300mn barrels of   investigation that led to Bouterse’s conviction
                         gross recoverable oil” for the field.  on murder charges in 2019. The results of the
                           The partners then moved their drillship to   election were announced in June, with Santokhi
                         the Sapakara section of Block 58. Another dis-  being declared the winner.
                         covery followed in April, when Apache revealed   Many observers assumed that Bouterse, who
                         that Sapakara West 1, the second exploration   had been in power off and on since 1980, would
                         well, held both crude oil and gas condensate in   try to remain in control. Instead, the president   “
                         the upper Campanian layers and oil in the lower   agreed to step down, and Chantokhi was inau-  Suriname’s new
                         Santonian layer. It described the find as substan-  gurated on July 16.
                         tial and stressed that the second well had tapped                         government has
                         into a distinct fan system separate from the one   Looking ahead
                         observed at Maka.                    In some respects, these developments are good  indicated that it
                           Subsequently, Apache and Total moved the   news for Apache and other oil and gas compa-
                         Noble Sam Croft to drill in the Kwaskwasi sec-  nies eyeing the offshore zone.  supports oil and
                         tion of the block. Earlier this week, the US com-  They appear to ensure that Suriname will   gas development
                         pany announced another discovery at the third   not follow the example of Guyana, where David
                         well, Kwaskwasi-1. Once again, it said, the field   Granger, the incumbent president, has refused   and will work
                         appears to contain large amounts of both oil and   to accept the results of an election that did not
                         condensate in the Campanian layers. It did not   go in his favour.         to attract more
                         comment on the composition of the Santonian   His actions have brought the government
                         layer but indicated that it had found hydrocar-  bureaucracy, including the agencies responsible  foreign investors
                         bons there.                          for awarding the permits and approvals needed
                           The partners’ next move will be to send   to proceed with drilling and other operations,
                         the drillship to Keskesi, another section of the   to a standstill.
                         block, to spud a fourth exploration well. They are   But in other respects Suriname is probably
                         upbeat about their chances of finding more oil,   headed for more turmoil. The economy is still in
                         condensate and gas, especially since Keskesi lies   terrible shape, and many of Bouterse’s corrupt
                         along the same trend as the other three fields.  allies still hold positions of power and influence.
                                                              Tourism is still on hold because of the pandemic,
                         Political background                 and oil prices have dropped far enough to raise
                         When Apache and Total announced their   questions about the viability of offshore projects
                         first discovery in January, they had reasonable   such as Apache’s Block 58.
                         grounds to expect Suriname would remain rela-  Even so, there are some positive signs. The
                         tively stable in the near term.      new government has indicated that it supports
                           Despite a certain amount of popular disgust   oil and gas development and will work to attract
                         at widespread corruption under the government   more foreign investors to the sector. Meanwhile,
                         of Desi Bouterse, the country’s long-serving   Petronas (Malaysia) and its partner Tullow Oil
                         president, the political scene appeared to be sta-  (UK/Ireland) are gearing up to drill their first
                         ble. The local economy was in rough shape, but   exploration well at Slonea, a field within Block
                         the hope was that hydrocarbon revenues would   52, in the fourth quarter of this year.
                         eventually help resolve that problem, as the oil-  In other words, no one is giving up on Suri-
                         fields were due to begin producing in 2026.  name yet. ™



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