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AfrOil                                       COMMENTARY                                                AfrOil


                         Most industry observers agreed that such a move   Ministry of Petroleum has asked the company to
                         made sense in light of the company’s financial   explain its reasons for the declaration. It has also
                         and operational woes, including the fizzling of   pointed out that Tullow should have consulted
                         its early oil production scheme (EOPS) and a   the ministry before taking such a step.
                         loss of $1.7bn in the 12-month period ending   “We want Tullow to tell us the thinking
                         in March 2020. In the meantime, Kenya’s gov-  behind [force majeure] and what it means for
                         ernment did not raise any objections. Instead, it   [the] project,” said Petroleum Ministry Principal
                         requested that the company follow normal pro-  Secretary Andrew Kamau.
                         cedure and explain its intentions.     The declaration has put a hold on Kenya’s
                           So far, though, Tullow has failed to satisfy   efforts to use EOPS as a means of establishing
                         Kenyan authorities on this front. Instead, it has   the country as a crude oil exporter. It is also
                         fallen into a dispute with members of the coun-  likely to prevent shareholders in the project from
                         try’s parliament.                    making a final investment decision (FID) later   “
                                                              this year, as previously planned.    Kenya’s Ministry
                         Questions about the exit plan
                         Earlier this week, The EastAfrican weekly   Asking for an accounting      of Petroleum has
                         reported that members of the parliamentary   Meanwhile, the ministry is not the only party   asked Tullow
                         energy committee had raised a number of objec-  looking for answers.
                         tions to the exit plan.                The energy committee has launched an   to explain its
                           Specifically, it said that MPs had disputed   independent probe of the matter, accusing
                         Tullow’s claim for $2.04bn in compensation   Tullow of “dishonesty” with respect to disclo-  reasons for the
                         for expenses related to exploration work in the   sure requirements. Additionally, it has ordered
                         South Lokichar Basin over a period of six years.   the company to make more information on its   declaration of
                         An audit conducted by Swale House Partners at   operations available and respond to questions   force majeure
                         the request of Kenyan authorities puts that fig-  about expenditures and revenue-sharing plans
                         ure at just $1.6bn, they noted. This discrepancy,   related to EOPS.
                         along with the government’s refusal to divulge   “Tullow has not been honest and wants to
                         full details of the audit report, makes further   run away from its responsibilities,” Gikaria was
                         investigation necessary, they said.  quoted as saying by The EastAfrican. “Invoking
                           “Parliament must scrutinise all the expendi-  force majeure throws Kenya’s project off track
                         tures to ascertain they are genuine, because   and only defers the country’s dreams of com-
                         it’s our duty to protect Kenyan taxpayers,” said   mercial oil exportation.”
                         David Gikaria, the chairman of the energy com-  But Tullow is not just concerned about its
                         mittee. He did not say how long this probe might   obligations. According to the weekly, the com-
                         last.                                pany may also be motivated by concern about
                                                              the fate of the Kenyan project. That is, Total’s
                         Force majeure                        announcement that it would not meet all of its
                         The process is likely to be complicated, though,   investment commitments to the South Lokichar
                         as it will probably overlap with an investigation   Basin this year may have led Tullow to ponder
                         of Tullow’s decision to declare force majeure in   whether it would be more prudent to hang on to
                         May. Kenyan officials suspect that the company   its Kenyan assets (and possibly incur additional
                         took this step with the hope of derailing its oper-  losses) or look for the nearest exit.
                         ations in the South Lokichar Basin and speeding   Unfortunately, though, the nearest exit seems
                         up its exit from Kenya.              to be blocked. Tullow will have to negotiate fur-
                           According to The EastAfrican, the Kenyan   ther before leaving Kenya. ™

































       Week 27   08•July•2020                   www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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