Page 5 - AsianOil Week 04 2022
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AsianOil                                     COMMENTARY                                             AsianOil










































                         state-owned Myanmar Oil and Gas Enterprise   According to TotalEnergies’ statement, in
                         (MOGE), which owns a 15% stake in the field.  the event of withdrawal, the French company’s
                         Indeed, Total – as it was then known – and  interests would be shared between the current
                         Chevron suspended some payments from  partners unless they object to such allocation.
                         the project that would have reached the junta  The role of operator would be taken over by one
                         last year. However, TotalEnergies noted in last  of the partners. The TotalEnergies spokesperson
                         week’s statement that stopping revenues from  cited by Reuters said PTT would be a “natural”
                         the field going to the Burmese state was “mate-  choice to take over the company’s Myanmar
                         rially impossible” for the company. This was  assets and that TotalEnergies was already in
                         attributed to the fact that most of the payments  contact with the Thai company to discuss such
                         are made directly by Thailand’s PTT, the buyer  a move. PTTEP told the news service that it was
                         of the exported proportion of Yadana’s gas.  “carefully considering” how to proceed.
                           Chevron, for its part, is working on a “planned   As of January 26, analysts also said that PTT
                         and orderly” transition to exiting Myanmar,  looked set to take over TotalEnergies’ inter-
                         according to a company spokesperson. No fur-  ests in Yadana and MGTC. If it does, the move
                         ther details have been disclosed by the US-based  could help keep gas flowing to both Thailand
                         super-major.                         and Myanmar. It could also be seen favourably   Oil and gas
                                                              by Myanmar’s government if it helps safeguard
                         What next?                           its revenues in the face of tougher international   revenue is
                         TotalEnergies did not disclose the financial  sanctions. If PTT takes over both TotalEnergies’   reported to be
                         impact of its exit from Yadana, but a spokes-  and Chevron’s stakes in the project, its holdings
                         person told Reuters that Myanmar represents a  in Yadana and MGTC will amount to 85%.  the single largest
                         minor part of its revenue.            “PTTEP appears the more likely candidate
                           “Financial considerations have never been  to take over as operator of Yadana,” a Lantau  source of income
                         crucial in this matter. Our operations in Myan-  Group consultant, Kittithat Promthaveepong,
                         mar amounted to $105mn in 2021, equivalent  was quoted by Reuters as saying in a separate   for Myanmar’s
                         to less than 1% of the company’s income,” the  report on January 26.      miliary leaders.
                         spokesperson said.                    Oil and gas revenue is reported to be the single
                           The company operates the field with a 31.24%  largest source of income for Myanmar’s miliary
                         interest, while Chevron holds 28.26%, PTT unit  leaders, with MOGE expected to earn $1.5bn
                         PTTEP owns 25.5% and MOGE has the remain-  from offshore and pipeline projects in 2021-22,
                         ing 15%. The partners own stakes of the same  according to a government forecast. To date, tar-
                         size in the MGTC system.             geted sanctions have not hit the country’s oil and
                           TotalEnergies said it had now initiated the  gas operations, but if they do, this would likely
                         contractual process of withdrawing from  cause more international operators to leave the
                         Yadana, with the exit set to become effective at  country. However, PTTEP – which has more
                         the expiry of a six-month contractual period at  historical ties, a shared border and gas imports
                         the latest.                          from Myanmar – would likely remain.™



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