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INTRODUCTION




               While demand in North America is fairly steady for the last few years, due to the methanol and
               synthetic gasoline demand in China, several new production facilities are coming up as shown
               in Table 6.

                 TABLE 6

               North America Methanol Expansion Forecast 2012-2016 [132]
               New Projects and Re-starts with High Probability                             (000 Metric Tons)

                       Name              Location        Ownership           Capacity         Timing
                Re-starts
                OCI-Beaumont         Beaumont, TX      OCI                      750            Q3 2012
                Lyondell             Channelview, TX   Lyondell Base II         740            Q4 2013
                Relocations
                Former Coastal Plant  Pampa, TX        G2X Energy               65            Late 2014
                Methanex             Geismar, LA       Methanex                1,000           Q4 2014
                New Plants
                Celanese             Clear Lake, TX    Celanese                1,300          Q3 2015
                Total                                                         3,855



               The world’s largest plant is likely to come up in Texas City which will produce 7.2 MTPA. Most
               of the other plants have capacities between 1.5 to 3 MTPA and all these plants are gas based.
               The main driver of methanol market for use as fuel is China. To feed Chinese market several
               large plants have been announced in 2015 in USA. The first one is going to be the largest
               methanol plant in the world as shown in Table 7.

                 TABLE 7

               New Facilities For China [133]
                                 Location                               Capacity M tons/year
                Texas City, Louisiana                                             7.2
                St. Lames Parish, Louisiana                                        3
                Tacoma, Washington                                                1.6
                Oregon                                                            1.6



               Already several coal based methanol plants are operating and many more are coming up
               in China. About 80% of the methanol produced in China is from coal. However, much of the
               current demand is for olefin production. Production is almost doubled from 60 MT between
               2015 to 2018 for both methanol and methanol derived olefin production. The demand of DME
               was rather low in 2014, hence some of the plants were not operating in full capacity. [134]
               Although there is an increase in demand of methanol for fuel application and the production
               capacity in China is going to increase but there is some uncertainty due to current surplus
               capacity  and  lower  growth  of  fuel  market  in  North  America.  The  current  growth  rate  of
               methanol demand may slow down after 2020 due to alternate carbon neutral energy usage as
               transportation fuel.









                                        Methanol and DME Production: Survey and Roadmap | 2017    23
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