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TECHNOLOGY VISION 2035






                               2.0
                               TRAFFIC GROWTH TRENDS:

                               CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES





                               Over the last decade we have seen air      last decade (2006-07 to 2015-16) while
                               transport in India transform from an elitist   International cargo traffic grew at a CAGR of
                               mode of transport to basic infrastructure and   4.7% during the same period[2].
                               the mainstay of economy. Even though the
                               growth of air transport remains susceptible to   iii.  The number of non-scheduled operators
                               economic turmoil and slowdown in the short   providing on demand charters, business jets,
                               run, it has largely been resilient globally in longer   and helicopter services have also shown
                               term.                                      a significant growth.  The total numbers
                                                                          of operators with NSOP (Non-Schedule
                               2.1 TRAFFIC GROWTH                         Operators Permit) increased from 66 in
                               India has witnessed a phenomenal growth    2006-07 to 123 in 2015-16, and the total
                               in the last two decades and more so in the   number of aircraft in this category increased
                               last decade, some of the highlights of this   from 229 to 406 in this period[2].
                               performance are:
                                                                        The growth witnessed in Indian air transport
                               i.  The domestic passenger traffic registered   in the last decade is expected to continue in
                                 a growth at a CAGR of 10.10 % over the   the next few decades and India is expected to
                                 last decade (2006-07 to 2015-16) while   become the third largest aviation market by
                                 the international passenger traffic grew at a   2020[7]. Air transportation will grow beyond
                                 CAGR of 8.75 % during the same period[2]  the present system of scheduled operations to
                                 as shown in fig 2.1                    include a variety of on-demand / non-scheduled
                                                                        operations such as emergency/medical
                               ii.  The domestic cargo registered a volume   evacuations, disaster management, internal
                                 growth at a CAGR of 7.6% over the      security, search and rescue, fire-fighting etc.



               PASSENGER TRAFFIC CARRIED BY SCHEDULED CARRIERS
                FIG 2.1: PASSENGER TRAFFIC CARRIED BY SCHEDULED CARRIERS[2]
               (SOURCE MOCA& DGCA)[6]
               160
                                                                                                              135.0
               140
                                                                                                     115.8
             PASSENGERS (IN MILION)  100  59.2  71.6  68.4  77.4  88.9  60.8      57.6      60.6     70.1      85.2
               120
                                                                                           103.7
                                                                                  97.9
                                                                        98.9
                 80
                                                               53.8
                 60
                                                     45.3
                                  44.4
                                           39.5
                 40
                 20     35.8                         32.1      35.1     38.1      40.3      43.1     45.7      49.8
                        23.4      27.2     28.9
                  0
                      2006-07   2007-08   2008-09  2009-10   2010-11   2011-12  2012-13   2013-14   2014-15  2015-16

                             DOMESTIC PASSENGERS               INTERNATIONAL PASSENGERS                TOTAL PASSENGERS




            210    AIRWAYS
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