Page 69 - The Economist Asia January 2018
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Business                                                                  The Economist January 27th 2018 53
                                                                                       Also in this section
                                                                                    54 Qualcomm’s next fine
                                                                                    55 Social media and misinformation
                                                                                    55 Luxury goods go online
                                                                                    56 America’s avocado dearth
                                                                                    57 Mandatory arbitration in America
                                                                                    58 Schumpeter: GE’s foggy finances












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              The car industry                                                     generated by the Silverado and a range of
              General Uber-Motors                                                  new pickups will help pay for big invest-
                                                                                   mentsin EVsand AVs. Itdoesnothurt GM’s
                                                                                   case that Ford, its main rival in Detroit, is
                                                                                   struggling (see chart). Jim Hackett, a new
                                                                                   boss brought in because of his technology
                                                                                   know-how, oversaw a lacklustre relaunch
                                                                                   in October that was sketchy on Ford’s vi-
              DETROIT                                                              sion forthe future oftransportservices. On
              The carmakertakes an unexpected lead in the race to develop autonomous vehicles
                                                                                   January 24th the firm reported disappoint-
                 ENERAL MOTORS reveals barn-sized  April 2017  GM’s market value was over-  ing quarterly results, dashing hopes for
              GtruckatDetroitmotorshow. What else  hauled by Tesla’s, a firm that makes just  quickimprovement.
              is new, you might now ask. But the launch  tensofthousandsofflashyEVsa year, com-  In contrast, GM is already well on the
              on January 20th of the Chevrolet Silve-  pared with the millions of vehicles rolling  way to reshaping itself. For starters, it has
              rado, a pickup that will go on sale at the  offGM’s production lines.   diverted resources to where it is a market
              end of the year, highlights a surprising tur-  Sentiment has changed dramatically.  leader. It has got rid of unprofitable busi-
              naround forAmerica’s largest carmaker.  Since April GM’s share price has surged by  nesses around the world, a process that
                The good news is not just the Silve-  28%, giving the firm back the lead. By con-  culminated in a decision last March to sell
              rado’s outsized margins, which are impor-  trast, Tesla hasstruggled with the nuts-and-  Opel, its loss-making European carmaker,
              tantfora firm thatreliesheavilyon trucks—  bolts of carmaking. Production-line pro-  to France’s PSA. At the same time, GM has
              after Mary Barra, GM’s boss, gave an ebul-  blems have hampered a big roll out of its  invested heavily in new pickups, such as
              lient  performance at  an investors’  mass-marketModel 3. AnalystsatBarclays,  the Silverado.
              conference that coincided with the motor  a bank, say that GM is more “evolving  Cadillac,  GM’s premium brand, may
              show, the release of GM’s quarterly results  mammal than…dyingdinosaur”.  look like an exception to this happy rule.
              on February6th are likelyto include record  One reason for the reversal of fortunes  Sales of just 350,000 cars in 2017 puts it far
              profits. It is also that the money thrown off  is that GM has convinced investors that its  behind its German rivals. Yet sales have
              by vehicles such as the Silverado will help  current business is in fine fettle. The cash  doubled since 2010 and it has grown faster
              the firm navigate the tricky terrain that lies                        than any ofthem in recent years. Although
              ahead ofall the world’s bigcarmakers.                                the firm does not disclose the information,
                One task is to ensure that their current  Self-driving             analysts at Morgan Stanley reckon that
              business of selling vehicles with internal-  Share prices, January 1st 2017=100  Cadillac could be worth $13bn, around
              combustion engines stays healthy. At the                             20% of GM’s current value. Johan de Nyss-
              same time, they must prepare for a future     General Motors  140    chen, Cadillac’s boss, admits he runs a
              of electric and autonomous cars (EVsand                       130    “challenger brand”, but sniffs an opportu-
              AVs), which threaten to up-end business                       120    nity. The upheaval created as carmakers
              models that have endured fora century.                               grapple with new business models means
                Not so long ago,  GM and its peers                          110    that “everyone has to start again”.
              seemed to be on a path to extinction. Tech-                   100      The most important reason for GM’s
              nology firms such as Alphabet, Uber and               Ford Motor      comeback, though, is its success in con-
              other pushy newcomers had started a race                      90     vincing investors that it is a leader not just
              to develop software that would control                        80     among established carmakers, but among
                                                             J
              driverlesscarsand to offerride-hailing and  J  F MAM  2017 J  A  S O N D J  tech firms, too. It has rapidly accelerated
                                                                         18
              ride-sharing services that are expected to  Source: Thomson Reuters  from the position ofan also-ran in the field
              thrive at the expense of car ownership. In                           of autonomous vehicles to apparent  1
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