Page 89 - The Economist

The Economist December 9th 2017 Economic and financial indicators 89

Markets
% change on The Economist poll of forecasters, December averages (previous month’s, if changed)
Dec 30th 2016 Real GDP, % change Consumer prices Current account
Index one in local in $ Low/high range average % change % of GDP
Dec 6th week currency terms 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
United States (DJIA) 24,140.9 +0.8 +22.2 +22.2 Australia 2.2 / 2.7 2.1 / 3.3 2.4 2.9 (2.8) 2.0 2.2 -1.4 (-1.3) -1.8
China (SSEA) 3,449.8 -1.3 +6.2 +11.5 Brazil 0.5 / 1.2 1.5 / 3.1 0.8 (0.7) 2.5 (2.3) 3.4 3.8 -0.7 (-1.0) -1.5 (-1.4)
Japan (Nikkei 225) 22,177.0 -1.9 +16.0 +20.5 Britain 1.4 / 1.7 0.8 / 1.6 1.5 1.3 2.7 2.6 -4.0 (-3.8) -3.5 (-3.2)
Britain (FTSE 100) 7,348.0 -0.6 +2.9 +11.4 Canada 1.9 / 3.6 1.9 / 3.1 3.0 (2.9) 2.3 (2.2) 1.5 (1.6) 1.8 (1.9) -2.9 -2.6 (-2.4)
Canada (S&P TSX) 15,910.6 -0.4 +4.1 +9.3
Euro area (FTSE Euro 100) 1,224.8 -0.5 +10.1 +23.1 China 6.6 / 6.9 5.8 / 7.0 6.8 6.5 (6.4) 1.6 2.3 (2.2) 1.3 (1.4) 1.4
Euro area (EURO STOXX 50) 3,561.6 -0.8 +8.2 +21.0 France 1.6 / 2.0 1.6 / 2.3 1.8 (1.7) 1.9 (1.8) 1.1 1.3 (1.2) -1.5 (-1.2) -1.4 (-1.2)
Austria (ATX) 3,314.6 -0.5 +26.6 +41.5 Germany 2.1 / 2.6 1.7 / 2.7 2.4 (2.2) 2.3 (2.0) 1.7 1.6 (1.5) 7.9 (7.1) 7.8 (7.0)
Belgium (Bel 20) 3,979.8 -0.5 +10.4 +23.3 India 6.0 / 7.0 6.9 / 8.0 6.5 (6.6) 7.4 (7.3) 3.4 (3.5) 4.5 (4.6) -1.5 (-1.4) -1.7
France (CAC 40) 5,374.4 -0.4 +10.5 +23.5 Italy 1.4 / 1.6 1.0 / 1.8 1.5 1.4 (1.3) 1.4 (1.3) 1.0 2.6 (2.3) 2.2 (2.0)
Germany (DAX)* 12,998.9 -0.5 +13.2 +26.5 Japan 1.2 / 1.8 0.6 / 2.1 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.9 (0.8) 3.5 (3.6) 3.5 (3.6)
Greece (Athex Comp) 727.5 -1.5 +13.0 +26.3 Russia 1.6 / 2.2 1.5 / 3.3 1.9 (1.8) 2.1 (2.0) 3.8 (3.9) 3.7 (3.8) 2.3 (2.4) 2.0 (2.1)
Italy (FTSE/MIB) 22,307.3 -0.1 +16.0 +29.6 Spain 2.9 / 3.1 2.1 / 3.2 3.1 2.6 (2.7) 2.0 1.4 1.4 (1.3) 1.4
Netherlands (AEX) 542.8 +0.2 +12.3 +25.6 United States 2.1 / 2.3 1.9 / 3.0 2.2 2.4 2.1 (2.0) 2.1 (2.0) -2.5 -2.5 (-2.4)
Spain (Madrid SE) 1,029.6 -0.9 +9.1 +22.0 Euro area 2.1 / 2.3 1.6 / 2.6 2.2 2.1 (2.0) 1.5 1.4 (1.3) 3.1 3.0
Czech Republic (PX) 1,053.2 nil +14.3 +34.7 Sources: Bank of America, Barclays, BNP Paribas, Citigroup, Commerzbank, Credit Suisse, Decision Economics, Deutsche Bank,
Denmark (OMXCB) 903.4 -0.2 +13.1 +26.3 EIU, Goldman Sachs, HSBC Securities, ING, Itaú BBA, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, RBS, Royal Bank of Canada, Schroders,
Hungary (BUX) 37,591.5 -3.2 +17.5 +28.9 Scotiabank, Société Générale, Standard Chartered, UBS. For more countries, go to: Economist.com/markets
Norway (OSEAX) 875.3 -1.0 +14.5 +19.1
Poland (WIG) 62,165.2 -1.3 +20.1 +40.3 Other markets The Economist commodity-price index
Russia (RTS, $ terms) 1,131.4 -1.2 -1.8 -1.8 % change on 2005=100
Sweden (OMXS30) 1,595.4 -1.1 +5.2 +13.4 Dec 30th 2016 % change on
one
one
Switzerland (SMI) 9,310.0 +0.1 +13.3 +16.3 Index one in local in $ Nov 28th Dec 5th* month year
Turkey (BIST) 105,303.9 +2.9 +34.8 +23.0 Dec 6th week currency terms Dollar Index
Australia (All Ord.) 6,029.9 -1.1 +5.4 +11.1 United States (S&P 500) 2,629.3 +0.1 +17.4 +17.4
Hong Kong (Hang Seng) 28,224.8 -4.7 +28.3 +27.3 United States (NAScomp) 6,776.4 -0.7 +25.9 +25.9 All Items 146.7 146.0 -0.5 +1.2
India (BSE) 32,597.2 -3.0 +22.4 +28.8 China (SSEB, $ terms) 334.5 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1 Food 149.6 150.3 -0.8 -4.0
Indonesia (JSX) 6,035.5 -0.4 +13.9 +13.4 Japan (Topix) 1,765.4 -1.2 +16.3 +20.8 Industrials
Malaysia (KLSE) 1,718.3 -0.1 +4.7 +15.2 Europe (FTSEurofirst 300) 1,520.3 -0.4 +6.4 +19.0 All 143.6 141.4 -0.1 +7.6
Pakistan (KSE) 39,907.3 +0.6 -16.5 -17.4 World, dev'd (MSCI) 2,063.6 -0.1 +17.8 +17.8 Nfa † 131.2 133.2 +0.6 -1.3
Singapore (STI) 3,397.2 -1.2 +17.9 +26.3 Emerging markets (MSCI) 1,117.7 -2.1 +29.6 +29.6 Metals 149.0 145.0 -0.4 +11.5
South Korea (KOSPI) 2,474.4 -1.5 +22.1 +34.8 World, all (MSCI) 502.3 -0.4 +19.1 +19.1
Taiwan (TWI) 10,393.9 -3.0 +12.3 +20.7 World bonds (Citigroup) 946.8 +0.1 +7.1 +7.1 Sterling Index
Thailand (SET) 1,694.4 -0.6 +9.8 +20.6 EMBI+ (JPMorgan) 834.0 +0.3 +8.0 +8.0 All items 201.6 197.3 -2.8 -4.5
Argentina (MERV) 26,470.5 -1.6 +56.5 +43.4 Hedge funds (HFRX) 1,264.3 § nil +5.1 +5.1 Euro Index
Brazil (BVSP) 73,268.4 +0.8 +21.7 +22.4 Volatility, US (VIX) 10.9 +10.7 +14.0 (levels) All items 153.7 153.4 -2.6 -8.3
Chile (IGPA) 24,613.8 -2.4 +18.7 +21.5 CDSs, Eur (iTRAXX) † 48.6 +0.4 -32.6 -24.7 Gold
Colombia (IGBC) 10,843.4 nil +7.3 +7.1 CDSs, N Am (CDX) † 52.3 -1.4 -22.9 -22.9 $ per oz 1,294.4 1,263.7 -0.8 +7.9
Mexico (IPC) 47,000.5 -1.3 +3.0 +12.3 Carbon trading (EU ETS) € 7.3 -5.6 +10.6 +23.7
Venezuela (IBC) 1,354.4 +16.0 -95.7 na Sources: IHS Markit; Thomson Reuters. *Total return index. West Texas Intermediate
Egypt (EGX 30) 14,345.6 -1.6 +16.2 +18.3 † Credit-default-swap spreads, basis points. Dec 4th. $ per barrel 58.0 57.6 +0.7 +13.1
§
Israel (TA-125) 1,318.2 -0.5 +3.2 +13.0 Sources: Bloomberg; CME Group; Cotlook; Darmenn & Curl; FT; ICCO;
Saudi Arabia (Tadawul) 7,026.1 +0.8 -2.9 -2.9 Indicators for more countries and additional ICO; ISO; Live Rice Index; LME; NZ Wool Services; Thompson Lloyd &
Ewart; Thomson Reuters; Urner Barry; WSJ. *Provisional
South Africa (JSE AS) 58,010.2 -4.0 +14.5 +15.8 series, go to: Economist.com/indicators † Non-food agriculturals.