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Heaven & Earth / Industrial revolution





         Will we celebrate the

         industrial revolution


         in the future?



         While the reputation of the industrial   peaking at 397ppm,
         revolution has gone from triumph to tragedy   as measured at the
         and back again, the positive postwar assess-  Zeppelin research
         ment may be on the verge of crumbling in the   station in the Norwe-
         face of current anxieties about climate change.  gian Arctic (The             Traffic in London: the advent of the
           The long-running ‘standard of living   Guardian, 28 April                     car stimulated the search for oil
         debate’ has centred on the experience of those   2009), and now rising at
         who bore the brunt of mechanisation and   an unprecedented 2–3ppm per year, we   Second, they crossed the oceans to settle on
         urbanisation between 1760 and 1830. Scarcely   appear to have little time to prevent levels   other, much less densely populated conti-
         anyone has doubted the long-term benefits   reaching the 450ppm maximum advised by   nents. Here they introduced new species,
         for industrialised countries: life expectancy   climate scientists. It is time to reinterpret the   crops and techniques into farming, often
         has doubled since the 18th century, thanks   industrial revolution in the light of this   employed slave labour, and tended to grow in
         not least to massively reduced infant   serious threat to our way of life, even to our   numbers and wealth even faster than before.
         mortality; ordinary people enjoy material   survival as a species.      International trade flourished under the
         comforts previously available only to the very   What marks industrialisation out from all   stimulus of specialisation: Europeans began
         rich, as well as free education, extensive   previous periods of economic growth is that it  importing vast quantities of food and
         leisure and a safety net of health services and   has allowed two previously incompatible   industrial raw materials in exchange for
         social welfare benefits. Few have hitherto   phenomena to co-exist: increasing popula-  manufactured goods.
         explored the costs to the environment.  tion and continuous improvements in the   By 1900, humanity’s impact on the
           The figure of 280ppm is regularly quoted as   standard of living. Without such sustained   atmosphere was still relatively slight: global
         the concentration of carbon dioxide in the   economic growth, human populations had   population was only 1.6 billion, industrialisa-
         atmosphere prior to the industrial revolution.   grown at their peril – falling foul of the   tion was confined to western Europe, the
         That is, for every million molecules in the   so-called ‘Malthusian trap’, in which   United States and Japan, and even there levels
         atmosphere before 1760 approximately 280   numbers were cut back by famine, war or   of consumption remained modest. It was the
         were carbon dioxide. With 2009’s figure   disease (induced by food shortages).  long, post-1950 economic boom that
                                               From the mid-18th century, Europeans   triggered a steep and accelerating rise in
                                              escaped the ‘Malthusian trap’ by two   greenhouse gas emissions.
         Few have hitherto                    principal routes. First, they mined fossil fuels   Soon industrialisation and urbanisation
                                              in huge quantities. With timber stocks   became global phenomena, and growing
         explored the costs                   rapidly depleting, they turned to burning   wealth entailed much higher levels of
                                              coal in industrial processes and in the steam   personal consumption, mobility and interna-
         of the industrial                    engines that replaced water power and   tional trade. This accelerated the demand for
                                              horse-driven transport. By 1890, the car’s   energy, and dietary changes that have led to
         revolution on the                    introduction was stimulating the search for   more intensive rearing of (methane-emit-
         environment                          oil, and electricity generation was stoking the   ting) livestock and extensive deforestation
                                              demand for coal.
                                                                                 consequent on growing their feedstuffs.
                                                                                   A global population of over seven billion
                                                                                 multiplies humanity’s impact – and none are
                                                                                 having a greater effect on the climate than the
                                                                                 one billion of us who are the industrial
           Icebergs that have                                                    revolution’s chief beneficiaries.
           broken off the
           Qooroq glacier in
           Greenland. Climate                                                    Christine MacLeod is emeritus professor
           change is forcing us                                                  of history at the University of Bristol, and the
           to reassess the                                                       author of Heroes of Invention: Technology,
           industrial revolution                                                 Liberalism and British Identity, 1750–1914
                                                                                 (Cambridge University Press, 2010)


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                                                                                  The Weather Makers: Our Changing
                                                                                 Climate and What it Means for Life on   ALAMY/REX
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