Page 44 - BBC Focus - August 2017
P. 44

OPINION






                                                                         customers they supply. The leather footprint is the
                                                          LEFT: More
                                                          productive     farm on which the cow lived, plus the various
                                                          farms could    abattoirs and factories that processed the leather,
                                                          lead to less
                                                          land being     again divided by the number of people who were
                                                          taken from     supplied. Broadly speaking, the farm dwarfs the
                                                          nature
                                                                         other footprints because it takes several acres of
                                                                         grazing per cow and therefore per customer. In the
                                                                         case of fuel, the energy density of an oil well, in
                                                                         Watts per square metre, is thousands of times
                                                                         higher than that of a woodland.
                                                                           It is no accident that wolves are increasing, lions
                                                                         decreasing and tigers holding their own: wolves
                                                                         live in rich countries, lions live in poor countries
                                                                         and tigers live in middle-income countries.
                                                                           The opposite theory to IPAT is ‘sustainable
                                                                         intensification’, also known as eco-modernism:
                                                                         the idea that the more productive we make our
                                                                         farms, mines and factories, the less we need to
                                                                         purloin from wild nature. Thanks to irrigation and
                                                                         fertiliser, including the effect of extra carbon
                                                                         dioxide on global greening, humankind increases
         2 the number calculated by the Global Footprint                 the productivity of many parts of the planet, even
         Network, which defines the ecological footprint as              as we pinch a big chunk of that productivity for
         “A measure of how much biologically productive                  our own needs. It is therefore possible to imagine
         land and water an individual, population or                     that a century or two hence we could have nine or
         activity requires to produce all the resources it               ten billion prosperous people on Earth, but just as
         consumes and to absorb the waste it generates                   much forest and wildlife as if we were not here at
         using prevailing technology and resource                        all. We might even have brought extinct species
         management practices.” In short, we are                         back. If we can read the genome of Steller’s sea
         consuming the Earth’s store of food, fuel and fibre             cow from its bones, then we might be able to
         1.4 times as fast as it can be replenished. But upon            revive it.
                                                          BELOW: Our
         examination this number is misleading, almost to   population is
         the point of dishonesty. More than half of it    increasing, but
         consists of the land that would be needed by each   that doesn’t   Matt Ridley is a Conservative peer in the House of Lords.
                                                          have to be bad
         person to plant trees with which to absorb their   news for the   He is also a columnist for The Times, economist and author.
         own carbon emissions. If you take the view that   planet        His family leases land for coal mining in Northumberland.
         we can cut emissions, or find better ways to
         sequestrate them, or even cope with at least some
         increase in them, then the footprint shrinks and
         we are living well within our ecological means.
           Environmentalists use a formula called IPAT:
         impact = population x affluence x technology. The
         more people there are, and the richer they are and
         the more technology they have, the more damage
         they do to the environment. But this cannot be
         right. Human impact has been decreasing in rich
         countries as a result of new technology.
           For example, by switching from organic to
         inorganic resources (diesel instead of hay;
         concrete and glass instead of wood; plastic instead
         of leather), we reduce our footprint – that is to say,
         the amount of land the average person needs to
         support their lifestyle. By using new technology
         we shrink our requirement for land and water.
         Let’s compare a person who has plastic seats in
         their car, say, with someone who has leather seats.
         The plastic footprint is the area occupied by the
         oil well, the refinery, the plastic factory, the car
         factory and so on, divided by the number of




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