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A16   LOCAL
                 Saturday 10 March 2018































































            Initial Economic Improvement During the First Nine Months of 2017


            ORANJESTAD  -  Today  the                                                              sumer  Confidence  Index  though  the  net  foreign  as-
            Centrale  Bank  van  Aruba                                                             improved  slightly  from  the  sets  declined,  they  stayed
            (CBA)  publishes  the  State                                                           second to the third quarter.  above  the  critical  norms
            of the Economy for the first                                                           Nevertheless,  it  stayed  be-  monitored by the Monetary
            three quarters of 2017. This                                                           low the 2016 level as well as  Policy Committee (MPC) of
            publication provides a syn-                                                            in the pessimistic territory.  the  CBA.  In  summary,  the
            opsis  of  the  local  and  in-                                                        Aruba’s  trade  deficit,  as  economy  seemed  to  be
            ternational  economic  de-                                                             reported by the CBS, grew  on  a  rebound  for  the  first
            velopments  of  this  period.                                                          in  the  first  nine  months  of  nine  months  of  2017.  Nev-
            The  highlights  here  of  are                                                         2017.  The  total  value  of  ertheless,  caution  remains
            presented below, including                                                             import  of  goods  expand-   because  of  considerable
            a  summary  of  main  eco-                                                             ed,  due  largely  to  a  gain  downside  risks  such  as  the
            nomic indicators.                                                                      in  the  imports  of  animal-  sustainability  of  consump-
                                                                                                   related  goods,  investment  tion  and  investment,  the
            The    Aruban    economy                                                               goods,  and  mineral  prod-  weak  financial  position  of
            showed  initial  signs  of  im-                                                        ucts,  while  the  value  of  the government, the down-
            provement in the first three                                                           exports  also  rose  but  at  a  ward  trend  in  the  interna-
            quarters of 2017. Tourism-re-                                                          lower  pace.  The  balance  tional  reserves,  and  the
            lated  output  strengthened                                                            of payments posted a defi-   fragile  political  situation  in
            with  substantial  growth  in                                                          cit in the first three quarters  Venezuela.  The  complete
            tourism  receipts,  improved                                                           of  2017,  according  to  the  publication  is  available  on
            hotel  performance,  a  re-                                                            preliminary    commercial  the  CBA’s  website  (www.
            bound in U.S. arrivals as well  vealed an overall upswing  to  have  fully  materialized.  bank  data  available.  This  cbaruba.org).q
            as increased cruise visitors.  in  the  first  three  quarters  Consumption strengthened  deficit  was  due  mainly  to
            Data for private investment  of  2017  compared  to  the  in the first three quarters of  net outgoing transfers from
            and  private  consumption  same  period  of  2016.  Both  2017,  based  upon  avail-   notified  foreign  accounts
            point  towards  a  positive  the  number  and  value  of  able  indicators.  Income  held by residents, as well as
            development,  but  caution  construction  permits  ex-    from  consumption-related  net  outflows  resulting  from
            is  warranted  with  regard  panded, while investment-    taxes  increased,  possibly  other capital and financial
            to  its  sustainability.  Further-  related imports picked up.  due  to  a  rise  in  compli-  account  transactions.  This
            more,  the  domestic  price  On the other hand, antici-   ance  and  tax  arrears  col-  deficit  was  partially  com-
            level remained virtually flat.  pated  refinery-related  in-  lection.  Furthermore,  car  pensated  by  a  surplus  on
            Investment  indicators  re-  vestments  appeared  not  loans grew, while the Con-      the  current  account.  Al-
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