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U.S. NEWS A7
                                                                                                                                           Thursday 11 February 2016

US Financial Front:

Yellen warns economic weakness could slow rate hikes 

MARTIN CRUTSINGER                ist group, the Fed Up coali-       Federal Reserve Board Chair Janet Yellen prepares to testify on Capitol Hill in Washington, Wednes-
AP Economics Writer              tion, attended the hearing         day, Feb. 10, 2016, before the House Financial Services Committee hearing on monetary policy
WASHINGTON (AP) — Fed-           wearing T-shirts embla-            and the state of the economy.
eral Reserve Chair Janet         zoned with the messages
Yellen cautioned Wednes-         “What Recovery?” and                                                                                                                         (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)
day that global weakness         “Let Our Wages Grow.”
and falling financial mar-       The group has been urg-            conditions that pose risks      ing months and help raise         of using negative rates to
kets could depress the U.S.      ing the Fed to delay further       to growth. “These develop-      inflation back up to the          bolster the economy but
economy’s growth and             rate hikes until the job mar-      ments, if they prove persis-    Fed’s 2 percent target rate.      eventually rejected the ap-
slow the pace of Fed inter-      ket improves further, espe-        tent, could weigh on the        The higher-valued dollar          proach. Yellen suggested
est rate hikes.                  cially for minority groups.        outlook for economic ac-        has held down U.S. inflation      that the issue of the Fed’s
But Yellen made clear that       — Sounded her concern              tivity and the labor market,    by making foreign goods           legal authority to impose
the Fed won’t likely find it     about  China’s  weaker             although declines in lon-       cheaper for Americans.            negative borrowing rates
necessary to cut rates after     currency and economic              ger-term interest rates and     Worker pay, though, has           as a means of stimulating
having raised them from          outlook, which are rattling        oil prices could provide        begun to show its first signifi-  growth still needed to be
record lows in December.         markets. She also warned           some offset,” she said.         cant gains since the Great        examined.
She did concede, though,         that rising borrowing rates        — Observed that the cen-        Recession ended 6½ years          Yellen’s testimony marked
that negative rates, which       and a strong dollar could          tral bank still thinks energy   ago.                              the first of two days of
central banks in Japan           slow U.S. growth and hir-          price declines and a stron-     — Said Fed officials consid-      testimony she will give to
and Europe have recently         ing, a reflection of the in-       ger dollar will fade in com-    ered in 2010 the possibility      Congress.q
imposed, are a tool the          tensified turmoil that has
Fed has at least studied.        gripped markets. Still, she
In her semiannual report to      said robust hiring at the
Congress, Yellen offered         end of 2015 and signs of
no major surprises. And          stronger pay growth could
she reiterated the Fed’s         offset those drags.
confidence that the U.S.         — Said the Fed still expects
economy was on track for         to raise rates gradually but
stronger growth and an in-       is not on any preset course.
crease in too-low inflation.     The central bank will likely
At the same time, she not-       slow its pace of rate in-
ed the weaker economic           creases “if the economy
figures that have emerged        were to disappoint,” she
since 2016 began and             said.
made clear the Fed is ner-       — Cautioned that the
vous about the risks from        sharp declines in stock pric-
abroad.                          es, rising rates for riskier bor-
Her concerns about the           rowers and further strength
perils to U.S. growth con-       in the dollar had created
trasted with the Fed’s
statement eight weeks            Federal budget in black for January on quirk
ago, when it raised inter-
est rates for the first time in  MARTIN CRUTSINGER                  recorded a small deficit of     tration and the Congressio-       the costs of Social Security
nearly a decade and de-          AP Economics Writer                $17.5 billion. Part of the im-  nal Budget Office are fore-       and Medicare climb with
scribed economic risks as        WASHINGTON (AP) — The              provement reflected the         casting this year’s deficit to    the retirement of the baby
“balanced.”                      federal government re-             fact that $42 billion in ben-   top last year’s imbalance         boomers. Through the first
In her testimony to the          corded a budget surplus            efit checks were sent out       of $439.1 billion. Obama,         four months of this budget
House Financial Services         in January of $55.2 billion,       in December because the         in the new budget he re-          year, which began Oct. 1,
Committee, Yellen also:          helped by a timing quirk           regular payment period fell     leased Tuesday, projects          government receipts total
— Expressed sympathy             that shifted benefit pay-          on a weekend.                   that the deficit will jump to     $1.08 trillion, an increase of
with committee mem-              ments to December.                 For the first four months of    $616 billion this year while      3.2 percent over the same
bers who raised concerns         The Treasury Department            this budget year, the deficit   the CBO is forecasting a          period a year ago. Govern-
about chronically higher-        said Wednesday that the            totaled $160.4 billion, below   deficit of $544 billion. The      ment outlays total $1.24 tril-
than-average unemploy-           surplus marked an im-              last year’s deficit of $194.2   CBO projects that the defi-       lion, down a slight 0.1 per-
ment among black Ameri-          provement from January             billion for the same period.    cit will keep rising and top      cent from the same period
cans. Members of an activ-       2015 when the government           Both the Obama adminis-         $1 trillion again in 2022 as      for the 2015 budget year.q
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