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A16   LOCAL
                    Tuesday 10 april 2018
            Three out of four Latin Americans show little



            or no confidence in national governments





            BRUSSELS  -  Regaining  citi-                                                                                       nexus through three axes of
            zens’  trust  in  public  insti-                                                                                    policy actions:
            tutions  is  key  to  resuming
            inclusive  growth  and  well-                                                                                       *              First,  sounder  institu-
            being  in  Latin  America                                                                                           tions  are  needed  to  over-
            and  the  Caribbean.  This  is                                                                                      come  the  middle-income
            the  outcome  of  the  Latin                                                                                        trap  and  to  raise  produc-
            American  Economic  Out-                                                                                            tivity  through  investments
            look 2018 report by OECD,                                                                                           in infrastructure, skills, tech-
            ECLAC  and  CAF,  with  the                                                                                         nology,  and  research  and
            cooperation of the Europe-                                                                                          development  to  spur  in-
            an  Commission,  launched                                                                                           novation,     competition
            today in Brussels.                                                                                                  and  better  jobs.  The  re-
                                                                                                                                gion  needs  to  diversify  its
            Three  out  of  four  Latin                                                                                         production  structure  and
            Americans    today    show                                                                                          increase  its  value-added.
            little  or  no  confidence  in                                                                                      Further regional and global
            their national governments.                                                                                         integration  is  key,  notably
            Around  80%  think  corrup-                                                                                         by making the most of the
            tion  is  widespread.  These                                                                                        promising  dialogue  be-
            levels  are  both  up  from                                                                                         tween  all  regional  integra-
            55%  and  67%  respectively                                                                                         tions initiatives, notably the
            in  2010.  Mistrust  is  rising  as                                                                                 Pacific  Alliance  and  Mer-
            in most regions of the world                                                                                        cosur;  and  between  the
            and risks deepening discon-                                                                                         region  and  other  trading
            nect between people and                                                                                             blocs.
            public  institutions,  harming                                                                                      *              Second,  renewing
            social cohesion and weak-                                                                                           the  social  contract  in  LAC
            ening  the  social  contract.  in  Central  America  out-  markable  socio-economic  public  institutions  declined  demands  reinforcing  the
            Reconnecting  public  in-    performing  Mexico,  South  progress achieved over the  and satisfaction with public  credibility   and   capac-
            stitutions  with  citizens  by  America  and  the  Carib-  previous  decades.  Today,  services  has  deteriorated,  ity of states to fight corrup-
            better  responding  to  their  bean. The on-going recov-  23% of Latin Americans still  eroding the social contract  tion,  deliver  services  and
            demands  is  thus  critical  ery is due mostly to the im-  live below the poverty line,  in the region. For instance,  respond  to  citizens’  de-
            for  strengthening  growth  proving  global  economic  and  around  40%  belong  the  share  of  the  popula-       mands.  Enforcing  integrity
            and  sustainable  develop-   outlook,  but  also  improve-  to  the  vulnerable  middle-  tion satisfied with the qual-  at all levels of government
            ment in Latin America and  ment  in  domestic  condi-     class.                       ity  of  healthcare  services  and  improving  regulatory
            the  Caribbean  (LAC)  and  tions.  Nevertheless  growth                               fell  from  57%  in  2006  to  41  frameworks  would  foster
            for  the  well-being  of  the  performance  remains  less  At  the  same  time,  the  re-  % in 2016, well below levels  greater  accountability.  As
            region’s  citizens,  accord-  favorable  than  during  the  port highlights the rapid ex-  in the OECD of around 70%.  for making institutions more
            ing  to  the  Latin  American  growth cycle of the 2000s.  pansion of the middle-class  Likewise,  satisfaction  with  effective, the report points
            Economic  Outlook  2018  The       three   organizations  as one of the major socio-   the  education  system  fell  to several successful exam-
               (http://www.latamecon-    point  out  the  critical  role  economic  transformations  from  63%  to  56%  over  the  ples from the region of bet-
                omy.org/EconomicOut-     played  by  institutions  in  of recent times in LAC, be-  same  period.  This  contrib-  ter mobilizing tax revenues,
            look/),  Rethinking  Institu-  overcoming  the  middle-in-  tween 2000 and 2015. 34.5  utes  to  citizens’  discontent  strengthening  administra-
            tions for Development. The  come trap -  the slowdown  %  of  the  population  could  and  their  unwillingness  to  tive capacities - notably by
            region  needs  more  trans-  in  growth  taking  place  be  considered  consolidat-    pay  taxes  -  so  called  “tax  enforcing  merit-based  re-
            parent,  capable,  credible  after   reaching   middle-   ed middle-class in 2015, up  morale”  -  because  they  cruitment systems - tapping
            and  innovative  institutions  income  levels  -  in  which  from 21% in 2001. If subjec-  find  them  unjustifiable.  In  centers   of   government
            if it wants to put itself on a  most  Latin  American  and  tive measures of social class  2015,  52%  of  Latin  Ameri-  (dedicated   administra-
            higher  and  more  inclusive  Caribbean  economies  re-   belonging  are  used,  even  cans  said  they  wanted  to  tive  units  that  help  heads
            development trajectory.      main  tangled.  Countries  in  more Latin Americans con-  evade  taxes  if  possible,  of  government  ensure  the
                                         other regions that success-  sider themselves as “middle  an  increase  of  6%  since  coherence  of  various  sec-
            Critical Role Institutions   fully overcame this trap in-  class,”  although  their  level  2011. Discontent with pub-  toral policies), and improv-
            After five years of econom-  vested in strong institutions,  of  income  would  position  lic services is more pressing  ing  public  management
            ic  slowdown  and  a  two-   deepened their integration  them in the lower revenue  amongst  vulnerable  and  cycles.
            year recession in 2015-2016,  with  the  world  economy  category.  The  influence  of  poor  Latin  Americans  who  *              Finally,  using  new
            LAC is on the path of a frail  and,  in  some  cases,  ben-  the middle-class on the po-  cannot afford to seek bet-  technologies to implement
            economic  recovery.  Ac-     efitted  from  significant  ex-  litical  agenda  -  driven  by  ter quality, more expensive  policies  in  innovative  ways
            cording to estimates in the  ternal  financing  that  sup-  higher aspirations, growing  services  from  the  private  can  help  reconnect  with
            Outlook, the region’s gross  ported public investment.    expectations  and  evolv-    sector.                      citizens  and  prepare  for
            domestic  product  (GDP)                                  ing  demands  -  may  thus                                the future. This involves, for
            is  projected  to  increase  Decline Trust                be  even  greater  than  sta-  Actions                    instance,  engaging  better
            again between 2 and 2.5%  The  weakening  of  the  re-    tistics  suggest  and  explain  Supported  by  this  evi-  with  civil  society  on  new
            in  2018,  after  reaching  gion’s  economic  perfor-     the  growing  dissatisfaction  dence, the Latin American  technologically    innova-
            1.3%  growth  on  average  mance  over  recent  years  with  the  quality  of  public  Economic  Outlook  2018  tive  platforms,  facilitating
            in  2017.  This  range  masks  already has had an impact  services.                    calls  for  rethinking  institu-  open-government  policies
            wide  heterogeneity  within  on  living  standards  and                                tions  and  for  building  a  and more extensively using
            the  region,  with  countries  could  jeopardize  the  re-  The report notes that trust in  new  state-citizens-market  big data analytics.q
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