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SCIENCESaturday 7 November 2015
U.N. report raises ceiling for greenhouse gas pollution
KARL RITTER faster after 2030 than was gives the questionable im- Scientists say temperatures move more greenhouse
Associated Press assumed in previous re- pression that despite in- have already risen more gas from the atmosphere
STOCKHOLM (AP) — The ports. creasing emissions there’s than 0.8 degrees C (1.4 than what is added by hu-
U.N.’s environmental au- UNEP chief scientist Jac- always a way to reach degrees F) since the indus- man activity in the latter
thority has quietly raised its queline McGlade told The the 2C target,” said Oliver trial revolution, and that half of the century to make
assessment of the level at Associated Press the ear- Geden, of the German In- the warming is mostly man- up for overshooting bench-
which global greenhouse lier assessments weren’t stitute for International and made, mainly due to emis- marks earlier, which Geden
gas emissions must peak to wrong, but were based on Security Affairs in Berlin. sions from the burning of called a “dubious” con-
avoid dangerous climate emissions scenarios that are The 2-degree target was fossil fuels. cept.
change, as gov- The idea of so-
ernments seek called “nega-
a new accord tive emissions”
to fight global is that humans
warming. would plant
In its first four an- more emissions-
nual emissions absorbing for-
reports in 2010- ests and crops,
2013, the United and deploy ex-
Nations Environ- pensive tech-
ment Program nologies that
said emissions capture emis-
must not ex- sions from the
ceed 44 billion energy and in-
tons in 2020 for dustry sectors.
the world to limit The UNEP reports
global warming are based on
to 2 degrees C scientific assess-
(3.6 degrees F). ments by the
But with real- authoritative In-
world emissions tergovernmen-
rising far be- tal Panel on Cli-
yond that level, mate Change.
UNEP has since IPCC scientist
last year down- Chris Field said
played its focus that at some
on 2020 as a level questions
make-or-break In this July 1, 2013, file photo, smoke rises from the Colstrip Steam Electric Station, a coal burning power plant in in of what peak-
year for emis- ing year or emis-
sions reductions. Colstrip, Mont. Associated Press sions reductions
In this year’s Emissions Gap “no longer realistic.” adopted in U.N. climate UNEP now places little em- are feasible aren’t really
report, a summary of which Critics said the change re- talks in 2010. Two degrees phasis on its earlier view about science.
was released Friday, UNEP flects political pressure to of warming compared with that emissions must peak “It is about the priority that
says the world can still show the 2-degree goal pre-industrial times, is wide- before 2020. Last year it the topic is assigned,” he
reach the 2-degree target is still feasible as govern- ly seen as a level where just said emissions “need to said. “With a high enough
with emissions of 52 billion ments work on the U.N. climate change becomes peak soon” and this year’s priority, societies or even
tons by 2020, which is just climate agreement that’s unmanageable, with fast- summary didn’t even men- the world community can
slightly below today’s level. supposed to be adopted in rising sea levels, intensify- tion a peaking year. do amazing things. But
The new analysis assumes Paris next month. ing droughts and other im- Its scenarios assume the amazing accomplishments
that emissions cuts will drop “The emissions gap report pacts. world will be able to re- require amazing efforts.”q