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                       Monday 8 May 2017
             Analysis: Despite Le Pen’s loss, European populism lives on



            By JOHN LEICESTER            the White House has been  candidate  Jean-Marie  Le  climb  from  around  6  per-      ting  electoral  newcomer
            Associated Press             kept offshore, quarantined,  Pen, her father, at the same  cent  in  the  1960s  to  more  Macron  in  the  presidential
            PARIS  (AP)  —  It’s  a  triple-  away  from  the  heart  of  stage in 2002.           than  13  percent  this  de-  Elysee Palace. Populist poli-
            whammy.      The   last   six  mainland Europe.           In the Netherlands, despite  cade, according to a 2016  tics sold like hot baguettes.
            months  have  seen  three                                                                                           A  larger  slice  than  ever
            European  elections  and                                                                                            of  the  French  electorate,
            three  defeats  for  far-right                                                                                      fraught  with  anxiety  and
            populists.   The   tempting                                                                                         anger about globalization’s
            conclusion  is  that  popu-                                                                                         bruising impact on jobs and
            lism’s  destructive  ability  to                                                                                    security,  saw  solace  in  Le
            dismantle  old  worlds  with-                                                                                       Pen’s  promises  of  “French-
            out  having  credible  blue-                                                                                        first” protectionism, no mat-
            prints for building new ones                                                                                        ter  how  half-baked.  She
            has  been  contained  for                                                                                           pledged  to  defend  them
            now  —  at  least  in  western                                                                                      from  migrants  taking  jobs
            Europe.                                                                                                             and  benefits,  murderous
            In  Austria,  in  the  Nether-                                                                                      Islamic extremists, dog-eat-
            lands  and  now  in  France,                                                                                        dog  economic  competi-
            not  only  were  there  no                                                                                          tion, the EU’s open borders
            cigars  for  Norbert  Hofer,                                                                                        and open trade — in short,
            Geert  Wilders  and  Marine                                                                                         from  the  Big  Bad  World  in
            Le  Pen,  but  they  got,  at                                                                                       general.
            best,  no  closer  than  sniff-                                                                                     Even  the  more  optimistic
            ing  distance  to  power.                                                                                           Macron  tapped  into  the
            Hofer  came  nearest,  with                                                                                         populist zeitgeist.
            46  percent  of  the  vote  for                                                                                     Unknown  to  voters  before
            Austria’s  presidency  in  De-                                                                                      his turbulent 2014-16 tenure
            cember.  Le  Pen  lost  by  a                                                                                       as  economy  minister,  the
            projected  30  percentage    Supporters of French independent centrist presidential candidate, Emmanuel Macron kiss as they   39-year-old positioned him-
            points  in  Sunday’s  presi-  celebrate outside the Louvre museum in Paris, France, Sunday, May 7, 2017. Polling agencies   self  —  like  Donald  Trump
            dential runoff to Emmanuel   have projected that centrist Emmanuel Macron will be France’s next president, putting a 39-year-  and  Le  Pen  —  as  a  politi-
            Macron,  an  economically    old political novice at the helm of one of the world’s biggest economies and slowing a global   cal  outsider,  an  agent  of
                                         populist wave. The agencies projected that Macron defeated far-right leader Marine Le Pen 65
            liberal,  socially  responsive   percent to 35 percent on Sunday.                                                   change. Macron’s startup-
            middle-way pro-European.                                                                  (AP Photo/Thibault Camus)  style campaign caught fire.
            European  moderates  and                                                                                            He,  too,  promised  —  al-
            the  political  establishment  But for how long?          campaigning  on  a  mea-     study  from  the  Harvard  though  not  in  such  earthy
            can  release  the  breath  Despite  the  electoral  set-  ger  one-page  platform,  Kennedy School . Left-wing  terms — to drain the swamp
            they’ve  been  holding.  The  backs,  populism  is  down  Wilders’  anti-Islam,  anti-  populist parties fared even  of French politics, to sweep
            populist  contagion  that  but not out, still growing in  immigration  and  anti-EU  better, from few votes and  out  nepotism,  replace  ca-
            convinced  52  percent  of  strength and influence.       Freedom Party gained five  almost no seats in the 1960s  reer politicians with ordinary
            Britons  last  year  that  their  Not  only  did  Le  Pen  make  seats,  becoming  the  sec-  to  low  double-digit  per-  folk and slash by a third the
            future  would  be  brighter  France’s presidential runoff  ond-largest party in parlia-  centages this decade.      number  of  lawmakers  and
            outside the European Union  for the first time, improving  ment, in March elections.   France’s  campaign  this  senators.
            and  made  working-class  on her third place in 2012,  Even before these advanc-       year  redrew  the  nation’s  For  European  moderates,
            Americans  believe  that  a  she picked up many more  es,  right-wing  European  political landscape, throw-        the job of putting the genie
            reality TV star would cham-  than  the  5.5  million  votes  populist  parties  saw  their  ing out mainstream parties  of populism back in its bot-
            pion  their  interests  from  that  went  to  extreme-right  share  of  seats  and  votes  from left and right and put-  tle is far from done.q

              Pro-EU Emmanuel Macron becomes France’s youngest president


               Continued from Front      Macron’s  “big  win”  and  France’s       youngest-ever  Francois  Hollande’s  gov-    Despite  her  loss,  Le  Pen’s
                                         said  he  looked  forward  to  president  but  also  one  of  ernment  to  run  as  an  in-  advancement  to  the  run-
            Many  French  voters  had    working  with  the  French  its  most  unlikely.  Until  now,  dependent in his first cam-  off for the first time marked
            backed  him  reluctantly,    leader.                      modern  France  had  been  paign.                         a  breakthrough  for  the
            simply to keep out Le Pen    Macron has said he wants  governed either by the So-      His  startup  political  move-  48-year-old   and   under-
            and her National Front par-  continued      intelligence-  cialists or the conservatives.  ment   —   optimistically  scored  a  growing  accep-
            ty,  which  has  a  long  anti-  sharing  with  the  United  Both  Macron  and  Le  Pen  named  “En  Marche!  (For-  tance of her fierce anti-im-
            Semitic and racist history.  States  and  cooperation  upended that right-left tra-    ward)” — caught fire in just  migration,  France-first  na-
            After  the  most  closely    at  the  United  Nations  and  dition.                    one  year,  harnessing  vot-  tionalism.  She  had  placed
            watched  and  unpredict-     hopes  to  persuade  Trump  “France  has  sent  an  in-   ers’  hunger  for  new  faces  third  in  the  2012  presiden-
            able  French  presidential   not to pull the U.S. out of a  credible  message  to  itself,  and new ideas.          tial vote.
            campaign in recent mem-      global  accord  fighting  cli-  to  Europe  and  the  world,”  “I’m  so  happy,  it  feels  so  Le Pen immediately turned
            ory,  many  voters  rejected   mate change.               said  Macron  ally  Francois  good! I lived the election of  her  focus  to  France’s  up-
            the  runoff  choices  alto-  Germany’s foreign minister,  Bayrou,  tipped  among  his  Donald Trump in New York,  coming legislative election
            gether.  Pollsters  projected   Sigmar  Gabriel,  laced  his  possible  choices  for  prime  and now finally, after Brexit,  in June, where Macron will
            that  French  voters  cast   welcome for Macron with a  minister.                      after  Trump,  populism  has  need a working majority to
            blank  or  spoiled  ballots  in   warning to the French, say-  Unknown  to  voters  before  been  beaten  in  France,”  govern  effectively.  Le  Pen
            record numbers Sunday.       ing: “If he fails, in five years  his turbulent 2014-16 tenure  said  Pierre-Yves  Colinet,  a  said her “historic and mas-
            Congratulatory  messages     Mrs. Le Pen will be president  as  France’s  pro-business  joyous  Macron  supporter  sive” score turned her party
            poured  in  from  abroad.    and  the  European  project  economy minister, Macron  at the Louvre victory party.  into  “the  leading  opposi-
            Trump  tweeted  congratu-    will go to the dogs.”        took  a  giant  gamble  by  “Today,  I’m  proud  to  be  tion force against the new
            lations  on  what  he  called   Macron becomes not only  quitting  Socialist  President  French.”                   president’s plans.”q
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