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BUSINESS                 Friday 6 September 2019
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            A slowdown in US business formation poses a risk to economy




            By JOSH BOAK                                                                                                        weighed down by student
            Associated Press                                                                                                    debt  and  larger  retailers
            WASHINGTON  (AP)  —  De-                                                                                            have used their scale to of-
            spite a decade-plus of eco-                                                                                         fer lower prices than small-
            nomic  growth,  Americans                                                                                           er companies can afford to
            have  slowed  the  pace  at                                                                                         do so. Roughly two-thirds of
            which they’re forming new                                                                                           the decline in startups be-
            companies,  a  trend  that                                                                                          tween  the  late  1970s  and
            risks  further  widening  the                                                                                       2007  resulted  from  a  slow-
            gap between the most af-                                                                                            down in the growth of the
            fluent and everyone else.                                                                                           U.S.  workforce,  according
            The  longest  expansion  on                                                                                         to  research  by  Fatih  Kara-
            record,  which  began  in                                                                                           han of the Federal Reserve
            mid-2009,  has  failed  to  re-                                                                                     Bank  of  New  York,  Benja-
            store  entrepreneurship  to                                                                                         min  Pugsley  of  the  Univer-
            its pre-recession levels, ac-                                                                                       sity of Notre Dame and Ay-
            cording to a Census Bureau                                                                                          segul Sahin of the University
            report based on tax filings.                                                                                        of Texas-Austin.
            Between 2007 and the first                                                                                          But  the  recovery  from  the
            half  of  2019,  applications                                                                                       Great  Recession,  which
            to  form  businesses  that                                                                                          was  induced  by  the  hous-
            would  likely  hire  workers                                                                                        ing  bust,  also  reordered
            fell 16%. Though that pace                                                                                          the economy in ways that
            improved  somewhat  af-      In this July 1, 2019, file photo the sunlight flares around the buildings in lower Manhattan as the sun   complicated  the  creation
            ter  2012,  it  dipped  again   rises in New York.                                                                  of  smaller  businesses.  Sev-
            this  year  despite  President                                                                     Associated Press  eral  sectors  of  the  econo-
            Donald  Trump’s  assertion  its.”                         els low to reduce his costs.   tions.  Both  factors  tend  to  my enjoyed no rebound at
            that his tax cuts and dereg-  Smaller  companies  and  Still,  that  meant  having  to   slow  the  formation  of  new  all  in  company  formations
            ulatory  drive  would  ben-  startups  were  generally  pay  well  above  the  mini-   companies.                   compared  with  the  num-
            efit smaller companies and  cautious about expanding  mum wage to attract and          Among  the  business  own-   ber of business closures.
            their workers.               as they emerged from the  retain  workers  who  were      ers  who  were  surveyed,  The economy now includes
            In  addition,  smaller  com-  Great  Recession,  in  many  specialized in home decor.  nearly eight in 10 said they  116,459 fewer construction
            panies account for roughly  cases choosing not to hire.  “I  am  super-concerned       favor  a  higher  local  mini-  companies  than  it  did  in
            85%  of  all  hiring,  making  The 2008 financial crisis de-  about  an  upcoming  re-  mum wage well above the  2007,  a  roughly  15%  de-
            them  an  entry  point  for  livered a warning to many  cession  because  we  got      federal  baseline  of  $7.25  cline,  according  to  the
            most workers into the work-  would-be     entrepreneurs  so  lean  that  I  can’t  get   an hour. Focus groups con-  Census  Bureau.  There  are
            force. A decline in the cre-  that scaling back their am-  lean again,” Johnson said.   ducted  as  part  of  Gold-  54,045  fewer  retailers  that
            ation  of  new  companies  bitions might help them sur-   “There  is  no  more  fat  to   man’s survey indicate that  employ fewer than 20 peo-
            results  in  fewer  companies  vive another recession.    trim.”                       smaller companies believe  ple, a consequence in part
            competing  for  workers,  a  “People  became  a  lot  Goldman  Sachs  on  Thurs-       wages have failed to keep  of a shift to online shopping
            trend  that  generally  slows  more  risk-averse  after  the  day is releasing a survey of   pace  with  the  costs  of  liv-  and  the  rise  of  national
            pay growth.                  Great  Recession  because  business  owners  who  took    ing  and  the  retention  of  chain  stores.  More  than
            “What  you  see  is  reduced  so  many  people  were  part in its “10,000 Small Busi-  employees.                   26,000 small manufacturers
            social  and  economic  mo-   hurt,”  said  Nicholas  John-  nesses”  program,  which   Just  20%  of  the  surveyed  have shuttered.
            bility,”  said  Steve  Strongin,  son who founded Su Casa,  has  provided  manage-     business  owners  said  they  The  spillover  effects  have
            head of global investment  a  chain  of  four  furniture  ment  training  to  several   felt  that  Trump’s  2017  tax  had   damaging   conse-
            research    at   Goldman  stores  based  in  Baltimore  thousand small companies       cut  would  increase  their  quences  in  many  cases.
            Sachs. “It means that most  that employs 30 workers.      since 2010. The survey con-  companies’  growth,  ac-     Downtowns in the industrial
            of  the  growth  is  occurring  Johnson,  45,  started  Su  cluded  that  entrepreneurs   cording  to  the  online  sur-  Midwest have empty store-
            in  the  corporate  sphere,  Casa about 20 years ago.  typically  struggle  to  find   vey  of  2,285  alumni  of  the  fronts.  Home  construction
            which keeps wage growth  Emerging  from  the  reces-      qualified  workers  and  to   Goldman  program.  Social  has  been  relatively  weak,
            down  and  improves  prof-   sion, he kept his staffing lev-  navigate  complex  regula-  and  demographic  forces  causing  prices  to  acceler-
                                                                                                   are also thought to be lim-  ate. This has limited afford-
               Survey: US services sector expands                                                  iting  opportunities  for  en-  ability and made it harder
                                                                                                   trepreneurs  and  smaller  for people to join the mid-
               at faster pace in August                                                            companies. America is ag-    dle  class  through  home
                                                                                                   ing, many young adults are  ownership. q

               By BANI SAPRA              rose  to  56.4  from  53.7  in  appear  so  far  to  have
               Associated Press           July  after  two  months  of  avoided  the  challenges
               WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S.  cooler  growth.  Readings  faced  by  the  manufac-
               services  expanded  at  a  above  50  signal  growth.  turing sector.
               stronger  pace  in  August,  Services make up the bulk  The   index’s   measures
               driven  by  an  uptick  in  of  US  economic  activity,  of  business  activity  and
               business activity and new  so  the  results  are  a  reas-  new  orders  drove  the
               orders.                    suring signal of continued  rebound,  climbing  by
               The  Institute  for  Supply  economic strength. While  8.4  and  6.2  percentage
               Management,      an   as-  services  companies  sur-  points.  Hiring  activity  fell
               sociation  of  purchasing  veyed  express  their  con-  by  3.1  points  as  employ-
               managers,  says  that  its  cern over tariffs and geo-  ment  grew  at  a  slower
               non-manufacturing index  political uncertainty, they  pace.q
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