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                Monday 6 February 2017
            Unpredictable Trump foreign policy may test US spy alliances




            DEB RIECHMANN                of  Ukraine’s  Crimean  Pen-  ances, if not necessarily in-  improving  under  a  “reset”  sive style and lack of expe-
            EILEEN SULLIVAN              insula  in  2014  and  threat-  telligence  partnerships.  He  policy.  In  recent  days,  rience  handling  classified
            Associated Press             ening movements near the  called  NATO  “obsolete”  Trump’s  administration  has  information  also  have  for-
            WASHINGTON (AP) — Don-       borders of NATO members  and  challenged  countries  reverted  to  criticizing  the  eign officials concerned.
            ald  Trump’s  unpredictable  in  Eastern  Europe  have  such  as  South  Korea  and  Kremlin  after  a  flare-up  of  Mark  Galeotti  at  the  Insti-
            foreign  policy  could  ham-                                                                                        tute  of  International  Rela-
            per  long-standing  U.S.  in-                                                                                       tions  in  Prague,  said  Euro-
            telligence-sharing  partner-                                                                                        pean  intelligence  officials
            ships as countries react to a                                                                                       worry that Trump or his ad-
            president who seeks closer                                                                                          visers  will  “blurt  something
            ties to Russia and is unafraid                                                                                      out  at  the  wrong  moment
            to  offend  American  allies                                                                                        or to the wrong person.”
            by  cracking  down  on  im-                                                                                         Allies  might  curtail  what
            migration  or  getting  angry                                                                                       they share as a result, said
            with friendly leaders.                                                                                              Galeotti,  who  talks  with
            Veteran  spies  say  intel-                                                                                         intelligence  officials  in  Eu-
            ligence  relationships  are                                                                                         rope and Russia.
            built  to  weather  storms                                                                                          “It’s  not  so  much  about
            between  political  leaders.                                                                                        how  much,”  he  said.  “It’s
            Even  in  the  worst  of  times,                                                                                    precisely  how  heavily  ed-
            allies  share  intelligence  to                                                                                     ited  it  is,  how  carefully  it’s
            thwart threats. But the lack                                                                                        scrutinized  to  absolutely
            of  understanding  about                                                                                            make  sure  that  there  is
            Trump’s  foreign  policy  di-                                                                                       nothing  that  you  are  wor-
            rection  and  his  potential                                                                                        ried about leaking.”
            new  friendship  with  Mos-                                                                                         Former French internal intel-
            cow  are  creating  jitters                                                                                         ligence chief Louis Caprioli
            across the Western world.                                                                                           said  European  countries
            “We are facing an unprec-    In this Jan. 21, 2017 photo, President Donald Trump, background, speaks at the Central Intelli-  might  hold  information  re-
            edented level of uncertain-  gence Agency in Langley, Va. Trump’s unpredictable foreign policy could hamper long-standing   lated  to  Ukraine  or  other
                                         U.S. intelligence-sharing partnerships as countries react to a president who seeks closer ties to
            ty  today,”  said  John  Blax-  Russia and is unafraid to offend American allies by cracking down on immigration or getting an-  issues closer, given the un-
            land, a former Australian in-  gry with friendly leaders.                                                           certainty  of  Trump’s  rela-
            telligence official and pro-                                                              (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)  tionship  with  Putin.  But  he
            fessor at Australian Nation-                                                                                        said intelligence sharing will
            al  University.  He  said  there  contributed to the percep-  Japan  to  assume  greater  violence  involving  Russian-  continue  in  critical  areas,
            is  mutual  benefit  to  these  tion of Moscow as a threat  self-defense  responsibility.  backed separatists in east-  such as counterterrorism.
            “broad, deep” intelligence  to national sovereignty.      In the last weeks, however,  ern Ukraine.                 “Intelligence  services  go
            sharing  relationships,  but  If  American  intelligence  Trump  advisers  have  gone  Regardless of Trump’s new  beyond the political world,”
            added: “It is hard to calcu-  agencies  are  instructed  out of their way to stress the  direction, Rep. Will Hurd, R-  Caprioli said. Still, allies fret
            late  just  how  much  dam-  to  enhance  cooperation  durability  of  such  arrange-  Texas, a former CIA officer  about  politics  seeping  into
            age  the  new  president’s  with  Russia,  U.S.  allies  see  ments and America’s com-  and  new  member  on  the  U.S. intelligence findings.
            approach may have.”          “significant   counterintel-  mitment to its friends.     House  Intelligence  Com-    Trump has disparaged U.S.
            “It  will  be  felt,”  Blaxland  ligence  threats  that  come  Detente  between  Wash-  mittee, said American intel-  intelligence  agencies  for
            predicted, “and it won’t be  with that,” said Steven Hall,  ington  and  Moscow  is  no  ligence  professionals  rec-  past  failures  and  publicly
            good.”                       a  retired  CIA  chief  of  Rus-  sure  thing,  despite  Trump’s  ognize the need to protect  challenged  their  assess-
            Russia is a main concern.    sia operations. He said they  intentions.  Under  President  information  they  receive.  ment  that  Russia  meddled
            If  Trump  moves  forward  “will be much more careful  Barack  Obama,  relations  “The point at which our al-       in the presidential election.
            with efforts to improve U.S.-  in the future.”            between  the  former  Cold  lies  will  get  concerned  is  if  A day after he was inaugu-
            Russian relations, European  As  candidate  and  presi-   War foes strained dramati-   they believe that our intelli-  rated,  Trump  delivered  an
            allies in particular will prob-  dent,  Trump  has  sparked  cally  over  Syria,  Ukraine  gence professionals do not  unusual speech at the CIA
            ably question how safe their  widespread   international  and  alleged  Russian  med-  view  Russia  as  an  adver-  headquarters criticizing the
            intelligence  is  in  American  unease by questioning the  dling  in  the  U.S.  presiden-  sary,” he said.         media’s coverage of his in-
            hands. Russia’s annexation  value  of  U.S.  military  alli-  tial  election  after  initially  Trump’s  sometimes  impul-  augural crowds.q
                 Despite White House warning, Israel pushes settlement bill



            JOSEF FEDERMAN               pressure  from  members  of  powerful coalition ally, has  edly expressing private mis-  homes,  putting  pressure
            Associated Press             his  coalition  to  bring  the  been  leading  the  calls  to  givings. On Sunday, he indi-  on  the  government  to  re-
            JERUSALEM  (AP)  —  Israel’s  bill to a vote in parliament  vote on the outpost law this  cated that he might once  spond.  Proponents  of  the
            prime  minister  is  moving  following last week’s court-  week,  perhaps  as  soon  as  again  delay  the  vote  in  a  new legislation are bent on
            ahead  with  a  contentious  ordered demolition of an il-  Monday. The Jewish Home  possible sign he is rethinking  passing it to prevent similar
            law  that  would  legalize  legally built settlement out-  believes that with a friendly  his support.              scenes from taking place.
            dozens  of  settlement  out-  post.  But  he  risks  drawing  president in office, it is time  Jewish  Home  lawmaker  The bill would retroactively
            posts in the West Bank, de-  angry  international  con-   for  Netanyahu  to  lay  out  Shuli  Moalem-Refaeli,  one  legalize  several  thousand
            spite claims by experts that  demnations,  possibly  even  a clear policy for the West  of  the  bill’s  sponsors,  said  homes built illegally on pri-
            the  bill  itself  is  illegal  and  from the ostensibly friendly  Bank, including the possible  that  the  West  Bank  is  dot-  vate  Palestinian  land.  The
            a  warning  from  the  White  Trump  administration,  if  he  annexation  of  parts  of  the  ted  with  outposts  that  she  original  landowners  would
            House that settlement con-   pushes forward.              occupied territory.          claimed  had  been  built  be  compensated  either
            struction “may not be help-  Netanyahu’s nationalist co-  Netanyahu has sent mixed  over  the  years  in  “good  with  money  or  alterna-
            ful.”                        alition is dominated by West  signals  about  the  legisla-  faith”  and  should  now  be  tive  land,  even  if  they  do
            Prime Minister Benjamin Ne-  Bank settlers and their sup-  tion,  publicly  voicing  sup-  legalized.  Over  40  fami-  not  agree  to  give  up  their
            tanyahu  is  under  intense  porters. The Jewish Home, a  port for it while also report-  lies  were  forced  from  their  property.q
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