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A16   LOCAL
               Thursday 27 december 2018

            Monetary Policy (November 2018)




                                                                                                   International reserves
                                                                                                   Both the international reserves (+0.7 percent) and official
                                                                                                   reserves (+3.1 percent) recorded growth in the first nine
                                                                                                   months of 2018. Consequently, the international reserves
                                                                                                   and the official reserves reached,respectively, Afl. 1,837.6
                                                                                                   million and Afl. 1,700.1 million at end September 2018.

                                                                                                   Credit developments
                                                                                                   Growth in total commercial bank credit remained posi-
                                                                                                   tive (+2.5 percent) in September 2018, compared to De-
                                                                                                   cember  2017.  This  development  was  mainly  driven  by
                                                                                                   housing mortgages.


                                                                                                   Inflation
                                                                                                   The 12month average rate of inflation rose to 2.3 percent
                                                                                                   in September 2018, compared to −0.4 percent in Septem-
                                                                                                   ber 2017, primarily the result of a higher indirect tax rate
                                                                                                   per July 1, 2018 and price increases in the transport and
                                                                                                   food components. The 12month core inflation (excluding
                                                                                                   energy and food) reached 1.2 percent.
            During its meeting of November 19, 2018, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)2 of
            the Centrale Bank van Aruba (CBA) decided to keep the reserve requirement at 11.0      Tourism
            percent and to uphold the advance rate at 1.0 percent, after reviewing the most recent   During  the  first  nine  months  of  2018,  tourism  indicators
            economic and monetary data. The following information and analysis were considered     development noted upturns, as growth was registered in
            in reaching this decision, based on September 2018 data.                               tourist arrivals (+1.5 percent), visitor nights (+1.6 percent),
                                                                                                   and cruise visitor arrivals (+5.8 percent).

                                                                                                   Money supply
                                                                                                   In September 2018, money supply registered an increase
                                                                                                   of Afl. 133.9 million to Afl. 4,373.8 million compared to De-
                                                                                                   cember 2017, resulting from expansions in the net domes-
                                                                                                   tic assets (+Afl. 94.2 million) and in the net foreign assets
                                                                                                   (+Afl. 39.7 million, excluding revaluation differences).q
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