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A16   LOCAL
                          Friday 3 May 2019

            Economic growth continues but increasing risks



             ORANJESTAD―Today       the                                                            The business perception in-  throughout  the  first  three
             Centrale  Bank  van  Aruba                                                            dex (BPI) was relative pes-  quarters of 2018. However,
             (CBA)  publishes  the  State                                                          simistic  in  the  third  quarter  the  buffer  between  the
             of the Economy of the first                                                           of 2018.                     benchmark  and  the  cov-
             three quarters of 2018. This                                                                                       erage  ratio  was  steadily
             publication provides a syn-                                                           The 12-month average CPI  falling  from  2.7  months  in
             opsis  of  the  local  and  in-                                                       inflation  stood  at  2.3  per-  January 2017 to 1.8 months
             ternational  economic  de-                                                            cent in September 2018 as  in September 2018. Domes-
             velopments  of  this  period.                                                         the effects of higher gaso-  tic  credit  extended  to  the
             The domestic highlights are                                                           line  and  food  prices  were  private sector by the bank-
             presented below, including  room  rate  (ADR)  and  the  private consumption.         further amplified by a tight-  ing sector increased to Afl.
             a  summary  of  main  eco-   revenue    per   available  Investment  indicators  also  ening  of  fiscal  policy.  The  3,215.7  million  at  the  end
             nomic indicators.            room  (RevPAR)  improved  provided  divergent  pat-      introduction  of  the  BAVP  of  September  2018,  an  in-
                                          significantly (+11.5 percent  terns.  Both  the  number  as  and  rise  of  the  BAZV  rate  crease of 2.6 percent com-
             In  the  first  nine  months  of  and +11.7 percent, respec-  well as the value of grant-  by  1.0  percentage  point  pared  to  December  2017,
             2018,  Aruba’s  economy  tively).  Tourism  credits,  re-  ed  construction  permits  to 3.0 percent had an up-    the  result  of  an  expansion
             continued  to  perform  bet-  ported by the commercial  decreased.  This  develop-    ward effect on prices. Core  in housing mortgages (+6.1
             ter than in 2017. The tourism  banks,  resulted  in  an  in-  ment was attributed mostly  inflation was 1.2 percent in  percent)   and   business
             sector  did  well  in  the  first  crease of 9.6 percent year-  to  two  large  tourism-relat-  September  2018.  For  the  loans (1.8 percent), while a
             nine  months  of  2018.  The  to-date September 2018.    ed projects for which build-  first time in three years, the  contraction was registered
             number of stay-over visitors  Consumption    indicators  ing  permits  were  granted  real  exchange  rate  of  the  for  consumer  credit  (−3.4
             grew by 1.5 percent, while  showed mixed results in the  in 2017; no such permits for  florin  vis-à-vis  the  US  dollar  percent).
             visitor  nights  recorded  a  first  nine  months  of  2018.  projects  of  that  scale  had  increased in the third quar-  The fiscal deficit (cash ba-
             similar result (+1.6 percent).  Higher  revenues  were  ob-  been  issued  in  2018.  How-  ter of 2018. This means that  sis)  stood  at  Afl.  41.2  mil-
             As in previous quarters, the  served  from  the  turnover  ever, the two large projects  Aruba’s  competitive  posi-  lion,  an  improvement  of
             U.S.  market  was  the  key  tax  (+1.8  percent  includ-  led  to  substantial  invest-  tion  deteriorated  relative  Afl.  99.9  million  compared
             driver for this favorable out-  ing a correction for the rise  ments in 2018. Total volume  to the United States.   to the same period of 2017.
             come. The hotel sector re-   in tariffs), as well as import  of  cement  imports  grew  The money supply expand-   This  outcome  was  driven
             ported a solid performance  duties (+14.3 percent). Out-  significantly in the first three  ed  during  the  first  three  by an increase in both tax
             in  the  first  nine  months  of  standing  consumer  credit  quarters  (+43.9  percent)  quarters of 2018 by 3.2 per-  and non-tax revenues, and
             2018.  While  average  room  by  the  commercial  banks  of the year, while the total  cent  to  Afl.  4,373.8  million.  contracting   government
             occupancy faced a minor  was  3.4  percent  lower  in  amount of both household  The net foreign assets grew  expenditures.  Total  gov-
             increment  of  0.2  percent-  September   2018    com-   and commercial mortgag-      by  Afl.  39.7  million,  mean-  ernment debt reached Afl.
             age point to 85.6 percent,  pared  to  December  2017,  es compared to December  ing that reserves remained  4,389.3  million,  expanding
             both  the  average  daily  indicating  a  downturn  in  2017  increased  steadily.  at  an  adequate  level  by Afl. 230.4 million.q




            Aruba to Me


                                                Have a look at
            ORANJESTAD – We would like
            to portrait you! By inviting you       Annabell Nikole. She send us some
            to  send  us  your  favorite  va-             great picture and wrote:
            cation picture while enjoying
            our  Happy  Island.  Complete
            the sentence: Aruba to me is          “Aruba to me is….. All about
            …….    Send  your  picture  with                     the Smiles!
            that text (including your name
            and  where  you  are  from)  to:
            news@arubatoday.com  and             My name is Annabell Nikole. I am from New
            we will publish your vacation         Hampshire. This is my 4th trip to Aruba and
            memory.  Isn’t  that  a  special    staying at my “Home Away From Home” the
            way  to  keep  your  best  mo-       Divi Phoenix. What does Aruba mean to me
            ments alive? Please do note:         and my family? I have been welcomed with
            By  submitting  photos,  text       open arms from everyone we have met and
            or  any  other  materials,  you       have accomplished my mission which is to
            give permission to the Aruba        get smiles especially from those who may not
            Today  Newspaper,  Carib-            have a reason to smile. We have visited the
            bean Speed Printers and any           hospital and visited a few sick children, we
            of  its  affiliated  companies  to    have been invited to local homes to meet
            use said materials, as well as      elderly parents, restaurants and of course our
            names, likeness, etc. for pro-        favorite jewelry stores. One of our favorite
            motional  purposes  without           places to visit is the chapel at Alto Vista to
            compensation.                        say a prayer of thanks to everyone who has
                                                  blessed us with a smile. We want to thank
            Last but not least: check out       everyone in Aruba for making us feel that we
            our  website  and  Facebook          are home every time we come back. Love
            page! Thank you for support-        to Aruba from Annabell Nikole. Please follow
            ing  our  free  newspaper,  we            me on Facebook:  Annabell Nikole.
            strive  to  make  you  a  happy
            reader every day again.q
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