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BUSINESS                 Thursday 7 March 2019
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            Internet, intuition can help businesses spot next big thing



            By JOYCE M. ROSENBERG                                                                                               hen saw signs that lounge-
            Associated Press                                                                                                    wear  sales  were  going  to
            NEW  YORK  (AP)  —  When                                                                                            increase.  He  forecast  that
            small business owners want                                                                                          sales  of  products  people
            to  divine  what  consumer                                                                                          use  when  they're  staying
            spending  trends  will  be                                                                                          close  to  home  —  such  as
            months  from  now,  their                                                                                           board  games  and  cook-
            methods can be as sophis-                                                                                           ware  —  would  also  in-
            ticated  as  internet  analyt-                                                                                      crease, and they did.
            ics or as basic as plain old                                                                                        "The art is being able to in-
            intuition.                                                                                                          terpret the trend that helps
            At  Moriarty's  Gem  Art,  co-                                                                                      you  begin  to  gain  insight
            owner  Jeff  Moriarty  tracks                                                                                       into   tomorrow,"   Cohen
            searches  on  the  jewelry                                                                                          says.
            company's website and on                                                                                            Savvy owners will try to an-
            Google  Trends,  a  site  that                                                                                      ticipate  the  end  of  a  cur-
            analyzes  what  people  are                                                                                         rent  trend.  For  example,  if
            looking for online.                                                                                                 a  color  or  style  has  been
            "If we see a gemstone or a                                                                                          popular for a while, it may
            style of ring or certain metal                                                                                      be about to wane as con-
            type gaining popularity in a                                                                                        sumers  want  something
            Google Trends report, we'll                                                                                         new and different.
            create pieces and see how                                                                                           "You  use  the  trends  to  try
            they  sell,"  says  Moriarty,                                                                                       and  pick  the  next  style.
            whose company is located     In this Thursday, Feb. 28, 2019, photo a customer at Allegory Gallery, Denise Glover, right, hands   That's  where  your  intuition
            in  the  Chicago  suburb  of   her selections to William Jones, one of the co-owners of the jewelry and art store, as fellow owner   comes  in,"  says  Joanna
                                         Andrew Thornton, left, talks with instructor Laurel Ross, center right, and client Cindy Kuhns, center
            Crown Point, Indiana.        left, in the small town of Ligonier, Pa.                                               Duda, owner of Pirillo Swim-
            While  current  sales  trends                                                                      Associated Press  wear,  a  Chicago-based
            are  important  for  small  re-                                                                                     online  retailer  of  women's
            tailers and manufacturers, it  top  of  trends  by  connect-  clothes  for  celebrities,  says  media,  and  also  see  what  swimsuits.  Duda  has  seen
            can be more critical to get  ing  with  the  customers  of  Bob  Phibbs,  owner  of  The  they want.                a lot of yellow clothes in re-
            a  sense  of  what  the  next  their  jewelry  and  bead  Retail  Doctor,  a  consult-  "I  do  market  research  by  cent seasons, so she's turn-
            big  seller  will  be,  whether  store.                   ing  business.  Phibbs  noted  taking  social  cues  from  ing to other hues for her up-
            it's  the  hot  toy  during  the  "Social  media  helps  inform  that  Walmart  commercials  what  users  post  on  Ins-  coming collection.
            holiday  season,  a  fashion  your understanding of con-  during  the  telecast  of  last  tagram  —  the  products  While  some  owners  go  to
            silhouette or a smartphone.  sumer  psychology  and  al-  month's  Academy  Awards  they're  buying,  the  buzz-    trade  shows  or  expos  to
            Owners can get clues from  lows  you  to  plan  accord-   featured  well-known  Holly-  worthy books they're read-  spot likely trends, or ask their
            internet   searches,   and  ingly  and  make  changes,"  wood stylists.                ing,  and  their  lifestyles,"  manufacturer   vendors,
            deeper  insights  by  looking  says  Thornton,  co-owner  "Follow them on Instagram  says  Mack,  who  lives  in  Is-  Phibbs warns that may not
            at the data creatively and  of  Allegory  Gallery  in  Ligo-  and see what they're dress-  saquah, Washington.      be the best approach. For
            discerning  how  consumer  nier,  Pennsylvania.  "It  can  ing people in," Phibbs says.  Owners  need  to  look  cre-  one  thing,  the  merchan-
            tastes are changing. Know-   be useful to learn who your  Taylor Mack stays on top of  atively  at  sales  or  search  dise  at  trade  shows  may
            ing  what's  in  the  style  and  customer  is  and  figure  out  book  trends  on  Instagram,  data,  no  matter  where  not  be  as  new  as  it  looks.
            manufacturing      pipeline  how to better serve them."   where book lovers connect  they get it, to try to predict  Phibbs says there's a lot of
            can also help in anticipat-  Apparel retailers should fol-  at  #bookstagram.  Mack,  what's  next,  says  Marshal  repetition as manufacturers
            ing trends.                  low  blogs  and  social  me-  who  owns  SilverFire  Books,  Cohen,  a  senior  analyst  have copied one another,
            Social media is another re-  dia  accounts  of  people  an online used book store,  at  NPD  Group,  a  compa-      and their merchandise has
            source.  Andrew  Thornton  in  the  fashion  industry,  in-  says  she's  able  to  engage  ny  that  tracks  consumer  likely been shown on the in-
            and  William  Jones  stay  on  cluding  stylists  who  select  with  customers  on  social  trends. Two years ago, Co-  ternet already.q
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