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A32    FEATURE
                    Thursday 7 March 2019

            After years of promise, battery cars about to go mainstream



            By DAVID McHUGH                                                                                                     2010, and closing in on the
            Associated Press                                                                                                    $120 per kwh level that the
            GENEVA  (AP)  —  For  years,                                                                                        International Energy Agen-
            there  have  been  lots  of                                                                                         cy  estimates  will  make
            electric cars proudly rolled                                                                                        a  compact  battery  car
            out at auto shows but few                                                                                           cheaper to own and oper-
            on  the  streets  or  at  deal-                                                                                     ate  than  its  internal  com-
            ers. That could be about to                                                                                         bustion cousins at Europe’s
            change.                                                                                                             high gasoline prices.
            The electric cars under the                                                                                         Bernstein foresees cost pari-
            lights  at  the  Geneva  Inter-                                                                                     ty by 2022-23 and estimates
            national Motor Show prom-                                                                                           that global market share of
            ise to be the leading edge                                                                                          battery and hybrid cars will
            of more affordable, longer-                                                                                         rise to between 9.6 percent
            range vehicles that start to                                                                                        and  17.7  percent  by  2025.
            move  battery  cars  out  of                                                                                        Last year it was 2.1 percent.
            their niche — as a product                                                                                          Regulation is playing a key
            for environmentalists willing                                                                                       role.
            to put up with limited range   The new ‘Polestar 2’ is presented during the press day at the ‘89th Geneva International Motor   European  carmakers  will
            and wealthy enthusiasts of   Show’ in Geneva, Switzerland, Tuesday, March 05, 2019.                Associated Press  need  a  growing  share  of
            new  technology  willing  to   people.  The  Polestar  2  is getting broader, but be-  chief operating officer, Ralf   zero local emission vehicles
            pay for buzz and the robust   launch  version,  expected  low,  in  the  area  between  Brandstaetter,  told  The  As-  to meeting European Union
            but  silent  acceleration  the   in  2020,  starts  at  $55,500  40,000  and  60,000  euros,  sociated Press.       requirements   for   lower
            cars offer.                  after the $7,500 U.S. tax in-  it’s still relatively limited and  He said the company can   emissions of carbon dioxide
            Several  broad  underlying   centive;  the  Europe  price  I  think  Polestar  coming  in  do  that  through  efficient,   by  2021,  and  even  lower
            trends  are  converging  to   starts at 59,000 euros. A less  there  will  help  accelerate  large-scale production. The   emissions thresholds in 2025
            increase the likelihood that   expensive  model  is  envi-  things.”                   ID compact heads into pro-   and  2030.  If  they  don’t,
            larger  numbers  of  battery   sioned  after  the  first  year.  And  then  there’s  Volkswa-  duction  in  November  and   they  could  pay  thousands
            cars will be on the roads in   Polestar  says  the  model  is  gen. The world’s largest car  should go on sale in spring   of euros in fines per vehicle.
            the next several years.      aimed at the same poten-     maker, which sold 10.83 mil-  2020,  with  a  base  model   China  is  requiring  carmak-
            Prices are falling for batter-  tial customers as the Model  lion cars last year across 12  available  for  under  30,000   ers to increase the share of
            ies,  consumers  are  turning   3  electric  compact  from  brands including Audi and  euros ($34,000).             alternative energy vehicles
            away  from  diesel  engines   California carmaker Tesla.  Porsche, is refitting its plant  The  company  is  spend-  through  a  points  system
            after  Volkswagen’s  emis-   Tesla  said  last  week  it  will  in  Zwickau,  Germany,  to  ing 11 billion euros on new   that  gives  more  credit  to
            sions scandal, and govern-   close many of its stores and  produce  electric  vehicles,  technology  through  2023,   low-emission,  longer-range
            ments  in  Europe  and  Chi-  move to online sales only so  the  first  of  eight  battery  the  bulk  of  that  on  devel-  electric vehicles.
            na  are  enforcing  tougher   it can cut costs and reach  vehicle  plants  worldwide.  oping electric cars.         Things  may  change  more
            emissions rules.             its goal of selling the Model  Zwickau  is  to  produce  According to Mark C. New-     slowly in the United States,
            As more electric cars roll off   3  for  $35,000.  Before  the  100,000  ID  model  vehicles  man,  managing  director   where the administration of
            assembly lines, the trick will   announcement  the  lowest  next year on what the com-  and  senior  analyst  at  re-  U.S. President Donald Trump
            be getting more people to    price was $42,900.           pany says will be a carbon-  search firm Bernstein, falling   is  moving  to  ease  higher
            buy them. A key factor will   Polestar  CEO  Thomas  In-  neutral basis, boosting Volk-  battery prices are bringing   mileage requirements from
            be  price  —  of  the  battery   genlath says the takeoff for  swagen’s output of electric  the day closer when elec-  the Obama administration.
            to  the  manufacturer,  and   e-cars  “is  something  that’s  earlier  models  to  150,000.  tric cars become as cheap   Still, California is pushing for
            consequently of the car to   pretty close.”               Overall, the division aims to  as  gasoline  and  diesel   more battery-powered ve-
            the customer.                “You  need  a  decent  offer  sell a million electric cars a  models.                  hicles  and  hybrids,  which
            Volvo  Car  Group’s  Pole-   of  a  premium  electric  car  year, or about a fifth of the  The  estimate  for  2018  bat-  use  both  batteries  and  in-
            star  2  and  Peugeot’s  new   that  makes  it  accessible,”  Volkswagen  brand’s  sales,  tery  pack  prices  is  below   ternal combustion engines.
            electric  208  compact  are   he  said.  “There  are  a  lot  by 2025.                 $130  per  kilowatt  hour  for   It says 8 percent of new car
            electric  offerings  aimed  at   of brands pitching into the  “We want to bring electrifi-  the  most  efficient  manu-  sales could be electrics, hy-
            bringing  battery-powered    region above 80,000 euros  cation to a breakthrough,”  facturers. That is down from    brids  or  other  low  emission
            cars  within  reach  of  more                                                                                       vehicles by 2025.
                                         ($90,600), so the offer there  the  Volkswagen  brand’s  $1,000  per  kilowatt  hour  in
                                                                                                                                An example of how regula-
                                                                                                                                tion can promote electrics
                                                                                                                                is  Norway,  where  a  raft  of
                                                                                                                                incentives  has  pushed  the
                                                                                                                                market  share  of  plug-in
                                                                                                                                vehicles  to  39  percent  last
                                                                                                                                year.  By  contrast,  China
                                                                                                                                was at 4 percent, Germany
                                                                                                                                at 1.8 percent and the U.S.
                                                                                                                                at 2.1 percent.
                                                                                                                                Gil Tal, director of the Plug-
                                                                                                                                in  Hybrid  &  Electric
                                                                                                                                Vehicle  Research  Center
                                                                                                                                at the University  of Califor-
                                                                                                                                nia-Davis, says “you will see
                                                                                                                                larger numbers three years
                                                                                                                                from  now,”  largely  driven
            The  new  e.GO  ‘Lux’  is  presented  during  the  press  day  at  the   The new e.GO ‘Life Sport’ is presented during the press day at the
            ‘89th Geneva International Motor Show’ in Geneva, Switzerland,   ‘89th Geneva International Motor Show’ in Geneva, Switzerland,   by subsidies and incentives
            Tuesday, March 05, 2019.                                  Tuesday, March 05, 2019.                                  at the outset.q
                                                     Associated Press                                          Associated Press
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