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A10   WORLD NEWS
                   Monday 14 January 2019
            Arab nations inch toward rehabilitating Syria's Assad




            By ZEINA KARAM                                                                                                      a Russian jet, becoming the
            Associated Press                                                                                                    first Arab leader to visit Syr-
            BEIRUT  (AP)  —  He  has  sur-                                                                                      ia since 2011. The visit was
            vived eight years of war and                                                                                        largely  seen  as  a  precur-
            billions  of  dollars  in  money                                                                                    sor for similar steps by other
            and  weapons  aimed  at                                                                                             Arab leaders.
            toppling  him.  Now  Syrian                                                                                         On  Dec.  27,  the  United
            President  Bashar  Assad  is                                                                                        Arab  Emirates  reopened
            poised  to  be  readmitted                                                                                          its  embassy  in  Damascus
            to  the  fold  of  Arab  na-                                                                                        with a public ceremony, in
            tions, a feat once deemed                                                                                           the  most  significant  Arab
            unthinkable  as  he  force-                                                                                         overture  yet  toward  the
            fully  crushed  the  uprising                                                                                       Assad  government,  almost
            against his family's rule.                                                                                          certainly  coordinated  with
            Gulf Arab nations, once the                                                                                         Saudi  Arabia.  The  Bahrain
            main backers of rebels try-                                                                                         Embassy followed the next
            ing to oust Assad, are lining                                                                                       day.
            up to reopen their embas-                                                                                           The debate now appears to
            sies in Syria, worried about                                                                                        be about when, not wheth-
            leaving  the  country  at  the                                                                                      er, to re-admit Syria to the
            heart  of  the  Arab  world                                                                                         Arab League. At a meeting
            to  regional  rivals  Iran  and                                                                                     in  Cairo  on  Wednesday,
            Turkey  and  missing  out  on                                                                                       Egyptian  Foreign  Minister
            lucrative  post-war  recon-                                                                                         Sameh  Shukri  said  Syria's
            structive  projects.  Key  bor-  In this March 11, 2009 file photo, King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, right, welcomes Syrian President   return to the League is con-
            der  crossings  with  neigh-  Bashar Assad upon his arrival to attend the Arab Summit, in the Saudi capital Riyadh.  nected  to  developments
            bors, shuttered for years by                                                                       Associated Press  on the political track to end
            the  war,  have  reopened,                                                                                          the crisis.
            and  Arab  commercial  air-  primed  to  retake  the  area  It  can  seem  like  a  mind-  ance  against  Iran  while  Iraqi  Foreign  Minister  Mo-
            lines  are  reportedly  con-  they abandoned in 2012 at  boggling  reversal  for  a  avoiding  escalation  with  hamed  Alhakim,  speaking
            sidering  resuming  flights  to  the  height  of  the  war.  This  leader whose military once  Iran itself."        in Baghdad at a joint press
            Damascus.                    would be a significant step  seemed dangerously close  After  Assad  led  a  crack-    conference with his Iranian
            And  as  President  Donald  toward  restoring  Assad's  to  collapse.  But  Russia's  down on protesters in 2011,  counterpart,  said  Sunday
            Trump  plans  to  pull  out  control  over  all  of  Syria,  military  intervention,  which  Syria was cast out as a pa-  that his country supports ef-
            America's  2,000  soldiers  leaving  only  the  northwest  began in 2015, steadily re-  riah  by  much  of  the  Arab  forts to restore Syria's mem-
            from  northeastern  Syria,  in the hands of rebels, most  versed  Assad's  losses,  al-  and  Western  world.  It  lost  bership in the Arab League.
            government     troops   are  of them jihadis.             lowing his troops, aided by  its seat at the Arab League  In  Lebanon,  some  officials
                                                                      Iranian-backed  fighters,  to  and  was  hit  by  crippling  insist  Syria  should  be  invit-
                                                                      recapture  cities  like  Homs  sanctions  by  the  interna-  ed  to  an  Arab  economic
                                                                      and Aleppo, key to his rule.  tional  community,  as  the  summit the country is host-
                                                                      Assad rules over a country  U.S.  and  European  diplo-   ing  next  week,  although
                                                                      in  ruins,  with  close  to  half  mats closed their diplomat-  final decision rests with the
                                                                      a million people killed and  ic missions.                 League.
                                                                      half  the  population  dis-  But Syria's isolation was nev-  "It could happen slower or
                                                                      placed. Major fighting may  er complete. China, Russia,  faster, but if Assad is going
                                                                      still lie ahead. But many see  Brazil,  India  and  South  Af-  to  stay  where  he  is,  then
                                                                      the  war  nearing  its  end,  rica  maintained  diplomat-  obviously  countries  in  the
                                                                      and the 53-year-old leader  ic  ties.  In  the  Arab  world,  region  are  going  to  try  to
                                                                      is  sitting  more  comfortably  Lebanon,  Iraq  and  Alge-  make the best of that situ-
                                                                      than  he  has  in  the  past  ria  never  broke  ranks  with  ation,"  said  Aron  Lund,  a
                                                                      eight years.                 Syria.  Propped  up  by  Rus-  fellow  with  The  Century
                                                                      "Rehabilitation   by   Arab  sia,  China  and  Iran,  Assad  Foundation.   "American
                                                                      states  is  inevitable,"  said  never  really  felt  the  pinch  politicians  can  sit  in  splen-
                                                                      Faysal  Itani,  a  resident  se-  politically.            did  isolation  on  the  other
                                                                      nior fellow with the Atlantic  A  Saudi  attempt  to  patch  side of an ocean and pre-
                                                                      Council's Rafik Hariri Center  up  relations  with  Assad  tend Syria isn't what it is," he
                                                                      for the Middle East.         would  be  a  public  ac-    said.  "But  King  Abdullah  of
                                                                      A key motive for Sunni Mus-  knowledgement     of   the  Jordan can't."
                                                                      lim Gulf countries is to blunt  kingdom's  failure  to  oust  The  Arab  overtures  come
                                                                      the involvement of their Shi-  him. At the same time, the  amid  a  shifting  landscape
                                                                      ite-led foe, Iran, which saw  involvement  of  Gulf  Arab  in the Western world.
                                                                      its influence expand rapidly  governments  and  private  The  planned  U.S.  pullout
                                                                      in the chaos of Syria's war.  companies  is  crucial  for  from Syria is part of Trump's
                                                                      "Saudi Arabia tried briefly to  any  serious  reconstruction  "America  First"  policy.  He
                                                                      help  overthrow  him  when  effort  in  Syria.  Reconstruc-  has repeatedly said he was
                                                                      he  seemed  most  vulner-    tion  costs  are  estimated  not  interested  in  remov-
                                                                      able  using  proxy  militants,"  between $200 and $350 bil-  ing  Assad  from  power  or
                                                                      Itani  said.  "With  his  regime  lion.                   keeping  American  troops
                                                                      likely  to  survive,  however,  Last month, Sudanese Presi-  involved  in  "endless  wars"
                                                                      Saudi  Arabia  would  prefer  dent  Omar  al-Bashir,  him-  in the region, most recently
                                                                      to  try  and  exercise  influ-  self  an  international  out-  describing  Syria  as  "sand
                                                                      ence  over  Assad  to  bal-  cast, flew to Damascus on  and death."q
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